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150 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
Cone of silence
area above a radar that cannot see any precipitation
-only applicable when theres one radar only
with range from radar there is _________ because of ____
height; curve of earth
Two modes of radar
clear air vs. precipitation
ASOS stands for and what is it part of; what does it do
Automated Service Observation System; part of surface weather observation
What is ASOS used for
aviation and helps meteorologists study climate
where/when is ASOS taken
thousands of locations around world
airports, military bases, ships
hourly basis
What are types of ASOS observations?
automated, automated with manual augmentation, manual
What are METARs/SPECIs
coded weather observations transmitted globally
What can ASOS/AWOS not measure
hail, tornadoes, sleet, or show depth
how can we observe thunderstorms
human observers/sensors
What are pieces of puzzle for weather observations
surface weather observations, AWOS/ASOS, Upper Air/rawinsonde data, upper air/profiler data, NWS Cooperative climate data (CoCoRaHS), World Meteorological Organization (WMO)
What are two types of upper air measurers?
rawinsondes and profilers
How high do rawinsondes get carried up?
75,000-100,000 feet
what is the downside of rawinsondes
only taken ever 12 hours and costly (200000-250,000/yr)
What are profilers/where do they measure/what do they measure
like a doppler weather radar facing upwards made to fill holes of doppler radars
-CONTINUALLY transmits
-measures wind direction/speed of UPPER AIR
downside of profilers?
not getting the full data set like a rawinsonde
What is National Weather Service Cooperative Climate Data and what is an example
CoCoRaHS- peoples individual data
What does WMO stand for and what does it do
World Meteorological Organization
-responsible for international exchange of weather data & certifies that observation process does not vary between nations since all weather observations must be comparable
Where do people get forecasts from
radio, tv, internet, newspaper
AMS/NWA (voluntary profession organizations)
What is AMS
certified broadcast meteorologist (on air meteorologist)
What are AMS/NWA
radio and tv "seal of approval" programs
What led to end of weather bunny era/creation of AMS
April 3&4, 1974- worst tornado outbreak at the time
who has authority to issue weather watches/warnings/advisories
National Weather Service
Weather Watch
atmospheric conditions are favorable for the type of weather specified (generally larger geographic area; generally longer time span of 4-6 hours)
Weather warning
type of weather specified is imminent or is occurring (smaller geographic area; generally shorter time spans 1/2-1 hour)
-immediate threat to life/property
ex: winter storm, flooding
Advisory
type of weather is imminent or occurring but not a threat to life or property
ex: fog, freezing rain, heat
Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)
computer atmospheric "models" that are mathematical in nature and run 1-4 times a day (00z, 06z, 12z, 18z)
-susceptible to data in/data out (mistakes result in outcome in mistakes entered initially)
What are problems with NWP (numerical weather prediction)
-bad data in/bad data out
-models dont handle very cold air very close to ground
-small disturbances/erros tend to be amplified with time (chaos)
-data sprase areas of the world
-cannot adequately interpret many of the factors that influence surface weather
meteorological cancer
over reliance of forecasting tools on computers and computer models
Methods of forecasting
persistence forecasting, stead state/trend forecastin, analogue method forecasting, ensemble forecastic, climatological forecasting, probability forecasting
persistence forecasting
VERY short term
-short time period in a stable weather pattern
steady state/trend forecasting
weather system coming at ___ mph, therefore front will arrive at _____
-noticing how quickly system is moving; assuming when it will arrive
problem with steady state/trend forecasting
fronts and weather does not stay same speed
analogue method forecasting
comparing weather systems to ones in the past
danger of analogue method forecasting?
no two weather systems have ever been the exact same; we can only compare the similarities
climatological forecasting
similar to persistence
-using known climate patterns to forecast future forecasting (temp, etc)
EX: predict that July 22 in texas the high wil be 101
probability forecasting
very misunderstood
forecaster certainty X areal coverage expected
-NOTHING TO DO WITH AREAL COVER OR TIME
where is probability forecasting obtained from
model data; purely statistical
short term forecasting- how long/what is accuracy of predictions
today, tonight-tomorrow
85-95% accuracy
medium term forecasting- how long/accuracy???
2-3 days
80-85% accuracy
longer term forecasting- how long/accuracy???
4-8 days
75% accuracy
Where are thunderstorms common
warmer, equatorial climates- maritime tropical
what do you need for thunderstorms to occur (3 things)
atmospheric lift, moisture, instability
cumulus stage of thunderstorm
entire systems updraft drive (no rain or lightening)
mature stage of t-storm
updrafts/downdrafts coexist (most inclement weather)
dissipation stage
downdraft oriented (downdraft shuts down updraft)
-storm dying
how long does a thunderstorm last at most
1 1/2 hours for everyday t-storm
what determines how long t-storms last
how long updraft can persist before being shut down by down draft
what causes a major t-storm
-LOTS of moisture, lift, instability
-strong winds aloft in upper level
-creates vacuum
what are regular t-storms called
single cell/air mass type storms
what are long lasting storms called
severe storms
what percent of all t-storms are single cell/air mass type storms
95%
how many days a year is thunder recorded in ATX
40-45 days
why are there few t-storms on west coast
cold moisture- stabilizing
Characteristics of air mass thunderstorms
greatest number of them worldwide
random
not well organized
short lived (1-1 1/2 hours)
over escarpments
within an airmass (MT)
beneficial (rain in summer)
downdraft cuts off updrafts & commits atmospheric suicide
heating related- topo/geographically/daytime
describe atmospheric suicide
"downdraft (colder dense air) cuts off updraft
make makes tstorm severe
-tornado presence
-1 in diameter or later hail (at SURFCE)
-convective wind gusts of 50 knots/58 mph
what percent of tstorms are sever
<5%
what happens if updraft is separated from downdraft
lasts longer
why are t storms longer lasting
well developed wind structure (2 hrs or longer)
where do most severe t storms occur
middle latitudes along cold fronts/dry lines
cP/mP/mT/cT boundaries
ingredients needed for severe t storms
marginally unstable air
strong lifting mechanisms
air flow aloft to encourage strong updrafts
presence of initial temp. inversion creates lid on atmosphere violently broken by strong lifting mechanism
temperature inversion
temp increases with height for short distance rather than decreased
squall lines characteristics
line of thunderstorms
density of t storms along line can determine severity of individual thunderstorms
broken squall line characteristics
weather threats
larger hail sizes;
weak tornadoes around breaks lines or in southernmost
scattered density squall line characteristics
weather threats
mesocyclones/supercells
stronger tornadoes
larger hail
super cells characteristics
tstorms that develop a strong internal wind structure (up/down drafts separated)
-long lasting that CONTROL environment
-always severe
-cause wind/hail damage often
mesoscyclones characteristics
rotating updraft with an intense cumulonimus cloud (severe t storm)
-3-7 miles across
-caused by strong wind speed/direction shear aloft
-less than 20% produce tornadoes (discovered from doppler weather radar)
mesoscale convective complex (MCCs) characteristics
number of individual t storms that grow in size and arrange/organize into large convective complex
-1000 X as large as average air mass t-storm
-common plains into Miss. valley
-blow NW to SE
-doesnt produce many tornadoes
-produces a lot of rain and lightening
derecho
"striaght ahead/direct"
widespread/usually fast moving convective windstorm
-damaging wind over areas hundreds of miles long and more than 100 miles across
-not as well organized as MCCs
what is a step leader
path of lightning is not always visible and lightning finds channel to get to found
lightning discharge
part of charge comes from ground and part comes from cloud
steps of lightening
1. step leader- finds channel to reach ground
2. lightning discharge- part of charge comes from ground/cloud
3. return stroke
what creates charge
abundant amounts of water, ice, updrafts
name charges with upper, lower cloud and group
upper cloud- positive
lower cloud-negative
group-positive
thunder
explosive heating of air molecules around lightning
what causes lightning
separation of charges created by ice and water in the up and down drafts
how far can lightning be away and strike?
10-20 miles away
when do people get strikes most often
not raining
when does lightning most often occur
within 20 min of beginning of cumulus stage (going into mature stage)
how many lightning strikes per second in world & how much in damage every year
100/ $25 million
how big is lightening bolt
diameter of pencil
how hot is lightning bolt
5X surface of sun (up to 54,000 degrees F)
how fast can strikes occur
less than 1/10th of second
how can you tell how far away lightning is
5 seconds between lightning and thunder=1 mile distance away from stroke
if there is lightning there is what somewhere
thunderstorm
what is heat lightning
storm is too far away to hear thunder
name types of lightning
cloud to ground (LTGCG)
cloud to cloud (LTGCC)
cloud to air (LTGCA)
cloud to water (LTGCW)
intracloud (LTGIC)
considering all lightning- what percents of types of lightning make up
60% intracloud or cloud to cloud
20% cloud to ground
which is most dangerous type of lightning
cloud to ground
two most things that get hail damage
cars and agriculture
record hail size
7 inches in diameter
what determines hail size and storm severity
storm's up/downdraft strength
how fast an large hail travel
100-125 mph
what determines if hail is severe
1 or greater in diameter
largest hail falls what of tornadoes
NE
what is straightline thunderstorm wind
mostly benign at around 30 mph, but occasinally can come to speeds of 100 mph
what determines severe winds
50 knots/58 mph
what damage pattern do straightline winds have
divergent
what damage pattern do tornadoes have
convergent
what characterizes microburst
2.5 miles or less in diameter
macroburst
greater than 2.5 miles in diameter
where is danger in downbursts and who is most likely at danger
aviation at lower levels (5oo miles) rather than 30,000 miles up
flash flood
leads to river flooding
river flooding
mainstream flooding
flash flood capital of US
south central TX
why is South Central TX so prone to flash floods
1. subsoil limestone rock layers
2. hilly nature of TX hill country
3. urbanization
what is one of leading causes of flooding
stalled out stationary fronts where tstorms are stationary
tornadoes
intesnse rotating column of air that portrudes from base of a cumulonimbus cloud in shape of a funnel that touches the ground
what percent of all thunderstorms produce tornadoes
<1%
atmospheric pressure is about _____ percent less than standard atmospheric pressure in tornados
10
weak tornadoes characteristics and what percentage and storm damage category(s)
thin, rope like
80% of all tornadoes
EF0, EF1 damage
weak tornadoes lifetime/percentage of US tornado fatalities
10 min or less
less than 5%
weak tornado wind speed/path length/path width
speed: 65-110 mph
path length 3 miles
path width 90 yards
strong tornadoes characteristics/percentage/storm damage categorys
classic, wider funnel
19% of all tornadoes
EF2, EF3
strong tornadoes percent of US tornado fatalities, lifetime
30%
20 min or more
strong tornadoes wind speed/path length and path width
wind speed- 111-165 mph
length 15+ miles
width 200 yards
violent tornadoes characteristics, percentage of all tornadoes, damage categories
very wide wedge funnel
<1% of all tornadoes
EF4, EF5
violent tornadoes percent of all US tornado fatalities, lifetime
70%; 60 + minutes
violent tornadoes wind speed/path length and width
166-318 mph
25+miles
600 yards width
EF0 damage
light
EF1 damage
moderate
EF2 damage
considerable
EF3 damage
severe
EF4 damage
devastating
EF5
incredible
tornado definition
rapidly rotating column of air
extends from cumulonimbus cloud
touches ground
may not always be visible
if DEBRIS CLOUD IS VISIBLE NEAR GROUND- IT IS TORNADO
funnel cloud
when debris cloud is not visible near ground but has all over characteristics of tornado
two scales for tornados
strength scale and damage fujita scale
most tornados in northern hemisphere rotate ____
counter clockwise
temperature profile of tornadoes
unknown
tornadoes are more frequent in where than any other part of world
north america
where are tornadoes most common in US
south/central US plains/mississippi valley
when are tornadoes most frequent (what time of day)
3-7 pm local time
when do 50% of tornadoes happen
april, may, june
when do 75% of tornadoes occur
march-july
which month holds greatest number of tornadoes
which month holds most violent tornadoes
may/april
average US tornado movement is from ___ to ____
what is exception and direction
southwest to northeast
exception is texas- direction is E/SE to W/NW
average US tornado sped
30 mph
annually average amount of US tornadoes
1300
four types of thunderstorms
single cells, multicell clusters, multicell lines, supercells
non severe thunderstorms are found where in regards to airmass

severe tstorms??
within mT airmass
severe- on boundary of MT airmass
name frequencies of lightning and appropriate number of flashes
occasional (OCNL) less than 1 flash/minute
Frequent (FQT) 1-6 flashes per minute
Continuous (CNS) more than 6 flashes per minute
which charge is more frequent/dangerous regarding lightning
positive is less frequent but more deadly
how are aviation weather observations observed regarding thunderstorms
begin when first thunder is heard and ends 15 minutes after last thunder is heard
lightning capital of US
florida
which is more common- straight line thunderstorm winds or tornadoes
straight line thunderstorm winds
what are straight line thunderstorm winds also referred as
downbursts
number one weather killer in US
summer heat
what determines evaporative cooling?
amount of environmental moisture present