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11 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

Population Change

Population System






Births ------------> Total -------> Deaths


Immigration --> Population -------> Emigration

Key Terms


(Learn the Demographic Transition Model)

Crude birth rate - Number of births per 1000 people per year in a region


Crude death rate - Number of deaths per 1000 people per year in a region


Natural increase - The difference between the birth and the death rate. If deaths are greater than births then it is 'natural decrease'


Fertility rate - Average number of children born per woman. In 2014 UK was 2.18, average 2.5

Factors affecting fertility rates

Diseases


Contraception and family planning


% of women educated and working


Better healthcare


Children needed to work to support parents


Perceived cost of children


Government policies (child benefits)

Factors affecting mortality rates

Disease


Natural disasters and ability to cope and prepare


War and conflict


Access to healthcare


Wealth


Ageing population


Lifestyle choices


Diet, water, education and sanitation

Analysing population change in the UK

Family size has fallen from 4/5 in 1900s to 2 now


Ageing population 16% over 65, previously 7%. Due to life expectancy increasing from 50 and 57 to 77 and 82 (m,f)


Migration has increased, some counter urbanisation. 26% live in London


Decline in manufacturing (offshoring) means more tertiary industry


More women in work


Higher education and more social mobility


8% minority groups, much more diverse population

Internal reasons for UK population change

Falling birth rates - suffragette movement, equal pay and rights, abortion legalised (1967)


Longer life expectancy - NHS set up, school leaving age increased


Changing work and status - Increased A level take up, more university students


Migration trends - development of cities encourages movement


Changes in ethnicity - More labour needed after war, Indian workers came over

External reasons for UK population change

Falling birth rates - global recession and rising energy costs limits available funds


Longer life expectancy - globalised medicine and movement of dangerous jobs overseas


Changing work and status - TNCs investing overseas, less jobs in UK due to rise of China/India


Migration trends - cheap jobs in China mean manufacturing workers have to move to cities


Changes in ethnicity - 600,000 polish have come to the UK since 2004

Dependency Ratio

Population under 16 + Population over 65


____________________________________________ x100


Population 15-64




As a result of ageing population the UK has a growing dependency, lower the score the better for the country. Currently 60% work and pay for 21% of retirees, by 2030 56% will support 27%

Challenges of an ageing population

- Increased tax burden of working people to fund pensions and healthcare


- More housing needed


- Increased dependency ratio


- More healthcare needed (care homes, workers, NHS bills)


- Decline in size of workforce

Opportunities from an ageing population

- Grey pound, spent on goods and services


- Taxes can still be collected


- More demand for certain services e.g. leisure activities and cafes


- Younger people can benefit from their knowledge and experience


- Old people do volunteer work for free that workers don't have time for

Case Study - Christchurch in Dorset

- 30% of the population of 47750 are pensioners By 2031 this will be 38%


- Higher life expectancy than UK average (80.3, 84.4)


- Lower birth rate and higher death rate than UK average (9.2b) (11.8d)


- Despite natural decrease population isn't falling due to in migration


- Brain drain reduces fertility rates in the area


- Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole are working together to improve the quality of life for the elderly, helping them stay in their own homes for as long as possible