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5 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

Potential collateral impacts of BSE

agriculture in the EU:


- reduced demand for beef


higher beef stocks


herd reductions


lower prices for producers




rising budgetary costs under common ag policy: 1B




rising food prices, especially in countries such as spain where meat is 6.6% of consumer expenditure




uncertainty about length of demand slump




uk consumption alradying recovering




hard rebuilding will occur creating demand for genetic material and breeding stock

Implication of food chain disruption

often ado's are economic events, not food safety



trade likely restricted or banned




market and price impacts, severe in some cases




more comp. among countries and products




food chain event management takes on added importance

Beef cattle - short run

canada:


- increased specialization in meat packing


-switch to boneless beef exports to US


- some feed yards failed




United States:


-import more beef trimmings to blend w/ US beef for Ground meat


- uruguay emerges as major supplier


-australia captures nearly half of japanese beef market




Mexico: increases exports of live cattle & some meat products



Beef cattle - long run


Canada:


-specialization may continue


-increased packing capacity


import more corn from US


Hog exports to US continue to grow, replacing pork




US:


- beef imports decline, herd rebuilds, prices fall


-austrialia remains major player in japan, canada may emerge


-poultry and pork export growth surpasses beef


- diversifying exports likely important




MExic0:


- rebuilds herd and increases export of live cattle


- may begin to feed more cattle and expand packing

food chain event management

- contingency planning and training


-diversion routes & locations for contaminated cargo


-evaluate alt modes of transportation


-consider food chain event "gaming" similar to military exercises