Although most experts believe a failure of intelligence on the American side was to blame, they disagree on whether the roots of that failure were organizational, psychological, or analytical. Conversely, others argue the real problem lay not with the intelligence community, but with the military commanders who were unprepared for the Japanese attack; or with the American policy makers who pushed the nation to war; or even with the Japanese enemy who devised a brilliant plan of deception and surprise.3 One of the key arguments that historians lean towards is how cognitive biases fueled the intelligence failure in the attack at Pearl Harbor. Two of the types of cognitive bias that aided the intelligence failures were and confirmation
Although most experts believe a failure of intelligence on the American side was to blame, they disagree on whether the roots of that failure were organizational, psychological, or analytical. Conversely, others argue the real problem lay not with the intelligence community, but with the military commanders who were unprepared for the Japanese attack; or with the American policy makers who pushed the nation to war; or even with the Japanese enemy who devised a brilliant plan of deception and surprise.3 One of the key arguments that historians lean towards is how cognitive biases fueled the intelligence failure in the attack at Pearl Harbor. Two of the types of cognitive bias that aided the intelligence failures were and confirmation