What you thought the answer was.
My initial thought was to stay with my first choice because I had a 50/50 chance of winning the car since I already knew a goat was behind one of the doors. It was truly a baffling mind game and completely counter-intuitive.
Information from the video what the answer really is.
You have the opportunity to win a car hidden behind three doors. Behind the three doors are two goats and the car. After you choose a door, the host opens one door revealing a goat because he already knows behind which door the car is hidden. You are faced with the choice of deciding whether to stay with your original decision or to switch your choice to the remaining closed door. Most people will decide it makes no difference to swap doors since there is a 50/50 chance of winning the car. The answer is that you should always swap because it gives you twice the chance of winning the car.
How was …show more content…
The problem is very simple yet complex; I was completely surprised by the answer to this question, and now it makes perfect sense.
Theoretically, the doors can be allocated into two groups: the door in group one, which you picked, and the doors in group two, which you didn’t pick. What I learned was that Monty actually is helping us by sifting out the poor choices. Where everyone makes the mistake is, they don’t use this beneficial information to their advantage.
Monty Hall’s Problem can also be applied as a life lesson. When faced with a decision, one has to take into account that subsequent information and actions can defy prior decisions. Misconceptions have been known to get us all into some real trouble. Thoroughly thinking a problem through, will often lead to a better understanding of a problem or situation and alleviate errors and in many cases,
My initial thought was to stay with my first choice because I had a 50/50 chance of winning the car since I already knew a goat was behind one of the doors. It was truly a baffling mind game and completely counter-intuitive.
Information from the video what the answer really is.
You have the opportunity to win a car hidden behind three doors. Behind the three doors are two goats and the car. After you choose a door, the host opens one door revealing a goat because he already knows behind which door the car is hidden. You are faced with the choice of deciding whether to stay with your original decision or to switch your choice to the remaining closed door. Most people will decide it makes no difference to swap doors since there is a 50/50 chance of winning the car. The answer is that you should always swap because it gives you twice the chance of winning the car.
How was …show more content…
The problem is very simple yet complex; I was completely surprised by the answer to this question, and now it makes perfect sense.
Theoretically, the doors can be allocated into two groups: the door in group one, which you picked, and the doors in group two, which you didn’t pick. What I learned was that Monty actually is helping us by sifting out the poor choices. Where everyone makes the mistake is, they don’t use this beneficial information to their advantage.
Monty Hall’s Problem can also be applied as a life lesson. When faced with a decision, one has to take into account that subsequent information and actions can defy prior decisions. Misconceptions have been known to get us all into some real trouble. Thoroughly thinking a problem through, will often lead to a better understanding of a problem or situation and alleviate errors and in many cases,