Random walk

Just at the start of the book, A Random Walk Down Wall Street, it seemed to be very interesting, not just saying this because it’s a project. The book is full of information and theories, but it does get harder to follow as I kept reading. Before reading Burton G. Malkiel’s book, A Random Walk Down Wall Street, I knew it would be about the stock market, but I had no Idea it would be full of theories and ideas that make you think harder and more efficiently about the stock market. For this book, I think about whether it had succeeded or not, although popular for school projects for a regular book it had so much information that made it succeed in my eyes. In my lifetime I have yet to directly invest the stock market, but after reading this book I have a better idea of how the stock market could work and it makes me think about the possibilities for a future portfolio.…

and also Movie S3 and S4), typical anomalous rotation dynamics begin to emerge (Fig. 4B and C). The diameters of the two NPs for D2 and D3 dimers are 60 and 80 nm (with ratio 1:1.3), and 60 and 90 nm (with ratio 1:1.5), respectively, as shown by the inset images in Fig. 4C. It is interesting to find that the angular displacement distribution of D2 dimer strongly biases to the negative side (second column of Fig. 4B), indicating a much higher probability of clockwise rotation than that of…

Fooled by Randomness Critical Review This book was hard for me to grasp at first, but it became very interesting after a few chapters. Taleb has changed the way I look at business and the world of financial markets. Fooled by Randomness looks at randomness in a wide-ranging setting and it also looks at all the ways in which it twists our thinking. It also emphases more precisely on the markets and trading. It still ranges into other areas of life and overall philosophy, but Taleb delivers more…

After reading both Kelle Lasn’s and Richard Louv’s pieces on how humans have become distant from nature, I became very upset with myself. When I was younger I loved spending time outside. Whether I was playing sports with the neighborhood kids, helping my grandfather with his garden or talking walks in the park near my house, I realized that I do not spend nearly as much time outside as I used to. With technology constantly being invented and reinvented, video games, television shows and phones…

For starters, the walk in hours to see the academic advisor are so scarce especially when considering a student’s classes that they must attend. Another problem that these students are faced with is their own work schedules they must accommodate for as well. Between classes, work and other life activities, it is almost impossible to fit in the academic advisor. Not to mention the wait that goes along with it. This is a problem that needs to be solved in order to properly meet the needs of the…

The lottery is played all around the world. More than two-thirds of the citizens of the state. Anny three digit number can be placed from 000 to 999. After than the randomly draw a number. A number is drawn at random and announced by the state. The winner gets a prize. The probability that the correct 3 digits in the right order is selected is at an odds of 1 in 1,000. So if If a ticket costs two dollars and the winner must pick a sequence of five digits then if There are 10^5=100,000 different…

next outcome is most likely to be Tails and would then bet for Tails. The gambler’s fallacy is the false belief in “negative autocorrelation of a non-autocorrelated random sequence of outcomes” (Sundali & Croson, 2006). In simpler words, it is the tendency to perceive an outcome as less likely to occur if it occurred more frequently than normal previously. The most famous case of gambler’s fallacy occurred on August 18th, 1913, when the ball fell in black 26 times in a row during a roulette game…

also, it provides alternative options for stakeholders to compare. If my project team have to deal with a project which puts the cost at the top priority of the triple constrains, I would definitely use the EMV analysis to give my sponsors and other stakeholders a clear and valid risk analysis report. Finally, the third type of quantitative analysis and modeling techniques is the modeling and simulation, which means that one can translate the specified detailed uncertainties into future impact…

Li (2000) introduced copula function approach in the aspect of evaluating credit derivatives, the copula function has gradually become the main approach in pricing CDO (Burtschell & George, 2005). In Li (2000) paper, a new random variable named ‘time-until-default’ was created to demonstrate survival time of each defaultable entity. And the copula function approach is based on this random variable to evaluate the default probability of financial instruments. Specifically, copula function specify…

occurred through passive transport and as there is no correlation between each concentration, there is also no pattern to observed. Precision refers to the closeness of two or more measurements together. In the above table, it is evident that the average weight difference for potatoes that were placed in sucrose (0.00g) and glucose (0.01g) are reliable. This can be shown through the increase of 0.01g as seen above. The potato which was placed into the ethanol solution can also be classified as…