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36 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

Types of data

Time series


Cross sectional


Pooled

What is another name for qualitative variables

Dummy variables

What is panel data?

Same Cross sectional data surveyed over time.

What is non eperimantal data?

Data controlling agency does not have direct control over the data. Same data compatible with more than one theory. Passive data.

What is a parameter?

Numerical quantity that characterised a population or some aspect of it. Also know as regression co-efficients.

What is the scope of regression analysis?

To explain the relation of the dependent and independent variables allowing for an inexact relationship which is represented by the error term.


Estimate the PRF.

What are residuals?

The difference between the predicted and the observed values due to errors.

Multiple linear regression

A regression with two or more independent variables.

Define income and substitution effects

Income effect = effect of increased purchasing power on consumption.



Substitution effect = how consumption changes with relative changes in income and price.

What is the conditional mean?

Mean dependent variable value for a particular value of the independent variable.

Population regression line

Line adjoining all conditional means of all independent variables.

Population regression function

Mathematical form in which the population regression function is expressed.

Elaborate on the intercept

The intercept is the conditional mean of dependent variable if independent variables are zero.

What is the significance of the slope

The slope is the rate of change of the conditional mean in response to an independent variable.

What is a random variable

Numerical description of the outcome of a statistical experiment which is characterised by a porbability distribution.

Discrete vs continuous random variables?

Discrete random variables can only have a finite number on the number line



Continuous random variables also includes any value in the interval between finite numbers

4 Reasons for error term

1. Influence of variables that are not explicitly included in the model.


2. Intrinsic randomness


3. Error of measurement


4. Ockham's razor

Why isn't the sample regression line equal to the population regression line?

1. Sampling fluctuations


2. Sampling errors

What is the residual sum of squares

The sum of all the errors of the same squared

How do you estimate b1 and b2

By solving the least squares nornal equations simultaneously

What is the equation or the SRF and why?

Sample mean of Y = b1 + b2( sample mean of X)

What is Okun's law?

Yt = -0.4(Xt - 2.5), relationship between economic growth and unemployment.

Percentage point increase vs percentage increase

Percentage point increase = increase by 1%


Percentage increase = (7 - 6) / 6 = 16.6%

Name Gauss Markov assumptions

1. Linear parameters


2. Given Xi the expected value of ū = 0 therefore zero conditional mean


3. There is random sampling and sample variation in x


4. Homoscedasticity


5. No autocorrelation between error terms


6. No correlations between dependent and independent variables (exogeniety)


7. No correlation between independent variable and error term.

Homoscedasticity vs heteroscedasticity

Homoscedasticity - size of the error term is the same in all the independent variables



Heteroscedasticity - size of the error term varies with every independent variable.

What is autocorrelation?

The covariance between variables is 0 and they do not effect each other.

Define positive and negative autocorrelations

Postive autocorrelation - variable above mean will influence another variable to be above it.



Negative autocorrelation - value below mean will influence another variable to be below it.

What is Okun's law?

For every 1% increase above 2.5% GDP, there is a 0.4% decrease in unemployment.

What are two other names for the independent variable

Explanatory variable, regressor

What are the assumptions of the classical linear regression called?

The Gauss Markov theorem, OLS estimators are BLUE

What is a BLUE?

Best linear unbiased estimator, Ordinary least squares, lower variance. If biased there is no sense in comparing their estimates.

When deriving OLS estimators what are important things to note?

1. Differentiation of b0 and b1 both = 0



2. Whole digits multiplied by given equation can be cancelled with 0



3. Separate sums



4. Remove averages from the sums



5. Turn average of x into xi

What is the law of iterated expectations?

Expectation of the estimate of B1 is infact B1 and the estimator is unbiased can be proved by proving thats expected B1 estimate given x is B1

What is the optional Gauss Markov assumption and why?

The optional assumption is that the error follows a normal distribution so that confidence intervals may be calculated.

What is multicollinearity?

When independent variables of a regression model are correlated.

What is am MLE

Maximum likelihood estimator