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14 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
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Episode 1 - A Taste |
25 Statement on Beliefs 18 Statements on Thinking General Overview of What will be learnt on the Course. |
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Confirmation Bias - the Mother of all Bias |
If we want to believe something we will seek evidence confirming it, and won't seek out or reject evidence that refutes that belief. |
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Regression to the Mean |
The phenomenon that if a variable is extreme on its first measurement, it will tend to be closer to the average on its second measurement. To avoid making incorrect inferences, regression toward the mean must be considered when designing scientific experiments and interpreting data |
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6 Leads of Opinion Change |
1 - What do you really believe anyway? 2 - How well based is the opinion you already hold? 3 - How good is the evidence? 4 - Does the evidence contradict what you already believe? 5 - If the current evidence is insufficient to make you change your mind, what would be sufficient evidence? 6 - Is it worth finding out about, or is it a case of 'why not' ?? |
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Scientific Method |
Evolutionary - changes when the evidence (data) changes. |
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Post Hoc Ergo Proctor Hoc |
""After this, because of this..." |
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Response Bias |
Hit - Miss - False Alarm - Correct Rejection. (Example Appendix reference to Operate due to the additional cost (risk) of not operating on an inflamed Appendix (Miss), balanced against operating on a non-inflamed Appendix (False Alarm). |
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The Cochrane Library |
On line resource database of medical treatments and validity of claims for cures. |
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Observer (Expectancy) Effects |
The tendency to see what one expects or desires to see. (Example - Autistic Facilitated Communication) |
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Double Blinding |
Neither the person taking or administering the 'test' or experiment are given knowledge of what is being administered or expected. (Example - Wine Experiment) |
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Confirmation Bias (Again!) |
Only seeking out or valuing any evidence that confirms a belief you already have, and rejecting or refusing to acknowledge any evidence to the contrary. |
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It Must be the Middle |
When presented with 2 opposing opinions, the listener assumes there must be some truth in both arguments and the reality is 'somewhere in the middle''... |
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Fundamental Attribution Error |
The Tendency to underestimate the impact of the situation. The Situation is a far more robust predictor of future outcome than the Personality of the person in that situation. Example - The Teacher / Learner electric shock experiment. |
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Channel Factors |
Nudge! Something that makes it a little easier to act in accordance with your preferences / values. Example - Opting in or Opting Out of Organ Donation. |
