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119 Cards in this Set

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American Put


Early exercise is optimal if

PV (Interest on the strike K) > PV (Dividends) + Implicit Call




By exercising a put option early


- Get cash earlier, so you earn interest on K


- Give up implicit call opt


- Give up dividends

American Call - non dividend paying stock


Early exercise is optimal if

Early exercise is never optimal.


C amer = C eur




Lose protection against the price of the stock going below K.


Lose interest on K.

American Call - dividend paying stock


Early exercise is optimal if

PV (Dividends) > PV (Interest on the strike K) + Implicit Put




if early exercise is rational, exercise should be right before a div. is paid, in order to maximize the interest.

Put-Call Parity (PCP)


Prepaid Forward & Forward

Put-Call Parity


Prepaid Forward - Dividend Structure

Put-Call Parity


Forward - Dividend Structure

PCP for Stock




C - P =

PCP for Exchange Option




C(A, B)

PCP for Currency Exchange




S --> ? r --> ? δ --> ?



PCP for Bonds




C - P =




Bt =

Comparing Options - Different Strike Prices


For K1 < K2 < K3: CALL




C(K1) ? C(K2) ? C(K3)


C(K1) - C(K2) ? K2 - K1


European: C(K1) - C(K2) ? PV(K2 - K1)


[C(K1)-C(K2)]/[K2 - K1] ? [C(K2)-C(K3)]/[K3-K2]

Comparing Options - Different Strike Prices


For K1 < K2 < K3: Put




P(K1) ? P(K2) ? P(K3)


P(K1) - P(K2) ? K2 - K1


European: P(K2) - P(K1) ? PV(K2 - K1)


[C(K2)-C(K1)]/[K2 - K1] ? [C(K3)-C(K2)]/[K3-K2]

Comparing Options - Bounds for Option Prices




Call and Put

Comparing Options - Bounds for Option Prices




European vs. American Call

Comparing Options - Bounds for Option Prices




European vs. American Put

Binomial Model


Replicating Portfolio

An option can be replicated by buying delta shares of the underlying stock and lending B at the risk-free rate.

Binomial Model


Replicating Portfolio




Delta =









Delta - shares of underlying stock

Binomial Model


Replicating Portfolio




B =


Lending B @ risk-free rate. If - then borrow to purchase stock.

Binomial Model


Replicating Portfolio




V = option premium =



Binomial Model


Replicating Portfolio




Table

Risk-neutral Probability Pricing




p* =

Probability stock will increase in value.

Risk-neutral Probability Pricing




V =

Risk-neutral Probability Pricing




Se^[(r-δ)h] =

Realistic Probability Pricing




p =



Realistic Probability Pricing




V =



Realistic Probability Pricing

Realistic Probability Pricing







Realistic Probability Pricing

Realistic Probability Pricing

Standard Binomial Tree (Forward Tree)




u =


d =

Binomial Model - Option on Currencies


S --> ? r --> ? δ --> ?




u =


d =

  S --> x0  r --> rd  δ --> rf  

S --> x0 r --> rd δ --> rf

Standard Binomial Tree (Forward Tree)




p* = ... = ...


Interestingly, r and δ don't affect p*.

Risk neutral probability will be close to 0.5

Cox-Ross-Rubinstein Tree




u =


d =

Centered on 1

If e^(r-δ) > e^σ sqrt h, violates arbitrage-free since both u & d are < e^(r-δ). With h small enough this won't happen.

Lognormal Tree (Jarrow-Rudd Tree)




u =


d =





Centered on e^(r-δ-.5σ^2)h

No Arbitrage Condition

Arbitrage is possible if the following inequality is not satisfied:




d < e^[(r-δ)h] < u




Means the upper node must be higher than the result of a risk-free investment and the lower node must be lower.

Binomial Model - Option on Currencies




S --> ? r --> ? δ --> ?




p* =

S --> x0  r --> rd  δ --> rf

S --> x0 r --> rd δ --> rf

Binomial Model - Option on Futures Contracts

Binomial Model - Option on Futures Contracts

Binomial Model - Option on Futures Contracts




T =


TF =


T=<


St -->


δ -->

T = Expiration date of the option


T = Expiration date of the futures contract


T =< TF


St --> Ft,TF


δ --> r

Binomial Model - Option on Futures Contracts




p* =


= 1/(1+u) if tree is based on forward prices

Binomial Model - Option on Futures Contracts




Δ =




# of forwards in replicating portfolio


F = Futures contract price

Binomial Model - Option on Futures Contracts




B =




Option premium since there's no initial cost for futures

Binomial Model - Utility Values and State Prices




Options on Futures (not stocks)




Uu:


Ud:

Uu: Utility value per dollar in the up state




Ud: Utility value per dollar in the down state

Binomial Model - Utility Values and State Prices




Qu = ... = ...


Qd = ... = ...



Binomial Model - Utility Values and State Prices


e^(-rh)

= Qu + Qd

Binomial Model - Utility Values and State Prices




S =



Binomial Model - Utility Values and State Prices




V =

= QuVu + QdVd

Vd = cash flow of the stock at the EOY 1.

Binomial Model - Utility Values and State Prices




p* =

= Qu / (Qu + Qd)

Qi = current value of $1 paid @ EOY 1.

ɣ

discounting rate for option




must be the same as the discounting rate for the replicating portfolio

Binomial Model

Binomial Model

Futures vs. Forward Definition

A Forward agreement is a customized contract.




Futures contract is standardized / marked to market daily. Exchange traded fwd contract.

The one who sells the call option is called the ...

writer.

Buy x, we are... x

long x

Sell x, we are ... x

short x

How to create a Bull Spread


with Puts & Calls

Buy K1 & sell K2.


K2 > K1

How to create a Bear Spread


with Puts & Calls

Buy K2 & sell K1.


K2 > K1

A Bull Spread from the perspective of the purchaser is a ...

bear spread from the perspective of the writer.

Ratio Spread

Buy n of one option, and


Sell m of another option of the same type


m does not equal n

Box Spread

Agreement to buy stock @ K1 and sell it for K2. So profit = K2 - K1 (should be no gain/loss).

Box Spread is a ... option strategy

4: Bull Spread Calls & Bear Spread Puts




K Bull Spread Bear Spread


K1 buy call sell put


K2 sell call buy put



Butterfly spreads is a ... option strategy.

3: all same type.

Option prices as a function of K must be ...

convex.

Collars

buying one option & selling an option of the othre kind. No risk. No profit or loss.

Straddle

buying 2 options of different kinds. It's a bet on volatility. (Strangle is a special subset.)

Conversion

Creating a synthetic Treasury

Reverse Conversion

Shorting stock, buy call, sell put

Asset sold

Underlying asset, St

Asset want / buy

Strike asset, Qt

Foreign risk-free rate

role of a stock to be purchased for a call option or sold for a put option.




S and δ

Domestic risk-free rate

role of a cash in stock. Owner pays in a call or one which owner receives in put.




The one in which the price is expressed.




K

Foreign Currency

underlying asset of option

TRUE / FALSE


If settlement is through cash (not in currency exchange) then put options may not have the same payoff as the call option. One in f while call in domestic. Exchange rate X may be different at time t.

TRUE

A Call option cannot be worth more than ...

underlying stock.

A Euro Call cannot be worth more than ...

prepaid forward price of the stock. If cont divs then upper bound is Se^(-δt).

A Put cannot be worth more than ...

K.

A Euro Put cannot be worth more than ...

Ke^(-rt)

TRUE / FALSE




An option must be worth at least zero since no negative payoff.

TRUE

A Euro option is worth at least as much as implied by ...

Put-Call parity.

For both Calls and Puts, list in order of greatest to least:




S or K


American option


European option


Max(0, Fp - Ke^(-rt)) or Max(0, Ke^(-rt) - Fp)

S >= C amer >= C eur >= Max(0, Fp - Ke^(-rt))




K >= P amer >= P eur >= Max(0, Ke^(-rt) - Fp)

TRUE / FALSE




Every call option has an implicit put option built into it. Similarly, every put option has an implicit call option built into it.

TRUE

For a Euro Put option, longer time to expiry may make the PV of cash received...

lower.

A longer-lived American Call option with K increasing at the risk-free rate must be worth at least as much as a ...

shorter-lived option.

TRUE / FALSE



Longer lived American Put option is at least as valuable as the shorter-lived one, dividends or not; an increase in K is a perk.

TRUE

TRUE / FALSE




An American option with expiry T and K must cast at least as much as the one with expiry t and K.

TRUE




Also true for a Euro Call option.

TRUE / FALSE



A Euro Option on a nondiv paying stock with expiry T and Ke^r(T-t) must cost at least as much as one with expiry t and k.

TRUE




This statement is stronger than the previous statement & includes it. Since it applies to both calls & puts, and increases in K make calls worth less.

The higher K




Call

then lower premium.




The premium for a call decreases more slowly than K increases.

The higher K




Put

then higher premium.




The premium for a put option increases more slowly than K increases.

Three inequalities - if don't hold then arbitrage

Direction, Slope, Convexity

Convexity

Option premiums are convex.




Convexity involves 3 options.

Arbitrage mispricing

If there's a mispricing, the option in the middle will be overpriced relative to other two options. So sell the middle option and buy the ones at the 2 extremes.

TRUE / FALSE




If a put with K1 is optimal to exercise, then so is an otherwise similar put with K=K2 > K1.

TRUE

Two ways to price options

1. Binomial tress


2. Black Scholes

Risk-Neutral assumption

Satisfied to earn the risk-free rate on a risky asset.


An option can be priced using risk-neutral prob. discounted at the risk-free rate.

Law of one price

If two portfolios lead to the same outcomes in all scenarios, they must have the same price.

Risk-neutral pricing is equivalent to pricing with ...

pricing with a replicating portfolio.

B (bond)

Amount we lend when positive.


Lend @ risk-free rate.

Intercept

The intercept (the maturity value of the amt to lend) is the balancing item.

Run =

uS - dS = (u-d)S

Volatility

square root of variance

Volatility


sigma_h =

= sigma \sqrt{h}




Default is annual volatility.

Standard Binomial Tree


Forward Tree

Tree is based on forward prices and "the usual method in McDonald"

Δ decreases to ? as the put gets further into the money.

-1

For a call, Δ increases to ? as the call gets further into the money.

+1

Futures contract - Early exercise

Exercising the option enters one into a futures contract, allowing one to earn interest on the mark-to-market $.

Pricing Options on Futures

Assume Futures have the same price as Forwards.

TRUE / FALSE




An option may have the same expiry as the futures contract, or the futures contract may expire later.

TRUE

Futures Contract

Pays no dividends.


Almost all options on Futures are American style.

Futures Contract




# of shares in replicating portfolio =

e^ (-rh) * Δ

For a bond, the coupon rate serves the purpose of the ...

dividend yield.

TRUE / FALSE




Bond values must converge to their maturity value, or possibly their call value if they're callable.

TRUE

Bonds are MORE/LESS volatile as period to maturity decreases. So cannot project values using fixed volatility rate.

LESS

The best way to project bond values is to project

interest rates.

Underling asset - Dividend Yield




Stock/Stock Index


Currency


Futures Contract


Bond

Dividend Yield




Dividend Yield


Foreign risk free rate


Risk free rate b (r)


Coupon yield

The discounting rate for a put option is negative since...

you invest money at the risk-free rate & sell an asset on which you must pay a higher discounting rate.

Even though the return on the underlying asset is constant, the return on the option ...

varies by period.

Price of an option computed using risk-neutral prob & discounting with r equals...

the price using true prob. & discounting the stock with α and the option with ɣ

Early exercise optimal?




Higher volatility

Less likely early exercise is optimal because of the increased value of the implicit call

Random Walk

Binomial variable in each unit of time, and as the # of periods go to infinity, the position converges to a normal dist. by CLT.

Central Limit Theorem

Since we're multiplying rather than adding moves to model stock prices ..

the stock price converges to the exponential of a normal dist. or a lognormal dist.

Lognormal Model for Stock prices


Assumptions

1. Volatility is constant


2. Stock returns for diff. time periods are indep.


3. Large stock movements do not occur; stock prices do not jump.

All of these assumptions appear to be violated in practice.

Cox-Ross-Rubinstein tree


&


Lognormal tree

Do not guarantee arbitrage-free.




Upper node > forward price


Lower node < forward price

Binomial model




For an infinitely lived Call option on a stock with σ = 0,

exercise is optimal if Sδ > Kr