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53 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
Types of Risk
* Inflationary
* Capital
* Timing
* Interest Rate
* Market/Systematic
* Credit
* Liquidity
* Political
* Call
* Currency
Inflationary Risk
Refers to the uncertainty of cash flows from a particular investment as a result of rising prices.
Capital Risk
Risk that an investor may lose all or part of the principal.
Timing Risk
The uncertainty that the investor will have to sell the investment for less than anticipated due to market timing.
Interest Rate Risk
Similar to inflationary risk; investment’s sensitivity to the cost of money.
Market/Systemic Risk
The chance that the whole economy goes sour. This risk underlies all other investment risks.
Credit Risk
The possibility that a bond issuer will default on a payment or that its credit rating will be downgraded.
Liquidity Risk
The possibility that you may not find a buyer at a fair market price at the same moment you want to sell.
Political Risk
risk that a piece of legislation or newly proposed regulation could create or outlaw an entire industry.
Call Risk
Risk that a bond issuer will buy back a current issue to reissue bonds at a lower interest rate.
Currency Risk
The risk that the exchange rate will change to your disadvantage.
Covariance Formula
Covariance = Cov (r1,r2) = 1/N * Σ (r1i - r1ave)*(r2i - r2ave)
Variance Formula
Variance = σ² = Σ (X - μ)2
N
Investment Income
Interest, dividends, capital gains and gains (or losses) from selling securities or property.
Investment Income
Salary, bonus, perquisites, fees for services and other remuneration for work you perform.
Earned Income
Salary, bonus, perquisites, fees for services and other remuneration for work you perform
Cyclical stocks
move with the broader market - and often with greater volatility - so they outpace the market during an expansion but whipsaw back during a contraction. Automotive stocks are one example.
Counter-cyclical stocks
or defensive stocks do better in bear markets, when investors are looking for safe places - that are not affected greatly by economic currents - to park their money. Companies in the food, health care and defense industries are all examples.
Ex-dividend date
By convention, this is two business days before the record date, the date by which an investor must own the share to be entitled to a dividend. If a seller wants to sell the stock and still be able to keep the dividend, he must do so no earlier than two business days before the record date. For transactions during the ex-dividend period, the seller will receive the dividend and the stock price for the buyer is reduced by the amount of the dividend.
Types of Preferred Stock
1. Cumulative preferred stock
2. Participating preferred stock
3. Convertible preferred stock
4. Callable preferred stock
5. Adjustable-rate preferred
Participating preferred stock
allows the holder to receive additional dividend distributions under specified conditions. The condition is, typically, if the dividend on the common stock rises above a defined threshold. Thus, participating preferred stock provides all the upside potential of common stock with all the steadiness of preferred. Companies that urgently need an infusion of money - early-stage start-ups looking for venture capital - might float participating preferred issues. Most preferred stock, however, is non-participating.
Sinking fund
Money that is taken from a corporation’s earnings and used to redeem preferred shares or corporate bonds periodically. If a preferred stock issue has a sinking-fund provision, it means a portion of the issue must be retired each year.
Gearing Factor
Leverage offered by Warrants, Options. The gearing factor is calculated by dividing the original share price by the original warrant price: $1.50 / $0.50 = 3.
Ex-Rights Price
Share Price that accounts for the dilution of a recent rights offering.
Direct Participation Programs (DPPs)
LLC's for example, enable investors to have an immediate claim on an enterprise's cash flow and tax benefits, typically as a passive investment.
Three Main Benefits of LLCs
1. Pass-through taxation
2. Limited liability
3. Flexible management structure and ownership
Drawbacks of LLC's
1. Often require more paperwork than corporations.
2. Org. structure not as familiar to the public - pool of potential investors - as publicly traded corporation.
3. Some states require that a dissolution date be listed in the articles of organization, and such events as the death or disassociation of a member can automatically trigger dissolution.
RR responsibilities vis-a-vis recommending DPP investments
* The economic soundness of the DPP and the expertise of the general partner, whose ongoing participation is generally the foundation of the entire enterprise.
* The enterprise's basic objectives, start-up costs, certainty of revenue and upside potential.
Simple Yield Formula
Yield = Coupon/Price
Fixed-income securities classifications
TBills - maturity of less than 1 year
Notes - Maturity of 1-10 years
Bonds - Maturity of 10+ years
Corporate commercial paper
Unsecured notes issued by corporations with a typical maturity of 30 days.
Types of money market intstruments
Repos
Fed funds
Commercial paper
Negotiable CDs
BAs
Bond redemption mechanisms
Call - right to buy back prior to maturity date
Sinking Fund Call - fund designated for redeeming bonds
Refunding - New issuance to retire previous bond issue
Treasuries: maturity, tax status, par value and how bid
- All: state/local tax-exempt; Fed non-exempt
- Tbills - < 1 year, $1,000, dollar
- TNotes - >1yr <10 yr, $1,000, yield
- TBonds - >10 yr, $10,000, Dollar now; yield pre-2002
Corpus
Portion of an interest bearing security that states principal owed.
Coupon
Portion of an interest bearing security that states interest payments.
Benefits of STRIPS
- Zero-coupon T-bonds; security
- Non-callable
- Earnings easily determined
- Liquid
- Tax deferred
CMO's
Collateralized Mortgage Obligations - Consolidated investment grade mortgage bonds. Used to mitigate prepayment risk by pooling securities.
Computing a T-bill's discount yield, given its price
1. (Price - 1000)/1000
2. 360/Days to maturity
3. step1*step2
Computing a T-bill's price, given it's yield
1. rate * number of days to maturity
2. step1/ 360
3. step2 - 1
4. step3 * 1,000
Which debt securities use a 360 day convention when calculating accrued interest?
Corporate, Municipal bonds + T-Bills.
Accrued interest formula
1. number of days prior to coupon payment / number of days in a year (fraction of year)
2. Step1*Principal.
3. step2* interest rate
Characteristics of Muni maturity types
1. Term (AKA dollar bonds): Entire issue matures simultaneously, after a long period; used to finance projects w/ uncertain short-term revenues - quoted as a price, or as a % of par.
2. Serial: Issue matures over a period of several years; used for projects with more predictable revenues - quoted in basis points.
3. Serial with balloon: hybrid of term and serial; most bonds mature in a single "balloon" year.
Bond Type Characteristics Used in Valuation
1. Issuer
2. Priority
3. Coupon Rate
4. Options
Floating rate bonds are typically tied to which benchmarks?
3, 6, 10 month T-Bills or
LIBOR
Difference between American callable bonds and European callable bonds?
American callable bonds can be called by the issuer any time after the call protection period while European callable bonds can be called by the issuer only on pre-specified dates.
PV-of-ordinary-annuity formula
PV = PMT * { 1 + (1 + i) ^-n} / i
Future Value Equation
FV = P * (1 + r)^t
OR
FV = P * (1 + i)^n
Present Value Equation
PV = FV * (1 + i)^-t
OR
PV = FV * (1 + i)^-n
Stock screening criteria for Value Investing
- Stock price 2/3 intrinsic value
- P/E in bottom 10% of equities
- PEG ratio < 1
- Price at/below tangible assets
- Debt < equity
- Cur. assets twice cur. liabilities
- Dividend >= 2/3 long-term AAA yield
- Earn. growth >= 7% compounded over last 10 years
Stock screening criteria for Growth Investing
- Strong EPS past 5 years:
Company >$4B >= 5%
>$400M<$4b >= 7%
<$400M = 12%
- Credible forward earnings > 10%, 15% ideal. Company size and industry growth stage key.
- Cost control; profit margin growth vs. past 5 yr. and competitors/industry.
- Efficiency; 5yr ROE & v industry
- Potential to double in 5 yrs.
CAN SLIM
C urrent earnings;
A nnual earnings
N ew
S upply & demand
L eader/Laggard; rel. price strength >70
I nstitutional sponsorship; 3-10 owners to avoid price volutillity
M arket direction;

C = Current qtr EPS >18-20%, ideally 50%
A = Annual earnings per share – These figures should show meaningful growth for the last five years.
N = New things - Buy companies with new products, new management, or significant new changes in industry conditions. Most importantly, buy stocks when they start to hit new price highs. Forget cheap stocks; they are that way for a reason.
S = Shares outstanding - This should be a small and reasonable number. CAN SLIM investors are not looking for older companies with a large capitalization.
L = Leaders - Buy market leaders, avoid laggards.
I = Institutional sponsorship - Buy stocks with at least a few institutional sponsors who have better-than-average recent performance records.
M = General market - The market will determine whether you win or lose, so learn how to discern the
Dogs of Dow variations
Dogs = Top 10 highest div. yield.
Dow 5 : equal weight of 5 lowest priced dogs
Dow 4: 4 highest priced of Dow 5
Foolish 4: 40% weight to lowest price dog, 20% to remaining 3.