The influx of refugees created by affirming the resolution leads to conflict in two ways. First, Amanda Ekey finds that refugees pose a security risk to host countries. Based on empirical data from 2005, a 1% increase in the size of a country’s refugee population creates a corresponding 18% increase in terrorist attacks. (Amanda Ekey) Secondly, refugee movements create tension and disputes between countries. The University of Texas calculates that the flow of 20,000 (logged) refugees from the initiator raises the odds of a military dispute between states by 85%. (Idean Salehyan) In addition, the outflow of refugees spreads the conflict, as the University of San Diego calculates, the outflow of 100,000 refugees increases …show more content…
Esses of the University of Western Ontario finds, the media takes advantage of the uncertainty and fear of the refugee crisis to create a mentality of panic in the host populations, thereby portraying asylum seekers as evil enemies storming the gates to invade Western nations. These portrayals include depictions that suggest that immigrants spread infectious diseases, all refugee claims are falsified, and that terrorists may gain entry to western nations disguised as refugees. (Victoria Esses) This exacerbates political polarization, as The New York times finds that it is not clear if the dissenting countries will comply with any new policies accepting refugees. (Steven Erlanger) This creates internal conflict inside of the countries, which further polarizes the population. The refugees lead to the implementation and backing of xenophobic leaders and plans as the parties divide and take their individual sides on the controversy. In fact, Max Rosenthal finds that in liberal Sweden, the refugee crisis has fueled and inflamed support for the country's anti-immigrant party. (Max Rosenthal) When both the media and governments are against refugees, the United Nations finds that refugees are particularly vulnerable to discrimination caused by xenophobia, as manifestations of anti-foreigner hostility are being widely reported in all regions of the world, not just in wealthy, developed