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29 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
Cognitive Misers |
-we often use mental shortcuts (heuristics) to form judgements & make decisions -saves us time, but can also bias how we think a/o the social world (social cognition) |
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Cognitive Biases |
include: -availability heuristic -counterfactual thinking -representative heuristic -The Hot-Hand effect -Regression to the mean -Effort heuristic -role of motivation |
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Availability Heuristic |
-what is it fundamentally? (a cognitive bias) -estimating the likelihood of an event occurring by how easily instances of it come to mind -factors influencing the availability heuristic include: -recency -vividness -distinctiveness |
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Recency |
*factor influencing the availability heuristic: -how frequently did we hear about something in the past? |
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Vividness |
*factor influencing the availability heuristic: -how much detail you remember something; the more vivid, the more of an effect it has |
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Distinctivenesss |
*factor influencing the availability heuristic: -how different or unique it appears -may also play a role in the false consensus effect: we overestimate how much others share out opinions, attitudes, and behaviors |
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Counterfactual Thinking |
-what is it fundamentally? (a cognitive bias) *tendency to imagine alternative events or outcomes to various events -leads to emotional amplification *what factors influence counterfactual thinking? -near>far miss(distance or time) (ex.missing a train by 1 min vs. 20 min) -deviations>routines -negative>positive outcomes |
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Representative Heuristic |
-what is it fundamentally? (cognitive bias) -the tendency to classify someone/something based on its similarity to a typical case |
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Representative Heuristic ex. (Linda)
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*Linda:given ambiguous info a/o her..is she a)bank teller or b) bank teller & feminist? -more probability of "a" b/c it only requires 1 thing to be true, vs. "b" which requires 2 things to be true -likelihood of "a" is higher than the likelihood of (a+b) being true -we fall victim to the conjunction fallacy in this case (if you chose "b") |
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Conjunction Fallacy |
-association: Representative Heuristic -def: occurs when it is assumed that specific conditions are more probably than a single, general one -fall victim to this w/ Linda ex. |
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Representative Heuristic ex.( John) |
*John:given ambiguous info a/o him...must decide if he is a)a truck driver or b)Ivy League classics professor -typically people choose that he is an ivy league professor(remember he likes poetry) over being a truck driver -base rates are ignored...in this case, there are 16 ivy league classics professor, versus 42,000 truck drivers (this ignorance is why we assume he's a professor based off of the info we fit to social biases) |
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Base Rates |
-association: Representative Heuristic -def: base rate fallacy occurs when a person judges than an outcome will occur w/o prior knowledge of the probability that it will occur -we ignore base rates w/ John ex. |
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The Hot-Hand Effect |
-what is it fundamentally? (cognitive bias) -def: playing really well over multiple games--cant miss a basket; idea that success breeds success *S1:100 bball fans from Cornell&Stanford -91% believed player had better chance of making shot after making previous 3 than after missing previous 3;in reality:person has 50% success rate, and 61% success rate after having made a shot, 42% after missing previous *S2: examined 76ers FGs from 1980-81;found that the differences b/w shot % depending on success rate of prev. 3 has no impact *S3: examined free throws of 76ers in 1980-81 (accts. for increase risk of shooting if your "hot")-no evidence of hot-hand effect found *S4: examined Cornell bball players in gym; sense of "being hot" didn't predict this @ all |
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Regression to the Mean |
-what is it fundamentally? (cognitive bias) -statistical tendency for extreme scores or extreme behavior to return towards one's average -ex. Madden cover jinx: this is not true at all, people just ignore the phenomena that is the regression to the mean |
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Effort Heuristic |
-what is it fundamentally? (a cognitive bias) -idea that the more effort we put into something, the better we should do; effort equates to quality tendency |
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The Role of Motivation |
-what is it fundamentally? (a cognitive bias) -motivation can affect how we view statistically independent events -"good" streaks are likely to continue b/c we're "on a role" -"Bad" streaks are likely to end b/c "we're due" -BUT the universe doesn't have a memory for random events! |
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Confirmation Biases |
tendency to seek, interpret, and remember info that verifies existing beliefs -examples... -Confirmatory Hypothesis testing -Beliefs &Memory -Belief Perseverance -Self-Fulfilling Prophesies |
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Interpreting Ambiguous Information |
Hannah ex. (ex. of Confirmation bias) -Group1: told her fam=educated/white collar, -Group2: told her fam=semi-edu./blue-collar, -watched a video of Hannah in class which presented ambiguous info a/o her intelligence Results: -when you don't see the video, there isn't a huge diff. b/w those who rated her as higher/lower level to be placed -huge diff. when we see ambiguous video-we pull info that supports our hypothesis/ignore what doesn't fit our initial bias |
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Confirmatory Hypothesis Testing |
-type of confirmation bias -once we have a hyp. a/o our social world, we look for ways to support it -when do we seek info objectively vs. confirm our pre-existing expectations? --uncertainty(no initial prediction) --high motivation to be accurate --have time & cognitive capacity |
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Beliefs and Memory |
-a heuristic influencing confirmation bias -subfactors associated with beliefs/memory are: 1.Sharpening 2.Leveling |
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Sharpening |
-assoc. with the factor of beliefs and memory which impacts the use of confirmation biases -def. we often add details to a memory that are consistent w/ our prior beliefs |
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Leveling |
-assoc. with the factor of beliefs and memory which impacts the use of confirmation biases -def: we often forget details of a memory that are inconsistent w/ our prior beliefs |
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Belief Perserverance |
-a heuristic influencing Confirmation biases -def: maintaining beliefs even after they have been discredited -can be reduced by thinking of why alternatives may be true |
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Self-Fulfilling Prophecies |
-a heuristic influencing confirmation biases -def: tendency for one's expectations to evoke behavior that confirm the expectations |
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Rosenthal's Study |
-Some kids labeled "bloomers" vs. others (randomly selected) -RQ:could teachers' expectations actually influence student performance? -teachers were told some pupils were on the verge of "intellectual growth spirt"(random) -8months later, bloomers scored 30 pts higher on standardized tests -must understand the process chart |
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Behavioral Confirmation |
-a heuristic influencing confirmation biases -people's social expectations (rather than personal beliefs) can create a self-fulfilling prophesy -ex. attractiveness study-males believe female partner is attractive vs. unattractive --attractive female partner rated as more friendly, confident, sociable (based on social vs personal)...woman's acts reflect our stereotypes of attractive people b/c of how men interacts w/ her |
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When Will We Use Heuristics? |
1.when we're happy (why spend time thinking when things are good? 2.when we're working during "off-peak" hours(morning vs. evening people..if you work during your off-peak hrs. your not thinking as critically, rely more on heuristics) 3.when the situation is complex (1st day of college) 4.when there is time pressure |
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When Will We Think Critically? |
1.when we're sad(mild-moderate sadness triggers thoughtfulness) 2. when events are unexpected(when control goes away, we think more) *w/ #1/2-once something bad happens, we look for a way to change it 3. when our outcomes depend on others (we tend to be self-centered animals) 4. if we have a high need for cognition |
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How Can We Avoid Biases? |
-being one's own devil's advocate -using attributional logic --looking for dispositional and situational causes --considering the covariation principle: consensus, distinctiveness, and consistency ex. tripping over your dance partner's feet; yours or your partner's fault? |