Conservatism

Two system view of reasoning is also called the dual-process theories where two distinct processing modes (systems) are available for the cognitive tasks. System one is an automatic, fast, intuitive or non-conscious (Evans, 2007), and associative through linking the ideas in plausible way to create such meanings. This system governs most of our lives. System two is controlled, slow, deliberated, focused and conscious. In addition, it is characterized that it is effortful where the required cognitive tasks are based on more suspicious and vigilant thinking. Cognitive bias is an attribution of system one which employs shortcuts, heuristic or "rule of thumb" to form a decision or judgment. On the other hand, system tow main attribution is the rational, logical (Tsujii & Watanabe, 2009), analytical, and rule-based processing (Evans, 2003). System two is the source of abstract and hypothetical thinking. The two view system assigns two systems of …show more content…
This bias is basically in the individual belief vision where the individual overweight the embedded or memorized old information which considered as "base rate" and underweight the new information that based on evidence when compared to Bayesian belief-revision. The change in the individual opinions occurs orderly but very slow and insufficient in its amount according to Bayes' theorem. In other meaning, when Bayes' theorem is used, the individual may update his/her prior beliefs when the evidence available, but this update is very slow. However, the evidence here may be as the "noise" for the judgment. The disadvantage of conservatism is that it affects the judgment accuracy, underestimate the high probabilities, and overestimate the low probabilities due to overusing the initial anchor (Brenner, Griffin, & Koehler, 2005). However, in my opinion, the advantage of it that it can lower the brain load, despite it may lead to