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18 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
1) Intelligence as academic study
Who teaches?
Academics
Practitioners
Analysts
Field officers
1st world
3rd world
Classic espionage background
Paramilitary
2) Books on intelligence
System books – Lowenthal
Highly WDC-centric
Processes, budgets, wiring diagrams
Collection books – Chatter, Killing Pablo
Biographic books
Can be excellent, always distorted, some are hopeless
No one ever tells the whole truth
Sensational books
Expose
Preachy
Prescriptive
3) A DEFINITION OF INTELLIGENCE
Intelligence can be defined as: (a) Information or Knowledge, (b) Organization, and (c) Operational Activity that results in:

1. The collection, analysis, production, dissemination and exploitation of information and knowledge which relates to any other government, political group, military force, or individual, which is believed to relate to security interests of a government, private group or individual;
4) con’t Def. of Intelligence
2. Countering similar activities by other groups, governments or individuals;

3. Secret activities to exploit knowledge in affecting the composition, behavior, and policies of such groups, governments, or individuals.
5) Defining Intelligence
A product
A report, written, oral, or visual
A process
The intelligence cycle: requirements, collection, analysis, dissemination
A Mission
An assignment in “intelligence work”
Organizations
6) FOUR ELEMENTS OF INTELLIGENCE
Intelligence consists of four elements or sets of specialized activities, symbiotically related to each other and to the policy of a government or private individual, group or body. Eliminating or altering any one of the four elements will affect the others significantly. So too, any change or shift in policy will have a concomitant impact
1. Collection—obtaining valued information from denied and more open regions through the use of both human and technological means.
7) Con't four elements
2. Counterintelligence—at a minimum the identification, neutralization, and manipulation of other states’ or groups’ intelligence services. (A broader definition would entail the use of counterintelligence for positive intelligence on adversary intentions and plans.)

3. Analysis and Estimates —processing all available information and delivering to policymakers a finished product that has more clarity than may be inherent in the data itself.
4. Covert Action —influencing events and politics in other states, groups or individuals, without revealing one’s involvement.
8) APPROACHES TO INTELLIGENCE
Through history governments have defined or conceived of intelligence in various ways. It appears clear that three factors have influenced the approach the state takes. These include:
Type of government system
Situation a government finds itself in
Bureaucratic structure
The following framework or spectrum is a way of depicting these distinctions.
9) Ways to Look At Intelligence
Government department or activity
International activity, element of statecraft
Adjunct to diplomacy
Function of the executive (without attribution at times)
Alternative to warfare
Intellectual activity
Driver of technology and science
10) SPECTRUM OF DIFFERENCES
SPECTRUM OF DIFFERENCES
Political System
Democratic---------------Authoritarian

Context/Situation
War----------------------------Peace
Defense-----------------------Offense
Regional----------------------Global

Bureaucratic Structure
Centralized--------------De-centralized
11) ELEMENTS OF INTELLIGENCE
Product Process Organization
Collection
Analysis
Counterintell.
Covert Action
12) INTERACTION BETWEEN ELEMENTS OF INTELLIGENCE
pp13
13) Intelligence in US History
George Washington ran a personal spy network. His agents used visual signals, dead drops, numerical codes, and book codes.
They did covert actions and spread disinformation
Paul Revere was a pretty good spy
Nathan Hale did less well
14) Historic Failure: Pearl Harbor
Lack of coordination in existing intelligence agencies and inability to get information to policy makers lead to birth of modern intelligence
WW Two: code breaking, double agentry, espionage to obtain weapons systems (Atomic spies)
15) Viet Nam
Difficulty in collecting intelligence on an insurgency
Wishful reporting, flawed OB, distorted body counts.
“Decent Interval” by Frank Snepp
Inability to gauge public support for Viet Cong
Domestic unrest lead to abuses of intelligence and police powers
16) Modern “Failures”
Indian nuclear testing
Fall of the USSR
Economic modeling was pretty far off
Military preparedness and weaponry over-estimated
9/11 attacks
Lack of proper collection or analysis?
Systemic failure?
Iraqi WMD
Flawed analysis based on bad intelligence?
Willful distortion to support policy decisions?
Possibly the biggest intelligence question in our history
17) Historic Successes
Decryption of Japanese diplomatic and military codes
Breaking Enigma (multinational effort)
British roll-up of German agents
Venona decrypts allowed US to identify and capture Soviet agents
Cuban missile crisis reporting from Moscow
18) Modern Day Successes
Still highly classified