Shubber focuses the assumption Deliveroo makes in valuing their options in employing a volatility of 2%. To put it in perspective, this …show more content…
In their 2015 report, the firm assumed a 45% volatility to calculate the fair value of their ESOs, which seem much more in line with the figures used by competitors. A possible explanation could be that as Deliveroo witnessed rapid growth and gained its “unicorn” status, there have been increasingly more jitters on the possibility of their IPO in the near future. In such a case, Deliveroo may be gearing up to present themselves to a different audience; the public. When receiving funding from industry veterans in the PE/VC world who will see right through such valuations and rather focus on the growth potential of the company, such play on numbers may have not made a difference. However, as a company that recorded a negative operating cash flow of £111m last year, that is preparing themselves to be publicly traded, window dressing their financial statements and making the headline numbers like EBIT look better may have risen higher in Deliveroo’s list of priorities.
The biggest problem about valuing options on unlisted equity instruments is that so much relies on the validity of the assumptions being made. The Deliveroo case is a perfect example of how the degree of subjectivity allowed in just one of the inputs in the Black Scholes method can materially impact the financial reporting of a