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59 Cards in this Set

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1980 Background

Economy was poor due to high inflation & oil shortages.




Foreign affairs problems with Iran when embassy was taken over & hostages held for a year.

1980 Democratic Nomination

Carter was down in Gallup polls compared to Ted Kennedy in 1979.




Ted Kennedy had issues - Why do you want to be president? and Chappaquiddick.




Carter's statement on Iran rescue mission in 1980 made his popularity jump.

1980 Democratic Nomination cont.

Carter chose Rose Garden strategy that focused on being president instead of campaigning.




Jerry Brown was in the running but could not beat Carter or Kennedy.




Two-way contest between Carter & Kennedy.




DIVISIVE campaign - Carter's message hit on Kennedy's character and Kennedy's message hit on Carter's economic performance.

1980 Republican nomination

Reagan won most of the primaries & Bush came in second.




Reagan moved the Republican party in a more conservative direction.




Bush ran as a moderate.

1980 Independent nomination

John B. Anderson




Too liberal for most Republicans but did well with Independents and cross-over Democrats.





1980 Candidate Limitations

Carter - political conditions were poor & the country faced the worst economic situation since the Great Depression




Reagan - Spring trial heats favored Carter but he did not manage his money well in the campaign & critics argued he was an intellectual lightweight.

1980 Election strategy

Carter - demonized Reagan & targeted Dems, blacks and white southerners




Reagan - lead the West & South, Reps & Inds, target blue collar Dems & white southerners

1980 Messages

Carter - "A solid man in a sensitive job" & "Re-elect Carter"




Reagan - "The Time is Now" & "The time is now for leadership"

1980 Campaign events

Carter refused to participate in three-way debate




Reagan agreed to debate John Anderson

1980 advertising

Reagan - not artful ads, simple but effective, attack ads aimed at problems in Carter administration, clip of Ted Kennedy shouting "No More Jimmy Carter", took advantage of PAC's to generate money for ads




Carter - cast presidency in best light, stressed achievements, raised fears that Reagan would be warmonger

1980 Election results

Reagan 489 to Carter 49

1984 Background

Economy was good




No major foreign affairs issues (Cold War was still an issue & Reagan's evil empire speech)

1984 Democratic nomination

The assumed front-runner, Ted Kennedy, announced that he would not run




Democrats changed nomination rules that helped Walter Mondale




Mondale was the front-runner due to his experience as vice-president & senator




Senator John Glenn was his biggest challenge; called Democratic Eisenhower




Gary Hart appealed to new, young Dems




Rev. Jesse Jackson helped the civil rights movement




Mondale vs. Hart

1984 Republican nomination

Reagan won the Rep nomination decisively




He was the first incumbent so advantaged since Eisenhower




Participated in ceremonial speeches in Normandy & Olympics

1984 Candidate Limitations

Mondale - experienced & competent but not charismatic, economy was well that favored Reagan




Reagan - Losing to Mondale in trial heats but turned around when economy turned around, age was an issue

1984 election strategy

Mondale - capitalize on Reagan's tired performance, focus on Dem coalition & wrote off south




Reagan - expand support from 1980 election, all states but didn't target DC

1984 Messages

Mondale - "Mondale/Ferraro: Fighting for your future"




Reagan - "leadership that's working" & "prepared for peace"

1984 campaign events

Presidential debates/ reagan used humor to advantage




Geraldine Ferraro as vp candidate

1984 advertising

Reagan - presented upbeat America, metaphors, produced rebuttal ads for Mondale's attacks




Mondale - dark ads, attacked Reagan for arms control, deficit and pay gap, never presented alternative to Reagan

1984 election results

Reagan 525 to Mondale 13

1988 Background

Economy was good




Iran-Contra affair




Open seat election

1988 Rep nomination

George H.W. Bush was heir to nomination




Bush was endorsed by Reagan




Bush emphasize foreign policy & loyal service to Reagan




Bush won most primaries & caucuses

1988 Rep nomination cont

Biggest challenger to Bush was Sen Bob Dole




Dole supported Reagan but wanted budget cuts more than tax cuts




Bush gave great convention speech that attacked Dukakis





1988 Dem nomination

Gary Hart was front-runner at the start




Hart was bright but quirky, alleged womanizer




Jesse Jackson would run again based on civil rights experience




Dukakis won nomination due to broad Dem coalition




Dukakis was ahead of Bush in trial heats and most of nomination season

1988 Candidate limitations

Dukakis - did not effectively counter Bush's attacks & did not have a consistent message




Bush - behind the polls in Dem primary & not as charismatic as Reagan

1988 Election strategy

Dukakis - Sought to sweep the East, industrial states, farm states & pacific coast




Bush - Sweep the south, West, midwest, keep Reagan coalition intact & Reps & Inds

1988 Messages

Dukakis - "Let's take charge of america's future," "the best America is yet to come," "I'm fighting for you"




Bush - "experienced leadership for america's future"

1988 Campaign events

Presidential Debates - Dukakis did well in first debate

1988 advertising

Bush - negative attack ads garnished most of attention, such as the "Revolving Door" ad




Dukakis - never forged a positive identity in ads, confusion & disarray in ads

1988 election results

Bush 426 to Dukakis 111

1992 Background

Economy was not good




Mild recession




U.S. foreign affairs policy was strong




Berlin wall came down




Soviet Union collapsed




Gulf War was success




Bush's favorability was high for most of presidency




Dem nomination candidates attacked Bush for economy and the media coverage made it seem like major depression




Bush could not respond effectively to economic problems




1990 Bush signed bill that raised taxes & made budget cuts

1992 Rep nomination

Pat Buchanan ran against Bush but Bush won most of the primaries & captured nomination




Disastrous convention that made Bush look weak





1992 Dem nomination

Clinton dominated the field despite media coverage of scandals




Paul Tsongas appeared to have the strongest economic plan




Clinton named "the Comeback Kid"

1992 Independent

Independent Ross Perot won trial heats but made a disastrous speech as NAACP convention that African Americans took offensively





1992 Candidate Limitations

Clinton - Honest/trait perceptions were not high (adultery, financial corruption, etc.)




Bush - Credibility due to "no new taxes"




Perot - Unstable & paranoid

1992 election strategy

Clinton - emphasized poor economy & targeted East, Midwest, Pacific Coast, Hawaii & select Southern states




Bush - attacked Clinton's character & Targeted South, Midwest, Pacific Coast & select Eastern states




Perot - focused on business experience & did not have electoral strategy/ran nationally

1992 messages

Clinton - focused on attacks on Bush, "for people, for a change," "we can't afford four more years," & "it's the economy, stupid!"




Bush - "You can't trust Clinton economics/health plan"




Perot - Issue is national debt/leadership, choice is yours.

1992 campaign events

Bush did not perform well in debates

1992 ads

Clinton - took advantage of free advertising including talk shows, consistent in style and message




Bush - unusually defensive, attacked clinton on morals, trouble making positive messages




Perot - extensive ads helped his campaign, hurt the Bush campaign because it was so focused on economy

1992 election results

Clinton 370 to Bush 168 to Perot 0

1996 background

Economy was good




Foreign affairs problems existed but were not perceived to be as large as in the past




Terrorism at home with Oklahoma city bombing




Reps took over House of Reps & Senate




Worst mid-term loss by any President in 20th century





1996 Dem nomination

Clinton developed a winning strategy called triangulation (make policy changes that placed him in the middle of spectrum politically)




Clinton advertised well over a year before election, which was new




Massive advertising was credited to his lead in the polls

1996 Rep nomination

Bob Dole was Rep front-runner and led in all of the national polls




Colin Powell claimed he would run and won against Dole in trial heats but decided not to run




Dole won decisively but took hard hits from candidates









1996 candidate limitations

Clinton - rated low on honesty




Dole - went through divisive primary, Clinton characterized Dole as mean, Dole was 73





1996 election strategy

Clinton - Campaign over a year before election, Focus on East, Midwest, Pacific coast, Hawaii and select Southern states, maximize on education and medicare, attack Rep issues




Dole - Rebuild Rep coalition, get votes defected from perot & clinton, Focus on Midwest, Mountain West, South

1996 Messages

Clinton - "Building a bridge to 21st century" & "America's future"




Dole - "A better man for a better America"

1996 Campaign events

Presidential debates were not a major factor, Clinton perceived to have a slight edge

1996 ads

Clinton - Associated Dole with Newt Gingrich, colorful and upbeat, focused on micro issues such as TV ratings




Dole - portrayed as a war hero, man of simple integrity, "The Threat" about drugs but was never linked to Clinton

1996 election results

Clinton 379 to Dole 159

2000 background

Economy was strong




Foreign affairs not apparent




Tensions between Reps & Dems high




1998 - Clinton & Lewinsky scandal (accused of affair with White House intern/dominated media for 11 months/Clinton impeached but not removed)

2000 Dem nomination

VP Al Gore vs Former Senator Bill Bradley




Gore ambushed Bradley by planting farmer in audience that spoke of flooding in his state/Bradley was not prepared so it looked bad on Bradley's leadership




Gore won nomination easily

2000 Rep nomination

Bush led in early polls




Elizabeth Dole also did well




Steve Forbes did not fare well though he had a lot of money




John McCain wasn't on radar but pulled ahead in NH primary/ dropped out but did not endorse Bush until July




Bush had successful convention

2000 candidate limitations

Gore - needed to distinguish himself from Clinton & perceived as prone to exaggeration




Bush - experience & competency questioned

2000 election strategy

Gore - focus on East & Pacific Coast




Bush - Build from Dole's states & capture FL & AZ

2000 messages

Gore - show that he was different from Clinton, address many policy issues




Bush - Attack Gore's honesty, call for tax cuts & compassionate conservative

2000 traits

Bush was favored for honesty, trustworthiness, leadership, good judgement & likability




Gore was favored for experience, understanding issues & caring about people

2000 campaign events

Third party bids for Ralph Nader & Pat Buchanan




The Recount in FL



2000 ads

Bush - reinforce him as a "compassionate conservative" & mild attack ads




Gore - talked in smooth tones to counter stiff image, could not differentiate himself from Bush such as in the Accountability ad, impact of ads was weak

2000 election results

Bush 271 to Gore 266




Some blamed recount for Bush winning