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86 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

Churchgoers attend what kinds of churches?

Ethnically/racially homogeneous churches

People who say religion is important to identity

Likely to say ethnicity is important to identity

God gap (American Grace)

The gap in questioning political differences between people at varying religious levels

Religion and partisanship

There's unquestioned generalization of political life

Abortion and same sex marriage...

Tightly connected to religiosity

Highly religious

More likely to be Republican

Religious divide

Republicans had advantage among churchgoers in early '70s, fallout from McGovern campaign of 1972

Religiosity advantage of Republicans over Democrats

Disappeared with Carter

In the 1980s, Republicans gained advantage among religious voters, continued to grow

Current period is unusual. Church attending evangelicals and Catholics have found a common political cause

2 shifts from American Grace: 1) change in voter

The churchgoer switches from Democratic to Republican

2) Generational replacement

The older generation with partisan allegiances is replaced by political newcomers who came of age in period of political alliances. The new alliances supplant this

God gap is widest

Among those under 35. It grows weaker among generational cohorts

Older voters formed political loyalties when there was no relationship

because of religiosity and partisanship

Connection between frequency of worship attendance and voters' party ID

1982: baby boomers had more relative attendance and Republican party ID


1997: There was a correlation between religious ID and Rep Party ID

Comparison between boomers and their children

Post-boomers have two times the correlation between attendance and party affiliation. People calibrate religious involvement to align with politics

Current religious divide has increased

because of change. Like gradual change over time

Sunday morning country clubbers =

churchgoers

High percent of republicans

people who attend church frequently and have a high education

American with high SES are more likely to attend church than those with low SES

Working class is less likely to attend church than upper class

Cultural issues like abortion, same sex marriage

have had greatest impact on votes cast by upper class voters

Coalition of religious is around

a small bundle of issues (abortion/same sex marriage)

Less category

Civil liberties vs. safety, govt policy, interventionist vs. foreign policy, spending on foreign aid

Alignment occurred b/c of

change in political choices offered to voters

Most people's abortion views are between 2 poles of the issue

There are seemingly small shifts in abortion attitudes which can have significant political implications

There's increasing acceptance of homosexuality

1988: overall same sex marriage support was very low


2008: 1/2 of US expressed support

Working mothers and gay marriage:

won increasing acceptance among religiously secular Americans

There's generational replacement that's making homosexuality increasingly acceptable

Young people support it, and same sex marriage will be less likely to be an issue

Young people's attitudes resemble those of their grandparents

Goes against the grain on other trends. Young people are the most sexually permissive.

While the majority of Americans think abortion should be legal in all circumstances, the majority doesn't think it should be legal in some circumstances

Including safety, legality, rarity. One can be pro choice without defending abortion always

Juno generation

Not ripe for political action

80% of Americans disagree with political persuasion by religious leaders

Some forms of political activity are more common in some forms than others

Politics from the pulpit is rare, no matter where you worship

Drop off in frequency of political sermons.

Nearly 3 in 5 churchgoers have heard a sermon on abortion

but it's not too frequent

Religious social networks are echo chambers

social interaction among like minded coreligionists reinforces/hardens beliefs, even if it's subtle

Democracy - public controls behavior of elected officials by exercising influence at the ballot box

anchor of party ID limits voters from changing party they vote for from one election to the next and wavering in their choice of candidates during campaigns

elections

choice of who will represent country. Religion and politics is all about how we evaluate people

Knowledgable voters sort as Democrats and Republicans based on beliefs and stick to them

Less informed enter campaigns as relatively blank slates, available to persuasion by short-term forces of campaigns (can be persuaded)

Jeremiah Wright incident

Obama could have lost election

Some types of voting behavior

group based voting: voters orient themselves to parties and candidates on the basis of which groups they are for or against. Religion REALLY matters here

another type of voting behavior

Nature of the times voting: voters evaluate whether times are good or bad and reward or punish the incumbent party accordingly

another voting behavior

candidate evaluations: voters' evaluations of the personal characteristics and leadership abilities of candidates (support whom they like and trust)

2008 election temperature

unpopular incumbent, economic depression, American frustration: Obama just happened to be biracial

Kaiser Family: economy/jobs are a top issue for voters, followed by other issues including health care

Economy: 21%, health care: 13%, f.p.: 13%, religion and politics is important, but not only criteria, candidate's personal characteristics: 6%

from lecture God gap

political differences between people at varying levels of religiosity

Theories are generally applicable to white voters

Highly religious, likely to be Republicans. Least religious, likely to be Democrats. African Americans don't fit the trend!

Connections between religiosity and politics

glue that holds religiosity and partisanship together: political salience of abortion and same sex marriage.


Issues are salient because parties have taken opposing positions on both issues


Republicans have formed a coalition of the religious (highly religious evangelical and mainline Protestants, and Mormons)

Jay-Z

Bush doesn't care about black people

Religious divide between parties has become entrenched

this division has varied over time (grown considerably since mid 1980s, Putnam Campbell pg 374)

Abortion and family issues may be losing political potency

Who will care about those issues 10 years from now? Same sex marriage = not a big deal

Politics and worship blend most easily in Af Am churches but not a frequent occurrence

For Evangelicals, overt political activity is even less common

66% of Americans oppose telling specifically who to endorse

Also, legal ramifications of endorsing (501c3, etc)

Political appeals are more likely to come from family, friends, neighbors than fellow congregants

Subtle influence of churches are considerable. Politically relevant info is communicated (governed by religious group beliefs and norms)

Teachings in religious communities resonate politically, then reverberate through friendship networks formed within religious communities

Same religious messages. Subtle, powerful reinforcing of congregations

2008 religious service attendance rate is ~ 37%

religious trends are slow moving. None of the categories have changed much in recent decades

In 1950s, 99% of Americans believed in God

In 2008, number was 92%

US: more religiously diverse than it was in 1972

Catholic immigrants. US shut down immigration in 1924. Restrictions loosened in 1965

5% attend services monthly at least

% of nones is rising. People raised without religion are more likely than they used to be to be without religion as adults. Backlash to religious right's rising visibility in 1980s

After 1990s, more people thought saying you were religious = saying you were a conservative republican

Now, significant minority of people are without no religion

# of people claiming religion other than Christian/Jewish more than doubled from 1% in 1970s to between 2.5-3% today

Recent immigration driving increase in religious diversity. Immigrants from central/South American are mostly Christian

Despite increasing #s of Muslims, Hindus, Buddhists, non-Christian Jews, % of religious others is small

declining proportion of protestants in US. 1970: 62%, 2008, just more than half

Different groups concentrated in different parts of the U.S.

More Catholics in SW/NE, more protestants in SE, more Jews/Muslims in major cities, nones in West

Americans are more accepting of religious diversity

Congregations have become more ethnically/racially diverse

Belief

86% of Americans believe in heaven; 73% in Hell, now as did several years ago. After decline in 1950s, almost everyone still says they believe in God as a higher power

Generational turnover

More recently born individuals are less likely to believe in an inerrant Bible than those born longer ago

Highly educated people are less likely than less well educated to say that the Bible should be taken literally

declining confidence in special status of one's own religion. Every indicator of traditional religiosity is either stable or declining

belief in life after death

Increase in % of people who say they are spiritual but not religious (not interested in organized religion, not yearning people ready to be won over by a new type of religion specifically targeted to them

More people say that they pray than attend services

Americans' religious involvement has softened. GSS - 38% attend religious services weekly

Religious involvement is softening because one of the most religiously involved demographics is shrinking (married couples with kids

Aging: younger cohorts are replacing older ones. The elderly population will include more people who didn't spend time religiously involved

Some events spark changes in religious involvement, but these are short lived

More fundamental change is in demographics

There are more than 300,000 congregations in the U.S.

6 trends: looser connections between congregations and denominations, more computer technology, more informal worship, older congregants, more high income college educated congregants, more people in very large churches

Median congregation is same size today as in 1998

No increase since 1998 in congregations' involvement in social services

Organizational ties between congregations and national denominations have loosened

Clear indication of growing proportion of unaffiliated congregations with a denomination (not Catholicism, though)

1 in 5 Protestant churches is independent of a denomination

1 in 5 Protestants now attends these independent churches. If unaffiliated were a congregation, would be #2, behind the Catholic Church

Increased informality in these congregations

More clapping, shouting. Dress informally

2/3 of American say religion is losing influence (Pew)

younger adults are less inclined to consider increase in nonreligious as bad, whether or not they're religiously affiliated

About 1/3 of Americans have always been church attenders

Remarkable continuity

Church attendance is not increasing

Debate about whether we are experiencing stability or slow decline in church involvement

America has significant minority of people with no religion at all

Though population has increased in US but church attendance isn't increasing, doesn't mean they're related.

1972-2010: 2 most important long term trends in religious affiliation highlights?

In 1972, 7 percent said no affiliation; in 2010, 51%.


In 1972, 62% are Protestant, 2010, 51%

88% of nothing in particular religiously affiliated aren't actively looking for churches.

32% of religiously unaffiliated are 18-29

Slight decline in 2009-2011 of weekly religious attendance

Number of people who seldom/never attend church increases by 4 points

Theories about causes of rise of the unaffiliated

- political backlash: young adults, turned away from organized religion b/c they view it as entangled with conservative politics

Theories about causes of rise of unaffiliated

Delays in marriage - postponement of marriage+parenthood by young adults

Theories about causes of rise of unaffiliated

Broad social disengagement - tendency among Americans to live separate lives and engage in fewer communal activities

Secularization

economic development contributes to rise of unaffiliated. Joel Osteen is not offering preachy type religion

We are still religious but growth of nonreligious is growing

48% say it's a bad thing. 11% say it's a good thing. 39% say it doesn't matter.