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58 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

portfolio perspective

refers to evaluating individual investments by their contribution to the risk and return of an investor’s portfolio

diversification ratio.

calculated as the ratio of the risk of an equally weighted portfolio of n securities (measured by its standard deviation of returns) to the average single stock portfolio std dev

defined contribution pension plan

a retirement plan in which the firm contributes a sum each period to the employee’s retirement account

defined benefit pension plan

the firm promises to make periodic payments to employees after retirement

three major steps in the portfolio management process:

planning step


execution step


feedback step

The planning step

analysis of the investor’s risk tolerance, return objectives, time horizon, etc




This analysis results in an investment policy statement (IPS) that details the investor’s investment objectives and constraints. updated any time objectives or constraints change

The execution step

involves an analysis of the risk and return characteristics of various asset classes to determine how funds will be allocated to the various asset types.




Use top down and bottom up analysis to find investment opportunities

feedback step

Over time, investor circumstances will change, risk and return characteristics of asset classes will change, and the actual weights of the assets in the portfolio will change with asset prices. The portfolio manager must monitor these changes and rebalance the portfolio periodically

Mutual funds

one form of pooled investments (i.e., a single portfolio that contains investment funds from multiple investors)

open-end fund

investors can buy newly issued shares at the NAV. Newly invested cash is invested by the mutual fund managers in additional portfolio securities. Investors can redeem their shares (sell them back to the fund) at NAV as well.

Closed-end funds

professionally managed pools of investor money that do not take new investments into the fund or redeem investor shares. The shares of a closed-end fund trade like equity shares (on exchanges or over-the-counter). As with open-end funds, the portfolio management firm charges ongoing management fees

Money market funds

invest in short-term debt securities and provide interest income with very low risk of changes in share value. Fund NAVs are typically set to one currency unit, but there have been instances over recent years in which the NAV of some funds declined

Bond mutual fund

invest in fixed-income securities. They are differentiated by bond maturities, credit ratings, issuers, and types

Index funds

passively managed; that is, the portfolio is constructed to match the performance of a particular index, such as the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index

Actively manage

funds refer to funds where the management selects individual securities with the goal of producing returns greater than those of their benchmark

Exchange-traded funds

similar to closed-end funds in that purchases and sales are made in the market rather than with the fund itself.


ETFs are most often invested to match a particular index (passively managed).




Special redemption provisions for ETFs keep their market prices very close to their NAVs.

ETF v closed end

ETFs can be sold short, using margin, and traded intraday, open-end funds are typically sold and redeemed only daily, based on the share NAV




With most ETFs, investors receive any dividend income on portfolio stocks in cash, while open-end funds offer the alternative of reinvesting dividends in additional fund shares

ETF v closed end tax implications

ETFs may produce less capital gains liability compared to open-end index funds. This is because investor sales of ETF shares do not require the fund to sell any securities. If an open-end fund has significant redemptions that cause it to sell appreciated portfolio shares, shareholders incur a capital gains tax liability.

separately managed account

a portfolio that is owned by a single investor and managed according to that investor’s needs and preferences. No shares are issued

risk management process (3)

1) identify the risk tolerance of the organization, 2) identify and measure the risks that the organization faces, and 3) modify and monitor these risks.

risk management framework

ALL 3 OF THE risk management process PLUS




Establishing processes and policies for risk governance.


Managing and mitigating risks to achieve the optimal bundle of risks.


Monitoring risk exposures over time.



Risk governance

Refers to senior management’s determination of the risk tolerance of the organization, the elements of its optimal risk exposure strategy, and the framework for oversight of the risk management function

risk tolerance

setting the overall risk exposure the organization will take by identifying the risks the firm can effectively take and the risks that the organization should reduce or avoid.

Risk budgeting

process of allocating firm resources to assets (or investments) by considering their various risk characteristics and how they combine to meet the organization’s risk tolerance.

Financial risks

Credit (counterparty) risk


Liquidity risk


Market (loss) risk aka uncertainty about asset prices

non financial risks

Operational risk, Solvency ris, Regulatory risk. gov risk, Legal risk, model risk, tail risk, accounting risk




also mortality and longevity risks

Standard deviation

measure of the volatility of asset prices and interest rates. Standard deviation may not be the appropriate measure of risk for non-normal probability distributions

Beta

measures the market risk of equity securities and portfolios of equity securities

Duration

a measure of the price sensitivity of debt securities to changes in interest rates.

Value at risk (VaR)

minimum loss over a period that will occur with a specific probability.




ex: 1 week VAR =200 @ 3% prob.


3% of all weeks EXPECT to lose 200 or more




NOT the maximum one-week loss the bank will experience

Conditional VaR (CVaR)

the expected value of a loss, given that the loss exceeds a minimum amount.




ex: in the 3% scenario, how big will the actual loss be




probability-weighted average loss for all losses expected to be at least 200 million euros

Stress testing

examines the effects of a specific (usually extreme) change in a key variable such as an interest rate or exchange rate

Scenario analysis

what-if analysis of expected loss but incorporates changes in multiple inputs. A given scenario might combine an interest rate change with a significant change in oil prices or exchange rates.

self-insurance

imply means that it will bear any associated losses from this risk factor. It is possible that this represents inaction rather than the result of analysis and strategic decision making

risk transfer

risk an organization has decided not to bear, risk transfer or risk shifting can be employed




ex The risk of fire destroying a warehouse complex is shifted to an insurance company by buying an insurance policy

surety bond

, an insurance company has agreed to make a payment if a third party fails to perform under the terms of a contract or agreement with the organization

fidelity bonds

which will pay for losses that result from employee theft or misconduct.

Risk shifting

way to change the distribution of possible outcomes and is accomplished primarily with derivative contracts. For example, financial firms that do not want to bear currency risk on some foreign currency denominated debt securities can use forward currency contracts

Real return

nominal return adjusted for inflation

(1+ nominal / 1+inflation)

two-fund separation theorem

states that all investors’ optimum portfolios will be made up of some combination of an optimal portfolio of risky assets and the risk-free asse

capital market line

Under the assumption of homogeneous expectations, this optimal CAL for all investors

Return generating models

used to estimate the expected returns on risky securities based on specific factors.

Multifactor models

commonly use macroeconomic factors such as GDP growth, inflation, or consumer confidence, along with fundamental factors such as earnings, earnings growth, firm size, and research expenditures

beta

The sensitivity of an asset’s return to the return on the market index in the context of the market model




Cov of asset return with market return / variance of mkt return




correlation * std dev portfolio / std dev mkt

Comparing the CML and the SML

CML uses total risk = σp on the x-axis, E(R) on the Y. only efficient portfolios will plot on the CML




SML uses beta (systematic risk) on the x-axis. all properly priced securities and portfolios of securities will plot on the SML

M-squared

produces the same portfolio rankings as the Sharpe ratio but is stated in percentage terms.




[ (Rp - Rf) *( std dev M / Std dev p) ] - (RM-Rf)

Treynor measure

(Return p - risk free )/ beta

Jensen’s alpha.

αP = Rp – [Rf + βP(RM – Rf)]




the percentage portfolio return above that of a portfolio (or security) with the same beta as the portfolio that lies on the SML

security market line (SML)

a graphical representation of the CAPM that plots expected return versus beta for any security.

CAL- capital allocation line

On a graph of return versus risk, the various combinations of a risky asset and the risk-free asset form the capital allocation line

(CML)- capital market line

Returns vs Std dev. Std dev = total risk




In the specific case where the risky asset is the market portfolio, the combinations of the risky asset and the risk-free asset form the capital market line

investment policy statement

typically begin with the investor’s goals in terms of risk and return. These should be determined jointly, as the goals of high returns and low risk (while quite popular) are likely to be mutually exclusive in practice

investment policy statement includes

Description of Client


Statement of the Purpose


Statement of Duties and Responsibilities


Procedures


Investment Objective, Constraints, Guidelines


Evaluation of Performance

absolute risk objectives in IPS

ex: “have no decrease in portfolio value during any 12-month period” or to “not decrease in value by more than 2% at any point over any 12-month period

Relative risk objective

relate to a specific benchmark

ability to bear risk vs willingness to..

ability depends on financial circumstances vs willingness depends on preferences

R-R-T-T-L-L-U

Risk, Return, Time horizon, Tax situation, Liquidity, Legal restrictions, and the Unique constraints

core-satellite approach

invests the majority, or core, portion of the portfolio in passively managed indexes and invests a smaller, or satellite, portion in active strategies