Epidemiologist Uncertainties Essay

Improved Essays
When it comes to uncertainties within epidemiologist, uncertainties become the basis of most research. To better explain what I mean Dr. Arnold Relman said it best, “Most scientific information is a probabilistic nature, and we are talking about probabilities, not certainty. What we are concluding is the best opinion at the moment, and things may be updated in the future (Schneider & M.-J, 2014, p.98)”.” Essentially uncertainties are more common then certainties do to the likelihood that there could be an altered reaction or unidentified change. Epidemiologist measure uncertainties by using a mathematical equation calculation of the statistic probability that something will happen or become infected. A case in point can be perceived using

Related Documents

  • Improved Essays

    The Great Influenza In the excerpt from his book “The Great Influenza” John M. Barry, characterizes scientific research as “grunt” and “tedious” work, highlighting that scientists must acquire courage to accept and embrace uncertainty. Barry develops his ideas by utilizing an extended metaphor comparing the unknown and the known, antithetical ideas of uncertainty and certainty, and rhetorical questions to mirror the thought process a scientists encounters. Using references from scientists Claude Bernard and Einstein, Barry bolsters his thesis by establishing ethos to emphasize that a scientist requires courage to “embrace-uncertainty.” Barry’s ostensible audience are scientists because he opens and closes the excerpt by directly addressing…

    • 411 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    Well-known scientist, John M. Barry, in his book The Great Influenza presents the idea of advancements in scientific research is created by uncertainty yet, creating more uncertainty. He adopts a philosophical tone in order to convey to his readers that uncertainty is a tool used to expand knowledge. Barry utilizes antithetical and analogies in his writing to communicate that idea. Barry begins his writing by juxtaposing the strength and thoughts about certainty with the weakness and fear of uncertainty to better describe the process of scientific research. He interprets this idea in his third paragraph by contrasting scientists and the possibility that all work could disproven and lost in just a “single laboratory finding”.…

    • 360 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Decent Essays

    Also, I do believe that scientists were too careless when the director of the CDC spoke about the outbreak he sent wrong message to the population in general, saying openly that they will go to get treated…

    • 309 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Decent Essays
  • Superior Essays

    Exploring the Unknown Science is one that is often thought of as a methodical process. Students are taught to follow a set group of rules to achieve a predictable result. But, once these students are actually engaged in the reality of the scientific world, they find out that scientific research is far more complex and adventurous expanding beyond this simple ruleset they are presented with They learn that science embraces the risk of being wrong and pushes its pursuer to explore knowledge that had previously never been explored. Scientists are expected to grasp knowledge that no one had ever before been presented with, making the field of scientific research one filled with risk and unpredictability. In the excerpt from The Great Influenza,…

    • 1185 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Superior Essays
  • Improved Essays

    National Prevention Council Anna Kate Beam University of West Georgia National Prevention Council The Affordable Care Act created the National Prevention Council, which the United States uses to develop a strategy that provides a plan for prevention, wellness, and health promotion (National Prevention Council, 2011). The National Prevention Council is under the direction of the Surgeon General and composed of multiple national leaders and health care professionals. The council develops a strategy that promotes prevention and a healthy lifestyle through a list of priorities made by the persons appointed to the council. The council bases the priorities on the health issues across the United States (National Prevention…

    • 1066 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    Carpi and Egger’s reading “Uncertainty, Error, and Confidence” discusses how there will always be a small portion of error in all scientist’s works. However, there are two different types of error: statistical and systematic and the main difference between the two is that statistical error is random and systematic error can be compensated for during an experiment. Scientists do not report just a single value as a measurement due to these types of errors in experiments, they report a certain range of values, which is a confidence interval. Another key aspect within the reading is in regards to uncertainty. Scientists must accept and realize that there will be errors within the measurements, thus a sense of uncertainty.…

    • 306 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    People need to take precautions in life to help them achieve the best health possible. Being vaccinated is one way people can prevent communicable diseases. People can reduce their risk of catching a non-communicable disease by practicing healthy behaviors. People can increase their personal safety habits in the home and their community by simply following rules and using common sense.…

    • 312 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    Preconception Care Essay

    • 911 Words
    • 4 Pages

    This health policy attempts to reduce the number of adverse birth outcomes caused by a dearth of preconception care. The evidence-based interventions suggested in the policy are primarily focused on education and testing. Attainable education-based interventions include a focus on nutrition related to folic acid and iron intake, avoidance of environmental hazards such as pesticides, lead, and methyl mercury in fish, and family planning initiatives including birth spacing and contraceptive methods. Testing, when it is feasible to do so prior to conception, gives mothers and babies the healthiest start possible. Testing should be conducted for genetic conditions, underlying causes of infertility, STIs and HIV, and proof of vaccination from serious…

    • 911 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Decent Essays

    The use of ratios in epidemiology is different than the uses of portions and rates. In today’s epidemiology ratios are defined as the value obtained by dividing one quantity by another. This can be seen if one was to compare the number of motorcycle fatalities of men to female. So if 950 males died in a motorcycle and only 50 female the ratio would equate to 19:1 males to females. While a proportion is also a ratio where the numerator is part of the denominator commonly expressed as a percentage.…

    • 213 Words
    • 1 Pages
    Decent Essays
  • Improved Essays

    Disease Mongering Essay

    • 1290 Words
    • 6 Pages

    Moynihan, Heath and Henry argue that the pharmaceutical industry capitalises on the want of consumers to eliminate undesirable conditions. They claim that pharmaceutical companies partake in “disease mongering”: that is, they fabricate new diseases by “widening the boundaries of treatable illness”. Critics such as Healy and Dossey agree with this claim. However, I will argue that, although not unfounded, the claim that pharmaceutical companies are guilty of disease mongering is not justified. I will argue that the definition of disease presented by Moynihan, Heath and Henry does not conform to the accepted definition of disease.…

    • 1290 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    The Center for Disease Control’s Influenza Vaccination Campaign Did you know that the best way to prevent influenza is getting a vaccine each season? This same concept is the general message plaguing many of the Center for Disease Control’s Influenza Campaign advertisements. Because getting a early vaccination prevents flu, many of these advertisements are dedicated to motivate the public in getting an influenza shot. The Center for Disease Control’s campaign to promote influenza vaccinations uses several advertising techniques along with addressing separate audiences to effectively encourage young adults, adults with children, and the general public to get influenza vaccinations. One of the influenza vaccination campaigns posters, appropriately headed “Spread Music-Not Flu”, vitalizes the importance of getting a flu vaccination to young adults.…

    • 550 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    putting your child at risk to catch a disease that is dangerous or deadly but also putting others in contact with your child at risk. Getting vaccinated is much better than getting the disease”. Respected advocates for vaccination include Ben Carson, MD, Professor Emeritus of Neurosurgery at John Hopkins University, in a Feb 2, 2015 article, Ben Carson Backs Vaccination as ‘safe,’” available at www.thehill.com stated: “Although I strongly believe in individual rights and the rights of parents to raise their children as they see fit, I also recognize that public health and public safety are extremely important in our society… Certain communicable disease have been largely eradicated by immunization policies in this country and we should not…

    • 307 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    Risk and Protective Factors Risk Factors Risk appears at every transition in Manuelito’s life, he began to pick up several risk factors from early childhood years through late adolescence, which includes individuality factors, family factors, environmental factors, school factors and association with peers. In Manuelito’s early life through to adolescent years he was exposed to violence and conflict in his family. His father was an alcoholic who was often violent when intoxicated.…

    • 719 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    Safety Of Vaccines Essay

    • 1661 Words
    • 7 Pages

    Introduction Vaccines were a major technological advance in medicine. Vaccines provided a quick, simple, and accessible way for people to develop immunity to a certain disease before experiencing the symptoms. Although vaccines diminished the number of cases of these diseases dramatically, certain groups of people started to oppose immunization, sparking a “vaccine war.” These groups of people reject vaccination due to the side effects linked to vaccines, the belief that an individual has a right to autonomy, religious purposes, and the lack of supporting science. Despite these reasons, the federal government should continue to enforce vaccines due to the benefits, the maintaining of public safety as well as the safety of the individual, and…

    • 1661 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    When children are born, one of the first things they get are vaccinations to protect them. Almost every child has been given a vaccination at one point in their life. Most people do not even think about it anymore. It it just a part of life. However, there are some people that believe vaccinations are unethical and should be optional.…

    • 1317 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Improved Essays