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7 Cards in this Set

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Training data

Data that is used to fit the model

Test data

Data that is not used to fit the model

Quality of fit

MSE measures the quality of fit.


With regression problems the quality of a model fit is determined by its MSE on the test data.



For classification problems, the quality of the fit is measured by the proportion of cases for which classification is selected.

MSE

Training MSE is not a suitable indicator of model accuracy, more suitable indicator is " Test MSE". Where we use test data instead of training.

MSE keypoints

1.Training MSE < Test MSE at evey level of flexibility


2. Training MSE decreases as flexibility increases( however its not the case with test MSE)


3. Test MSE is a u-shaped => means accuracy is worse when f is either too inflexible or too flexible.

Variance vs Bias

Method with higher flexibility has higher variance and low sq;bias



• flexible estimators are sensitive to data input, hence have high variance


Vice versa for inflexible.


• when Variance and sq bias decrease at same rate. Test MSE is minimized.



Accuracy with classification problems

We use TEST ERROR RATE for "classification model error "