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22 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

Confidence interval

Estimated range of values which is likely to include an unknown population parameter, the estimated range being calculated from a given set of sample data


We say we are 95% confident that the population mean lies between.....

Point estimates

A statistic that is used to estimate an unknown constant or parameter. Once data is collected we call it a point estimate. Sample mean for example




As an estimate of population mean (sample mean)


An estimate of success probability ( is sample proportion)


In order to be useful necessary for point estimate to describe how far off from true value.

T distribution

Used for small samples for approximately normal population

Chi square distribution

Probability distribution based on variance or sample variance.


a probability density function that gives the distribution of the sum of the squares of a number of independent random variables each with a normal distribution with zero mean and unit variance, that has the property that the sum of two or more random variables with such a distribution also has one, and that is widely used in testing statistical hypotheses especially about the theoretical and observed values of a quantity and about population variances and standard deviations



Bernoulli distribution

Experiment that can result in one of two outcomes. Success p and failure (1-p)

Binomial distribution

N bernoulli trials that are independent, each trial has same success p.

Poison distribution

Approximation to binomial distribution when n is large and p is small

Independent

When trials dont impact one another

Discrete versus continuous distributions

Fixed values versus over a range

Geometric distribution

Sequence of independent bernoulli trials each success p, X is number of trials up to and including first success. X discrete random variable with geo dis with parameter p.

Negative binomial distribution

Extension of geometric trials up to and including rth success

Multinomial trials

Like bernoulli but can have k outcomes

Normal distribution

Good for many continuous populations. Bell shaped curve. Mean may have any value and variance may have any positive value.

Z

Z-score of x. Item sampled from normal population with mean 0 and std. dev 1

Lognormal distribution

Data that contains outliers. X=lnY has N(mu,sigma^2) distribution

Uniform distribution

Two parameters a and b with a<b. X is random variable with continuous uniform distribution then uniformly distributed on (a,b)

Statistic

A quantity calculated from the data

Accuracy of estimator

Measured by bias and precision is measured by its standard deviation or uncertainty.

Mean square error

Want to be as small as possible. Measures overall goodness of an estimator. Combines both bias and uncertainty.

Central limit theorem

If n is sufficiently large the sum of random samples is approximately normal.

Continuity correction

To include endpoints in probability calculation extend each endpoint by 0.5. Adjustment made when approximating a discrete distribution with a continuous one.

Stimulation

The process of generating random numbers and treating them as if they were data generated by an actual scientific distribution.