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70 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

key terms (4)

1. Hypothesis


2. Theory


3. Constructs


4. Operation Definition

Hypothesis

A testable statement describing the realation between two or more constructs

Theory

A set of interrelated hypothesis that is used to explain a phenomenon and make predictions

Constructs

Abstract qualities that we attempt to measure

Operation dfinition

Statement of the process we used to measure constructs

Ways of Knowing(5)

1. Logical Analsysis


2. Authority


3. Consensus


4. Observation


5. Past experiene

Mehl et al. 2007 in Science

Common knowledge that omen talk more than men

Science is Process

Science is a way of thinking much more than it is a body of knowledge (Carl Sagan)

Science is a way of thinking much more than it is a body of knowledge (Carl Sagan)

Method of Science (Definition, Method, Key to Science)

Try to show that the consequences of a given theory are not empirically supported.


(Use Modus Tollens)


Refuttatuib and Replication are key to science

Deduction and Induction

Card Selection Task (4 cards; letter/ number)

Wason, 1996

Deductively Valid Arguments

Modus Ponens (Mode that Affirms)


Modus Tollens ( Mode that Denies)

Scientific Reasoning (Refutation)

According to Popper, falsification is the line of demarcation between science and non-science.


we can show that the consequenves of a theory are not empirically supported. Modus Tollens


There is no more rational procedure than the method of trial and error- of conjecture and refutation: of boldly proposing theories; of trying our best to show that these are errorneous; and of accepting them tentatively if our critical efforts are unseuccessful

Popper 1968

Replication

A keystone of psychological research is the principal of replication


Studies are done multiple times by different people to see if we get the same results

The great tragedy of science- the slaying of a beautiful hypothesis by anugly fact

Thoas H. Huxley (1825-185)

Controversial ESP Study Fails Yet Agai

DISCOVER NEWS

The Scientific Method (6)

1. Make an observation


2. Develop a hypothesis (prediction for why it happens)


3. Test your hypothesis (operational definition)


4. Conduct study (Variable/ Independent V/ dependent V)


5. Replicate and Extend


6. Develop a theory

Conduct a study (3)

1. Variables : any attribute that changes values across things that are being studied


2. Independent Variable: the variable you manipulate


3. Dependent variable: the variable you expect to change by manipulating the independent variable

Inattentional blindness

individuals may fail to notice changes in their environment when focused on a task

Internal Validity

does the study allow us to make causal conclusion?


Can we conclude that people suffer from inattentional blndness?

External Validity

Can these results be generalized to populations and setting we are interested in?


Will the same thing happen to different people and in different settings?

Tuskegee Syphilis Study

Syphilis: Sexually Transmitted Diseases


1932-1972, longtitudinal study was conducted in Macon Country, Alabama


African American perticipants were promised to be given free examination and treatment, but never recieve the treatment.

Why is Tuskegee Syphilis Study problem?

Ethical issues: never given the choice to quit the study once the benefits of penicillin were known to researchers.


The 8 men who are surbibors of the syphilis study at Tuskegee are a living link to a time not so very long ago that we dare not forget. It was a time when our antion falied to live up to its ideals, when our nation broke the trust with our people that is the very foundaton of our democracy...without remembering it, we cannot make amends and we cannot go forward

Public Outcry


Bill Clinton (16 May 1997 )

Lawsuits and Aftermath

the NAACP initiated a lawsuit that resulted in a settlement that gave more than $9 million to the study participants. The U.S. government promised to give free medical and burial services to all living participants (1973)



Tuskegee Health Benefit Program was established to provide these services. The Centers for Diseas Control and Prevention was given responsibility for the program


National Research Act in 1974 establised the rule that all federally funded research involving human participants must be approved by an Institutional Review Board

Outcomes of Tuskegee

National Research Act in 1974 established the rule that all federally funded research involving human participants must be approved by an Institutional review Board (IRB)

Belmont Report

Created on 18 April 1979- nmed after the Belmont Conference Center in Elkridge, Maryland



Articulated 3 "basic ethical principles"


1. Resp


relevant to research involving human participants

3 "basic ethical principles"

1. Respect for Persons


2. Beneficence


3. Justice

Respect foe Persons


: 2 incorporates principles

1. Individuals should be treated as autonomous agents


2. Individuals with diminished capacity should be protected



: basis for the concept of informed consent

Informed Consent

Information must be easily understood so people can make an informed decision


Avoid hyperclaming or stating that research is likely to achieve goals that it is unlikely to achieve


In most vases, the informed consent must be a signed documents

Respect for Persons [needs to to include...]

1. Confidentiality [no disclosure ]


2. Anonumity


Limit of Confidentiality

1. Duty to warn


Researchers are required to report some behaviors to authorities (eg. suicidal individual/ Child, Spouse, or Elderly Abuse)


2. Courts could subpoena info about illegal behavior (one instance where the requirement for signed informed consent documents could be waived)


When is Deception Permisseible?



According to APA (American Psychological Association), it is permisible to use deception under 3 conditions:

1. The research is important


2. There are no alternatives


3. There is no foreseeable harm to participants

Beneficence (2 keys)

Second principle in the Belmont Report


Researchers should not harm their participants


2 Key: risk / benefit analysis


Risk in social science research are often not as high as in biomedical research

Justice

3rd principle in the Belmont Report


related to the participants used in research


the principle suggests that the sample should be representative


should not use disadvantaged groups just because they are convenient (sick people, prisoners, the institutionalized)


related to the use of control group (in some cases, not providing a useful treatment could be considered unethical)

Behavioral Study of Obedience

Milgram (1963)


Journal of Abnormal and Social Psychology

Procedure from Milgream (1963) [4steps]

1) 40 male participants are told that the study is about memory and learning


2) Random draw to see who is the teacher and who is the learner. The learner is a confederate


3) Teacher is put in front of an electronic shock generator with a range of voltage levels (range 15 to 450 volts)


4) At 300 volts the Learner pounds on the wall

Classical conditioning

Little Albert

Ethical Issues and goal

Research with vulnerable populations requires special consideration by the IRB


1) Includes individuals who may be "at-risk"


2) e.g. prisoners, children, pregnant women, fetuses


The goal is to make sure that the researcher is not taking advantage of the group

Belmont Report (3)

Respect for Persons


Beneficence


Justice

Was this Ethical?

What is research?


"a systematicc investigation including research development, testing and evaluation, designed to develop or contribute to generalizable knowledge"

 Contributes to Generalizable Knowledge

what constitutes a contribution to "generalizable knowledge"?


Does data collected in the classroom?


Does data collected in an organization?


What is Human Subjects?

Definition: living individual about whom an investigator (whether professional or student) conducting research obtains data through intervention or interaction with the individual, or identifiable private information



Also important because it impacts the need for IRB approval

What Constitutes "Human Subjects"?

1) Living individual


2) "about whom" : data must be collected about them


3) "identificable private information"


-public behavior can be observed without IRB approval


-As long as the individual does not intervene

Who cares about Statistics?

Sally Clark Case (R v. Sally Clark, 1999)


Women convicted of murdering her 2 children


Both died of Sudden Infant Death Syndrome (SIDS)


Experts testifired that the probablity of on echild dying of SIDS was 2 in 8543

Who Cares about Statistivs?

According to the expert, the probability of two SIDS deaths in one family was 1 in 73 million (1 in 8543^2)


Convicted and sentenced to 2 life sentences


But, this is completely wrong!


The experts did not udnerstant probablity theory


Conviction was later overturned (2003)

Peter Donnelly TED talk on how states fool juries


Monty Hall Problem

Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of 3 doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, "Do you want to pick door No.2?" Is it to your advantaage to switch your choice?

Statistics

Descriptive statistics: "describe" the distribution of the data


e.g. Intelligence in the general population


Inferential statistics: are used to answer questions about the data


e.g. Graduate School Admissions

Descriptive Stateistics

Measures of central tendency:


1. Mean:


2. Median: the point at which 50% of the cases fall above and below


3. Mode: Most frequent number in the distribution

variance (s^2) is the sum of the squared deviations from he mean divided by the number of cases -1.

Standard Deviation, s (SD) is the square root of the variance.

Z Scores

Standard scores are derived by converting observed raw scores using some reference mean and standard deviation. The z score conversion is commonly used in psychology.

Standard scores are derived by converting observed raw scores using some reference mean and standard deviation. The z score conversion is commonly used in psychology.

What z score tells me

z-score tells me where a score is within a distribution,



z-score can help me to determine how rare a finding is



The value of the z-score corresponds to the number of standard dviations between the obsevation and the mean of the distribution

What does + or - in z-score tells me?

identifies whether the observed value is located above the man (positive) or below the mean (negative)

Statistical Significance

Describes how likely it is tha this result would be observed by chance



p<.05

Confidence Interval

are an alternative to significance tests



Confidence intervals give us a range of values that we would expect our observations to fall within if we conducted our study multiple times



Instead of dichotomous significance decision, ewe can see the distribution of our observations.

What does this mean?

What does this mean?

This means that we would expect 95% of our obsebations across multiple studies to be between 3.04 and 3.66.

Who made Correlation Coefficient?

Karl Pearson (1896)


What is Correlation Coefficient

it measures the degree of linear association between 2 variables.


Range from -1.0 to 1.0


Negative: As X increases Y decresaes


Positive: As X increases Y increases

Rule of Thumb

+/-.10 is Small


+/-.30 is Medium


+/-.50 is Large



Use these with care. These guildelines only provide a loose framework for thinking about the size of correlations



Cohen(1988) and Kline (2004)

Golden Rule of Social Science

Correlation does NOT prove causation


(However, causation can imply correlation)



Big Issue: Third Variable Problem

Examples of positive correlations

ice cream sales and shark attack


stork population and birth rates


Height and job performance


Eating candy as a cihld and violent behavior as an adult


Life span and everything

Inferential Statistics- Prediction

sometimes we want to be able to take all of the info that we have and predict what someone wil do


Often done using regression analysis


The end goal is to create a model of variables that are correlated with the oucome

Inferential Statistics-Prediction (2basic ways of combining variables to predict behavior)

Clinical vs. Mechanical prediction

Difference between Mechanical and Clinical Methods

Mechanical methods use a formula to combine the info (may just be a sum or average)


e.g., Grad School Admissions


Clinical methods use a human judge to combine the info based on his or her judement


e.g., Therapy

Meehl's (1954)

Mechanical methods produce superior decisions


out of 20 studies, statistiacl judgement was equal to or better than clinical judgement


Because the statistical method is much less constly, statistically judgement seems to be the winner when they were equal



Expert for "broken legs"

Grove and Meehls (1996)

They found that out of 136 studies:


64 favored statistical judgement


64 found that statitical and clinical were about equal


8 favored clinical judgement


The clinician's expeience did not make a difference


Goldberg (1970)

Goldberg (1970) took 29 clinician's ratings of MMPI profilies for psychosis versus neurosis


Used theier ratings as the weights in the regression equation


the equation created using the clinician's own weights were more accurate than any of the clinicians


Suggents that the reason equations are so much ore accurate is that people are inconsisitent at combining info