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107 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
Casual relationships are determined by...
the use of experiments
Regarding Casual Inference, surveys can help you infer ____, but not strong enough for ____ ____
1. Causality

2. Scientific evidence
Casual research design
(X -> Y)
Independent Variable
X

AKA: casual variable, treatment, or stimulus
Dependent Variable
Y

AKA: Outcome, caused variable
May be thought of as understanding a phenomenon in terms of conditional statements of the form "If X, then Y.
Causality
Describe the sample (hence the name descriptive study) - after running an ad, you may ask a # of questions.
Survey
2 groups, one group sees the new ad, other group doesnt. Outcome could be attitude toward the brand.
Experiment
If treatment X is given, the outcome Y occurs.

If treatment X is not given, then the outcome Y should not occur.

Which two groups?
Experimental group

Control group
Variables that may have some effect on a dependent variable but yet are not independent variables.
Extraneous Variables
Methods for controlling Extraneous Variables:
(3)
Randomization
Physical Control
Design Control
The random assignment of subjects to treatment conditions to ensure equal representation of subject characteristics
Randomization
Holding constant the extraneous variables throughout the course of an experiment (Ex. matching participants on personal demographic characteristics)
Physical Control
(used when randomization is NOT possible)
Using the experimental design itself to control extraneous casual factors
Design Control
An ___ ___ is a procedure for devising an experimental setting such that a change in a dependent variable may be attributed solely to the change in an independent variable.
Experimental design
When a measurement of the dependent variable is taken prior to changing the independent variable, the measurement is sometimes called a ____
Pretest
When a measurement of the dependent variable is taken after changing the independent variable, the measurement is sometimes called a ____
Posttest
A "___" ___ design is one that truely isolates the effects of the independent variable on the dependent variable while controlling for effects of any extraneous variables
"True" Experimental Design
Designs that do not properly control for the effects of extraneous variables on our dependent variable are known as ___ ____
quasi-experimental designs
There is no ___ ____ in quasi-experimental designs
experimental effect
Internal Validity
the observed change in the dependent variable is, in fact, due to the independent variable. (establish casual relationship X-Y)
External Validity
(responsiveness of your sample)
the results of the experiment apply to the "real world" outside the experimental setting.
___ experiments are those in which the independent variable is manipulated and measures of the dependent variable are taken in a contrived, artifical setting for the purpose of controlling the many possible extraneous variables that may affect the dependent variable.
Laboratory Experiments

(adantages: quick, less expensive)
(disadantage: artifical setting)
____experiments are those in which the independent variables are manipulated and the measurements of the dependent variable are made on test units in their natural setting.
Field Experiments

(adv: should hold true in real world)
(disadv: expensive, time-consuming)
8 Threats to Internal Validity in Experiments
(name 6)
Selection Bias
History
Maturation
Testing
Instrumentation
Martality
___ ___ may have been present if the experiment was only given to those who showed interest.
Selection Bias
AC Nielsen's ___ Index
Television
A form of field experiment for assessing the market's reactions to new/existing product and its associated marketing mix.
Test Marketing
Tests a products marketing mix variables through existing (normal) distribution channels.
Standard test Market
Performed by an outside firm that guarantees distribution of the test product through outlets of selected cities.
Controlled Test Market
___ ___ markets are those in which a limited amount of data on consumer response to a new product is fed into a model containing certain assumptions regarding planned marketing programs, which generates likely product sales volume.
Simulated Test Markets (Virtual)
Advantages of Simulated Test Markets
(and provide example)
Convienence, Cost Savings (dont have to buy shelf space), Don't have to have physical product ready.

Example: CyberScan.com
___ ____ markets are those in which a panel of consumers has agreed to carry identification cards that each consumer presents when buying goods and services.

(example and advantage)
Electronic Test Markets

Example: Kroger Card
Advantage: Gives individual specific data
- multiple versions of semi-finished product are tested by consumers
B2C
- they key technology is presented to select clients
B2B (Industrial Market)
Possible negatives with industrial test market..
Confidence agreement is not very effective
~must give prototype to clients you trust, like long term clients
A ___ ___ ___ market is test marketing conducted in specific foreign countries that seem to be good predictors for an entire continent.

Examples: 2
Lead Country Test Maket

Colgate-Palmolive's new shampoo and conditioner
Swiffer - first in Japan.
Colgate-Palmolive tested their new shampoo/conditioner in what countries first?
(4)
Philipines, Autralia, Mexico, and Hong Kong
for 1 year
Test Marketing Examples:

McDonald's Tests McPizza in __ stores in ___ ___
24 stores in Evansville, Indiana
Subway Pizza started in a handful of stores in __, then expanded to __ resturants, then went ___
New York City
15
Nationwide
Startbucks $1 coffee started in _____
Seatle, Washington
Nature of manipulation in test markets
4 P's
Top 5 test market cities are:
Albany (NY), Charlotte(NC), Rochester(NY), Nashville(TN), and Eugene(OR)
Advantages of Test Marketing
Most accurate method for forcasting future sales, allows opportunity to pretest marketing mix variables
Disadvantages of Test Marketing
Results may be wrong (not guaranteed), competitors can sabatoge test marketing efforts (ex. mountain dew sport), expensive, and time-consuming.
Total Error =
Sampling Error + Non-sampling Error
Sampling error is the same thing as ___ validity
External
Non Sampling (systematic error) error is the same thing as ___ validity.
Internal
4 Types of Internal Validity issues.
Respondent error (no response, refusal, hostility)
Researcher Biases, Measurement (bad questionaire), Design Errors (bad experimental design)
Problem with definitional Errors (bad MRP's)
Researchers Administrative errors (loosing data, mistakes processing data)
___ ___ is any error in a survey that occurs because a sample is used.

Caused by what 2 factors?
Sampling Error

1. Method of sample selection
2. Size of the sample
"Large Sample Size Bias"
People think larger sample size is always better, which is not the case.

1000 frat guys vs 500 randoms
Statistical consideration for survey.
minimum of 50 people in sample. Stat analysis reuires at least that.
The only perfectly accurate sample is a ____
Census
The ___ ___ ___ is the correct method by which to determine sample size, which applies the concepts of accuracy (sample error), variability, and confidence interval to create a "correct" sample size.
Confidence Interval Approach
____.com uses national opinion polls.
Gallop.com

+ or - 3% sample error (which is standard)
National opinion polls tend to use sample sizes ranging from _____-____.

Why?
1000-1200

With a sample size of 1000 or more, very little gain in accuracy occurs even with doubling or trippling the sample to 2000 or 3000.
____refers to how similar or dissimilar responses are to a given question.

Represented by _ and _
Variability

p and q
The larger the size of the (probability) sample, the less is its sample error.
T or F?
True
3 Types of Probability Sampling:
Simple Random -
Stratified Random -
Cluster -
Simple Random - each element (individual) in the population has a known and equal chance of being selected
Stratified Random - population is partitioned into sub-populations, then elements are randomly selected from each strata at random.
Cluster - Population is partitioned into sub-populations, or clusters, then clusters are selected at random, then either all or some of each selected cluster taken as part of the sample.
Advantages of Simple Random Sampling (2)
Representative and generalizable.
Types of Non-Probability Sampling:
Convenience
Quota
Snowball
____ sampling attempts to obtain a sample of convenient elements.

Adv / Disadv.?
Convenience Sampling

Adv: Least expensive, and time consuming
Disadv: findings generalizability
___ sampling is a two stage, restricted judgmental sampling. First stage, develop control categories or quotas of population elements. Second, sample within categories.
Quota Sampling

Non-equal chance of being selected!
___ Sampling: initial random sample selected, then each respondent identifies others in target population.
Snowball Sampling
Sampling techniques in which each element has a fixed probability of being selected.
Probability Sampling
Sampling techniques that do not use chance selection procedures. Rather they rely on the personal judgement of the researchers.
Non-Probability Sampling
a master lsit of all the smaple units in the population is called a ___ ___
sample frame
The degree to which the sample frame fails to account for all of the population
Sample frame error
A structured questionaire given to a sample of a population (sampling frame) and designed to elicit specific information from respondents
Survey
Descriptive research is undertaken to describe answers to questions of __, ___, ___, __, and ___.

Not ___
Who, What, Where, When and how

Not: Why
Surveys tend to be:
(2)
Based on large samples
Structured (everyone asked same questions)
Advantages of Surveys
Standardization
Easy to Administer and record
Ability to use advanced statistical analysis, esy to analyze
Can detect small differences among subgroups.
Disadvantages of Surveys
Difficult to design good questionaire
Limits to the in-depth detail of data
Limited control over timeliness, and potentially low response rates
Participants may lie
All scales have this characteristic. Discriptors such as Male/Female, Married/Single, etc.
Description
___ refers to the relative sizes of the descriptors, such as great than, less than, and equal to.

Which scales have this characteristic?
Order

Ordinal, Interval, and Ratio scales
___ refers to the absolute differences between the descriptors which are expressed in units.

Which scales have these characteristics? Exception?
Distance

Interval and Ratio scales
Exception: True Class Interval
A scale is said to have the characteristic of ____ if there is a unique beginning or true zero point for the scale.

Which scale has this characteristic?
Origin

Ratio scale
A ___ ____ is not a ___ ___ value for a scale
Neutral Category

Zero Value
A ___ ___ is one that is typically composed of small number of distant values or categories.

Two Types?
Categorical Scale

Nominal and Ordinal
A ___ ___ is composed of numbers or labels that have an underlying measurement continuum.

Two Types?
Metric Scale

Interval and Ratio scales
A scaled-response for commonly used by marketing researches that measures intensity of agreement or disagreement.
Likert Scale
The ___ ___ scale is a good way to measure a brand, company, or store by listing a series of bi-polar adjectives to choose from.
Semantic Differential scale
___scales simply label objects
Nominal
___scales indicate only relative size differences between objects by rank-ordering
Ordinal
___scales use descriptors that are equal distances apart for construct measurement.

Adjectives are ___descriptors
Numbers are ____ descriptors
Interval

Primary
Secondary
Scale that uses unequal descriptor distances.
True Class Interval Scale
___scales have a true zero origin exists, variable can be measured directly.
Ratio scale
Use ___ and ___ scales as much as possible because ___ and ___ can be derived
Ratio and Interval

Mean and Standard Deviation
A ___ is an abstract idea inferred from specific instances that are thought to be related.

Can only be measured ____
Construct

Indirectly
The first step in constructing a scale is to ___ your construct.
Operationalize
The mental vision of how each construct will be measure is called an ___ ___
Operational Definition
___is the truthfulness of responses to a measure
Validity
___ ___ determines if the question "looks like" it measures what it is suppose to measure.
Face Validity
When using semantic differential scale, avoid Halo Effect by ...
Flipping adjectives randomly.
___ ___ is a systematic process in which the researcher contemplates various question formats, considers a number of factors characterizing the survey at hand, words the questions carefully, and organizes the questionaires layout.
Questionaire Design
___ ___ is defined as the ability of a question's wording or format to influence respondents' answers.
Question Bias
In questionaire organization, the introduction includes what: (4)
Disguised/Undisguised (purpose of study)
Incentives
Anonymity/confidentiality
Screening questions
The researcher uses question ____ to scrutinize a possible question for its question bias
Question evaluation
Survey questions should be:
(4)
Focused
Brief
Simple
Crystal Clear
10 Words to avoid in question development
All
Always
Any
Anybody
Best
Ever
Every
Most
Never
Worst
Survey questions should not be: (4)
Leading
Loaded
Double-barreled
Overstated

(know what each of these is)
Question flow is important in a survey. __ and ___ should be used to accomlish this.
Warm up Questions
Transitions
___ __ refers to the introduction and the actual flow of questions on the questionaire
Questionaire Organization
The use of numbers associated with the question responses to facilitate data entry during data collection and data analysis after the survey has been conducted.
Coding
3 types of Non-Probability Sampling:
Convienence Sampling
Quota Sampling
Snowball Sampling
Convenience - obtain sample of convenient elements. (people nearby)
Quota - A two-stage, restricted judgemental sampling. First stage, develop control categories or quotas of population elements. Second stage, sample within categories
Snowball - Initial random sample selected. Then respondent identifies others in target population.
Convenience Sampling is used most often because its:

Limitation?
Easy
Cheap
Saves time

Findings generalizability
Establishing internal validity means....
your observations are correct, at least within your sample.