It’s less equation and more statement of the components needed for a communicating civilization. However, Steven Dick, astronomer and author of The Biological Universe, would contend this equation is more than a discussion tool, but a reification of cosmic evolution. The Drake equation steps through the currently observed evolution of the cosmos, from the creation of the universe to the birth of the solar system, in terms of the biological, social, and astromical. Finally, Dick noted in his book the importance of social evolution, based on the final term of the equation, and reemphasized not taking it literally.
Of course, this doesn’t deter people from doing so. In an application of and a lecture on the Drake equation by Carl Sagan, he posits the average number of habitable planets in a system is two, half of which develop life, that a tenth of those planets develop intelligent life, and a further tenth of those are communicating planets. Based on two different final terms, the lifespan of communicating civilizations, his two results were ten and, more optimistically, millions of civilizations in the galaxy, a drastic …show more content…
This includes the possibilities that Earth is a unique or rare instance, aliens lack the ability to communicate, and, somewhat darkly, intelligent life naturally destroys itself or others. Despite these explanations, the Fermi paradox not only casts doubt on the validity of the Drake equation, but the idea that the universe is biological, a concept closely related to cosmic evolution. If the equation is based on false premises, that there isn’t a natural progression from creation to life to communicating civilizations, then the nature of the universe may not be inherently biological. The conditions that gave rise to Earth are such that they are not, and perhaps cannot be, replicated across the