Smoothing plane

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    The Ideal Model

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    And I don’t mean that in no nice way” (West, 2004) The way in which he intends the meaning of the n-word is not in the reclaimed “nice way” but instead in the derogatory way that the term is generally used in society. What this criticism can be seen as questioning is to what extent should distortion of reality be allowable in a generated system, is it allowable for me to make these generalisations and infer my conclusions? It is generally accepted that some level of distortion is allowable for a model, take for example the smooth plane of Newtonian physics, however these distortions should be justified in order for the model to be taken seriously. Laymon (1991) suggests that the correct way to think about idealisations is as ideal limits and doing this allows us to say that our models, though containing counterfactuals can tell us about the actual world. In the case of Newtonian mechanics a completely smooth plane is clearly the limit of smooth planes and hence Newtonian physics can tell us something about physics on the never-completely-smooth surfaces of the real world. Laymon asserts that idealisations, where it can be shown that real world examples approach the condition of the model, should be seen as being able to tell us about the system which the model is describing. That is the extreme refinements assumed can be begun to be approached in the real world. Though this doesn’t explicitly justify the belief in the model as such attempts at approach have not taken place it…

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    finds explanatory factors of an event. A daily example would be to forecast the future economic growth of our country by selecting numbers of independent variables, such as oil price (x) that can contribute to economic growth (dependent variable y). McDonald uses Simple Moving Average (SMA) or Weighted Moving Average (WMA) to estimate the demand for its hamburger in the next hour. While both methods remove random variations in demand, WMA assigns more weight to recent data to make the forecast…

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    Health Forecasting

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    multigenerational approach as a stabilizer to fleeting, determining that regularly overwhelms legislative issues. These provides approach producers with more relevant data to bolster numerous particular medications, arrangements, and projects that can enhance the strength of the populaces that they converse with (Pasupathy, 2010). 3. Forecast on the number of clinic visits for number 2008 Extrapolation based on average change 34.3~35 Extrapolation based upon using average percent change…

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    “Do you need a help with your backpack” the stewardess asked me in British accent. “Pardon”, I said “I didn’t hear you well”. She repeated, but I still didn’t understand what she was trying to say. I started to panic. “If I cannot understand British English, which I learned in the university for 1 year, how I will understand American English”. “How I am going to study in University in America if I don’t understand simple things the stewardess was trying to say, maybe I should get out of the…

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    left for me. I drank the water like I had not drank anything in years and stood up my leg did not hurt at all. I wandered outside. Whoever had helped me had gotten quite a bit of the plane crash. They had at least found five suitcases and had found a bunch of the onboard soda. He saw the pointed shrapnel that he had used on the board it looked like a tip of the spear. He picked it up and saw an opportunity a part of the plane made of reinforced black carbon steel looked like a perfect spear…

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    Mid Fall 2012 The plane ride here was a long one. The droning engines of the C-17 went on for hours and pierced through my earplugs. I could only feel overwhelmed and excited by what was happening. I was finally getting sent overseas after four long years of basic training. A few nervous thoughts had passed my mind about what could happen, but was soon drowned out by the engines. The passenger section of the C-17 was nothing like a civilian aircraft. A few rows of seats with our gear packed in…

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    we were headed out to the airport around 5 o’clock in the morning. I was so nervous that I slept the whole ride to the airport. When we arrived at Memphis airport, Josiah said, ¨Mike follow me so you don 't get lost¨ , I laughed and said, ¨okay¨. It was about 30 minutes before our plane was to take off so we just chilled in the boarding area until it was time to board the plane. After maybe 10 minutes I started having butterflies in my stomach, I thought to myself, ¨Do you really wanna do this…

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    the frozen heels of his palms into his eye sockets. “Thank fuck, you unconscionable bastard,” muttered Reg, leaning back on his heels, and when Lucas re-opens his eyes, he sees Reg running a hand down his haggard face. “I didn’t know you cared,” said Lucas, his voice little more than a rasp. “It’s touching.” Reg snorted. He rocked back on his heels and stood, striking snow from his trousers and striding off a short way. “Hardly. Now that you’re awake, you can help me scavenge…

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    and find all these places so I know where to get help. Part C: 1. Academic Tasks DE 31 and WR 80 Final Studying for Math Final Non-Academic Tasks Save Money for a plane ticket Learn to fly my drone properly 2. a) DE 31 and WR 80 Final (9) Studying for Math Final (8) Save Money for a plane ticket (2) Learn to fly my drone properly (5) b) DE 31 and WR 80 Final : Yes, the task was both boring and difficult at times. I am going non stop to finish it because I want to get a good grade.…

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    Family Trips My family loves to travel and our goal was to get to ALL FIFTY STATES, and we had to stay at least one night in each state. So we had been to almost all fifty states and we had an enormous trip coming up and we were doing 17 states in 18 days, all in the same car! We started our trip and we new this trip is gonna eat us up from being so close for so long. We had funny moments about everyday, I would have some animal fact and I would tell my family and they would all just start…

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