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38 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
Statistical Science
The science of making decisions when faced with uncertainty
Population
The set of objects an experimenter wants to study or draw conclusions about.
Sample:
A subset of the population
Parameter

*From population


*Unknown


*A numerical characteristic of the population

Statistic

*Comes from sample


*Known


*A numerical characteristic of the sample

2 popular parameter/ statistic combos.


Statistical inference


The act or procedure pf using statistics from a sample to learn or infer about parameters from the population.


Variable of interest

*The item which is measured from the objects that make up our sample


*Whether or not.. (yes/no)


*What the #s are

Value of Statistic


*Gonna be a #


* EX: 3/14

Suppose we're interested in seeing if the proportion of SFA students that eat at Einstein's Bro. Bagels is greater than 50% and we asked the 24 students in this class.

*Population: All SFA students


*Sample: The 24 students in this class


* Parameter: p= the proportion of all SFA students who eat at Einstein's.


*Statistic: ^p= the proportions of the 24 students in this class that eat at Einstein's.


-Value of Statistic: 9/24


*Variable of Interest: Whether or not a student eats at Einstein's

Qualitative Data

*Data that is naturally categorized


* Nominal


*Ordinal

Nominal


Qualitative data that does not involve order.


Ex: color, preference, gender, major, type of.., cars, shoes, etc.

Ordinal Data

Qualitative data that does involve order.


Ex: size, small, medium, large, short or tall, rich or poop, job ranking, classification, etc.

Quantitative Data


*Data that is naturally numerical


*Discrete


*Continuous


Discrete

Quantitative data that has a countable # of outcomes (to the nearest)


Ex: # of.. cars, students, etc.

Continuous


Quantitative data that has an uncountable # of outcomes


Ex: Age, weight, temperature, ss #, measurement in general, time.


Bernoulli trial


*A trial that has exactly 2 outcomes


*Ex: flipping a coin (H or T), gender (F or M), dead or alive, pass or fail, win/lose, on/off, etc.

Null Hypothesis (Ho)

The hypothesis if no change

Alternative hypothesis (Ha)


The hypothesis the researchers is trying to prove.

Example.



Court room:


Ho: the defendant is innocent


Ha: the defendant is guilty

ALWAYS
Jury is told to assume defendant is innocent until proven guilty
Hypothesis Testing: 2 possible decisions

* Reject Ho and accept Ha (there is enough evident to be true)


*Fail to reject Ho (not enough evidence to be proven true)

Ha:

< left tailed test


> right tailed test


= two tailed test

Binomial Distribution


Assumptions: 1.) Bernoulli trials


2.) Independent Trials


3.) Constant p (pie)

Null Distribution

-x (x-bar) -t-distribution with df= 17


Test Statsic: t=x-m/s/ square root of n

Type 1 Error

Reject Ho and accept Ha when Ho (in reality) is true.
Type II Error
Fail to reject Ho, when Ha (in reality is true)

Significant level

The probability of making a type I error

Significance level

The smaller alpha is, the lower chances of making type one error, but the chances of making a type II error would be higher.

3 Most Common Significance levels
.01, .05, .10

If you fear..


* If you fear type I error more, set alpha= .01


* If you fear type II error more, set alpha= .10


* If you fear type III error more, set alpha= .05

Small p-value


If the p-value is smaller than alpha then your decision would be to Reject Ho and accept Ha
Large p- value
If the p-value is larger than alpha then your decision would be to Fail to reject Ho
P-value= alpha
If the p-value is equal to the alpha, then no decision could be made and the decision would be that they are too close to be able to make a decision.

Central Limit Theorm


- Let X1,X2,....X10 be a random sample from some population with m & standard deviation of o. If n is sufficiently large (typically then distribution of the < 30) sample mean is approximately normal with a mean mx- = malpha

What are the two requirements to be able to use the t-distribution?

We must assume that we are sampling from a normal population and that o is unknown.

If alpha = .10 and the p-value is calculated to be .051 would you be able to make a decision? If not, why not? If so, what is your decision?

Yes, because the p-value is lower than the alpha number which means Ho is low, so the decision would be to reject Ho and accept Ha.