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13 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
Alpha level
The threshold P-value that determines when we reject a null hypothesis. Using an alpha level of (alpha), if we observe a statistic whose P-value based on the null hypothesis is less than (alpha), we reject that null hypothesis
Alternative hypothesis
The hypothesis that proposes what we should conclude if we find the null hypothesis to be unlikely
Critical value
The value in the sampling distribution model of the statistic whose P-value is equal to the alpha level. Any statistic value further from the null hypothesis value than the critical value will have a smaller P-value than (curly q letter) and will lead to rejecting the null hypothesis. The critical value is often denoted with an asterisk, as z*, for example.
Effect size
The difference between the null hypothesis value and the true value of a model parameter.
Null hypothesis
The claim being assessed in a hypothesis test. Usually, the null hypothesis is a statement of "no change from the traditional value," "no effect," "no difference," or "no relationship." For a claim to be a testable null hypothesis, it must specify a value for some population parameter that can form the basis for assuming a sampling distribution for a test statistic.
One-proportion z-test
A test of the null hypothesis that the proportion of a single sample equals a specified value (H(null): p=p null) by comparing the statistic z=(p hat-p null)/SD(p hat) to a standard Normal model
One-sided alternative
An alternative hypothesis is one-sided when we are interested in deviations in only one direction away from the hypothesized parameter value
P-value
The probability of observing a value for a test statistic at least as far from the hypothesized value as the statistic value actually observed if the null hypothesis is true. A small P-value indicates that the observation obtained is improbable given the null hypothesis and thus provides evidence against the null hypothesis
Power
The probability that a hypothesis test will correctly reject a false null hypothesis. To find the power of a test, we must specify a particular alternative parameter value as the "true" value. For any specific value in the alternative, the power is 1-Beta.
Significance level
Another term for the alpha level, used most often in a phrase such as "at the 5% significance level."
Two-sided alternative
An alternative hypothesis is two-sided when we are interested in deviations in either direction away from the hypothesized parameter value.
Type I error
The error of rejecting a null hypothesis when in fact it is true (also called a "false positive"). The probability of a Type 1 error is alpha.
Type II error
The error of failing to reject a null hypothesis when in fact is it false (also called a "false negative"). The probability of a Type II error is commonly denoted B(Beta) and depends on the effect size.