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28 Cards in this Set

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Parsimony

If multiple things are possible the simplest is true

Evolution

Science

Data

Graduation

If a model holds up then it becomes a theory

Scientific theory

Idea/model backed up by a **** ton of studies

Theory in everyday language

A hunch not supported by science

Theory and pr

Different meanings of theory by opponents of theories

Induction

Making a generalization based on repeat observations

Observations

"All squirrels I've seen have fur"

Inference

"All squirrels have fur"

Induction limits statements

Can only say it is USUALLY true all squirrels have fur

Probability

Frequent observations=high probability of truth

Quality design=

Quality data

Peer review

Studies often rejected due to poor design

Independent variable

What you manipulate

Dependent variable

What you measure at the end of your experiment

Controlling variables

Keeping all other variables the same

Profit

Revenue-cost

Variance

Subtract score from mean then square it

Bar graph

Used for discrete data

Line graph

Used for continuous data

Average winning campaign of a senator (6 years)

$10,400,000 (35% since 2010)

Average winning campaign of congress (2 years)

$1,600,000 (up 62% since 2010)

Inferential statistics

Are the two groups truly different

5% rule

If probably was equal to or less then 5% it is not random

Comparing dataflow sets

Want to know when two data sets are truly different from one another

Null hypothesis

Hypothesis that states that there is no relationship between the two phenomena

Rider

Clause that rides on unrelated legislation

Senate average incumbent and challenger

Incumbent: $11,847,275


Challenger: $1,000,000