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18 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

Typical errors in thinking

Hindsight Bias, Overconfidence, and Coincidence

Hindsight Bias

thinking that we "knew it all along"

Overconfidence

We assume we already know things, believe ourselves to be above average

Coincidence

Seeing coincidence as meaningful when it isn't

Critical thinking

Thinking about our thinking while we're thinking to make our thinking better




Analyzing info, arguments, and conclusions to decide for yourself if they make sense instead of blindly accepting it

The scientific attitude

curious, skeptical, humble

Case study

Observing and gathering info to compile an in-depth study of one indivdual

Naturalistic Observation

Gathering data about behavior; watching but not intervening

What is a big problem with case study?

It can't show general principles that affect us all because it only studies one individual

Surveys and Interviews

Having other people report on thier attitudes and behavior

How does wording effect surveys?

It can completley change people's responses and attitudes

Random Sampling

Technique or making sure every individual in the pop. being studied has an equal chance of being in your sample

Correlation

A measure of how closely two factors vary together; an observation that two traits are related to each other

How can we find out about causation?

By experimentation

Experimentation

Manipulating one factor in a situation to determine it's full effect

Independant variable

the experimental factor that is being manipulated

Confounding variable

not the independant variable but something else that may produce an effect in an experiment

dependant variable

the variable that might change in response to manipulations of the independant variable