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9 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
How do recessions cure inflation?
Take the Phillips curve:
pi = pi(e) + a - bU
U* = a/b
pi = pi(e) + bU* - bU
pi = pi(e) + b(U*-U)
pi = pi(e) - b(U-U*)
So allow unemployment U to be high so that inflation pi is low.
What is the rule of thumb for reducing inflation?
Each 1% of extra unemployment for a year reduces inflation by 1/2 point, that is, b = 0.5.
Why is the expected inflation more than the actual inflation?
pi(e) = last year's pi. This is because people don't really expect the inflation to change very much from the previous year.
Why is reducing inflation of the 1980s costly?
Inflation decreased but unemployment rose by twice as much due to the b=1/2.
What are the two theories regarding inflation and unemployment?
1. Inertia theory.
2. Rational Expectations theory.
What is the rational expectations theory?
pi = pi(e) + random number
pi - pi(e) = random number
b(U-U*) = random number unlike in inertia theory where U can be manipulated.
Why is the rational expectations theory different from the inertia theory?
According to rational expectations theory, short run PC is vertical, vibrates randomly. There is no social cost involved in reducing inflation. It does not involve increasing unemployment.
In the absence of inertia in expectations, what else makes it difficult to cut inflation by a large amount?
Labor contracts make it impossible to cut inflation by a large amount. Labor contracts override new policies instituted and rules are built into system for specified length of time.
What else would affect people's rational expecations?
The government must make people believe that they will combat inflation and really go ahead to do it.