On August 29, 2005, Hurricane Katrina hit the Gulf Coast of the United States. Ranked as the 3rd strongest hurricane to land in the United States, it affected many lives; 1,836 deaths and millions of people were left homeless [1]. It has been reported that there is a 65% chance in the next 50 years a hurricane with the capacity of Hurricane Katrina will hit the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta. This hurricane may cause destruction due to flooding, which more than 300,000 people would be in direct path of the floods.
To limit the impact on the livelihood of people in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, a detailed evaluation plan must be developed. Since the amount of time that the people have to evacuate depends on advanced …show more content…
Table 6. Food Supply Cost Analysis
Food Supply # of People Cost per Person Time Supply Lasts Time Cost Applies Total Cost
Survival Kit 300,000 $179.00 2 Weeks Immediate $53,700,000
Vegetables 300,000 $47.46 2 Weeks 2 Weeks $14,238,000
Meat Package 300,000 $169.20 1 Month 1 Month …show more content…
The interface aspect of the evacuation plan was the sheltering of the evacuees. It was assumed that each evacuation destination had sheltering for the evacuees including shelters, hotels, and churches for example. Sheltering is vital in the evacuation plan but with so many different variations of sheltering the evacuation plan overlooked this interface.
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Sensitivity to parameters is also important because if an evacuation plan cannot accommodate or adapt to the needs of the evacuees, lives could be lost and/or people could become homeless. Sensitivity is measured by how well the evacuation plans can be modified for the evacuees. For example, if an evacuation plan is originally formed to evacuate 300,000 people, would the plan successfully evacuate people if it was increased to 305,000 people. The evacuation plan that was selected accounts for different amounts of people, whether lower or higher than 300,000 people.
QUALITY OF EVACUATION