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38 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
Statistical Science
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The science of making decisions when faced with uncertainty
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Population
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The set of objects an experimenter wants to study or draw conclusions about.
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Sample:
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A subset of the population
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Parameter
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*From population *Unknown *A numerical characteristic of the population |
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Statistic
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*Comes from sample *Known *A numerical characteristic of the sample |
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2 popular parameter/ statistic combos.
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Statistical inference |
The act or procedure pf using statistics from a sample to learn or infer about parameters from the population. |
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Variable of interest
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*The item which is measured from the objects that make up our sample *Whether or not.. (yes/no) *What the #s are |
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Value of Statistic
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*Gonna be a # * EX: 3/14 |
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Suppose we're interested in seeing if the proportion of SFA students that eat at Einstein's Bro. Bagels is greater than 50% and we asked the 24 students in this class. |
*Population: All SFA students *Sample: The 24 students in this class * Parameter: p= the proportion of all SFA students who eat at Einstein's. *Statistic: ^p= the proportions of the 24 students in this class that eat at Einstein's. -Value of Statistic: 9/24 *Variable of Interest: Whether or not a student eats at Einstein's |
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Qualitative Data |
*Data that is naturally categorized * Nominal *Ordinal |
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Nominal |
Qualitative data that does not involve order. Ex: color, preference, gender, major, type of.., cars, shoes, etc. |
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Ordinal Data |
Qualitative data that does involve order. Ex: size, small, medium, large, short or tall, rich or poop, job ranking, classification, etc. |
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Quantitative Data |
*Data that is naturally numerical *Discrete *Continuous |
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Discrete
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Quantitative data that has a countable # of outcomes (to the nearest) Ex: # of.. cars, students, etc. |
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Continuous |
Quantitative data that has an uncountable # of outcomes Ex: Age, weight, temperature, ss #, measurement in general, time. |
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Bernoulli trial
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*A trial that has exactly 2 outcomes *Ex: flipping a coin (H or T), gender (F or M), dead or alive, pass or fail, win/lose, on/off, etc. |
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Null Hypothesis (Ho)
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The hypothesis if no change
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Alternative hypothesis (Ha) |
The hypothesis the researchers is trying to prove.
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Example. |
Court room: Ho: the defendant is innocent Ha: the defendant is guilty |
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ALWAYS
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Jury is told to assume defendant is innocent until proven guilty
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Hypothesis Testing: 2 possible decisions
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* Reject Ho and accept Ha (there is enough evident to be true) *Fail to reject Ho (not enough evidence to be proven true) |
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Ha: |
< left tailed test > right tailed test = two tailed test |
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Binomial Distribution |
Assumptions: 1.) Bernoulli trials 2.) Independent Trials 3.) Constant p (pie) |
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Null Distribution |
-x (x-bar) -t-distribution with df= 17 Test Statsic: t=x-m/s/ square root of n |
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Type 1 Error |
Reject Ho and accept Ha when Ho (in reality) is true.
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Type II Error
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Fail to reject Ho, when Ha (in reality is true)
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Significant level |
The probability of making a type I error
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Significance level |
The smaller alpha is, the lower chances of making type one error, but the chances of making a type II error would be higher.
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3 Most Common Significance levels
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.01, .05, .10
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If you fear.. |
* If you fear type I error more, set alpha= .01 * If you fear type II error more, set alpha= .10 * If you fear type III error more, set alpha= .05 |
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Small p-value |
If the p-value is smaller than alpha then your decision would be to Reject Ho and accept Ha
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Large p- value
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If the p-value is larger than alpha then your decision would be to Fail to reject Ho
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P-value= alpha
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If the p-value is equal to the alpha, then no decision could be made and the decision would be that they are too close to be able to make a decision.
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Central Limit Theorm |
- Let X1,X2,....X10 be a random sample from some population with m & standard deviation of o. If n is sufficiently large (typically then distribution of the < 30) sample mean is approximately normal with a mean mx- = malpha
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What are the two requirements to be able to use the t-distribution? |
We must assume that we are sampling from a normal population and that o is unknown.
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If alpha = .10 and the p-value is calculated to be .051 would you be able to make a decision? If not, why not? If so, what is your decision? |
Yes, because the p-value is lower than the alpha number which means Ho is low, so the decision would be to reject Ho and accept Ha.
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