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244 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
Population ecology
Cause and effect of the abundance of a population
Growth, persistence, human effects, extinction
Demographic processes
Birth, death, immigration, emigration
Fecundity
b, average number of offspring per individual per year
Per capita death rate
d, proportion of individuals which die each year
Survival rate
s = 1 - d
Proportion that survive per year
Net reproduction rate
R = births (b) + survival (s)
Environmental stochasticity
Unpredictable environment changes
Demographic stochasticity
Random differences among individuals in survival and reproduction
Rate of change of abundance
Birth rate - death rate
Causes of density dependent birth and death rate
Food supply, territories, space, cannibalism, stress, predators, parasites
Intraspecific competition
Similar requirements for survival/growth/reproduction
Scramble/exploitation competition
Limited resource shared equally
E.g. less grazing
Intensity incr gradually: affects growth/development then survival/reproduction
Contest/interference competition
Limited resource shared unequally
E.g. territory
Direct inhibition of growth/reproduction/transmission
E.g. bacteria toxins killing other strains
Law of constant final yield
Total biomass of plants regulated not the number of individuals
Example of density reducing reproduction
Harp seals become reproductive at 87% mature body weight
Density reduces growth rate and increases age of sexual maturity
Self-thinning
Density of plants decline and individuals weight increases in unison
Recruitment
Individuals survive and are added to the population
Overlapping generation logistic equations
dN/dt = rN(1- n/k)
Discrete generation logistic equation
Nt+1 = Nt + rNt (1- Nt/K)
Growth time lags
Conditions L generations ago affect now
Allee effect
Inverse density dependence
Growth of a small population declines as it gets smaller, will go extinct below threshold
Difficult to find mates, disease due to inbreeding, lack of social defence
Stage structured model
Remain in one stage until they acquire characters of the next
E.g. size, developmental stage
Age structured model
Age correlates with life history
Equal time intervals
Life tables
Follows a cohort
Record number surviving each year
Age specific mortality and survival schedules
lx
Proportion of original population surviving to age x
Survivorship
dx
Number that died between ages x and x+1
age specific mortality
qx
Age specific mortality rate
dx/nx
Type 1 survivorship curve
Individuals live out physiological life span
High initial survival then heavy mortality
Humans
Type 2 survivorship curve
Survival rates don't vary with age
Birds
Type 3 survivorship curve
High initial mortality
Fish
Time-specific / static life table
Sample a distribution of age classes at a single time
Easier to construct
Assumes each age class sampled in proportion to it's abundance
bx
Average number of female offspring born to a female of age x
Gross reproductive rate
Total bx
Average number of female offspring born to a female if she lived to that age
Net reproductive rate
R, Average number of female offspring born to a female over her lifetime
Spatial variation in environmental factors
Soil condition, elevation, vegetation, water depth
Fire, drought, flood, epidemic
Reasons for dispersal
Intense competition, direct interference, avoiding kin competition, avoid inbreeding, big groups attract predators
Metapopulation
Middle of the scale between no dispersal and free and frequent dispersal
Discrete patches of suitable habitat
Large populations can still go extinct
Local populations not synchronised
m
Probability of a successful recolonisation of an empty patch
μ
Probability that a single patch goes extinct per unit time
μp
Rate that occupied patches go extinct
mp(1-p)
Recolonisation rate of empty patches
Habitat heterogeneity
Larger patches can have a larger habitat diversity
Increasing area reduces temporal variability
The rescue effect
Risk of extinction declines with abundance
Higher immigration to patches
Greater proportion of occupied patches
Larger subpopulations
Positive feedback
Source population
Favourable: births > deaths
Emigration to sink
Sink population
Unfavourable: deaths > births
Immigration from source
Demography
Study of size, structure, distribution of human populations.
Spatial/temporal changes in response to birth/death/migration
Recognising individuals
Photo databases, colouration and pattern, mark artificially with tag/collar/ring
Age structure
Survival/reproduction/density/stochastic effects differ in age classes. Variation of survival/reproduction/migration with age/sex.
Lambs/yearlings/2-6yr/>6yr. Relationship between survival and density/weather for each class
Life tables
Summarise age-specific variation, survival and fecundity, estimate population parameters (Ro, T, intrinsic rate of increase)
Cohort-based
Follow a group, difficult, births differ in life table properties
Cross-sectional
Sample population and estimate ages
Ix
Proportion of original cohort surviving
mx
Average number of recruits per age group in life table
Generation length (T) =
age x (Ix) x (mx) / Ro
Rate of population increase (r) =
ln(Ro) / T
λ
Change in population size between 2 time steps
<1 = decrease, >1 = increase
Matrix models
Combines age/stage vital rates
Calculates what is expected the next year from each age class - transition matrix
Soay sheep life history
Born April, gain condition in summer and spring, females recover from birth in late summer, males rut in November, lose condition in autumn and winter, mortality towards end of winter
St Kilda
Humans evacuated 1930, primitive sheep breed, 100 to Hirta in 1930 and all blackface sheep removed, whole island counts since 1955, no predators or management
Soay sheep
Sexually dimorphic (M 45kg, F up to 30)
Life-span: F 16y, M 11y
Highly polygynous
Soay data collection
Regular census, lambs caught/weighed/marked, August catch-up (bay sheep caught and whole island counted), fights/matings in rut, fecundity/dispersal/survival/population size, exact birth and death dates, all breeding attempts
Soay intrinsic factors: Overcompensatory density dependence
Intense, initial density increase exceeds carrying capacity and pushes down final density, survival is depressed at high density, structured model creates a cycle unlike reality but adding a constant survival rate above a threshold makes it more accurate
Soay extrinsic factors
Strong density correlation with breed on different island, environment effects, density doesn't explain above a threshold, March gales and wet/windy winters, interaction between intrinsic and extrinsic factors, explains 21% variation in pop. growth
Lambs
Invest more reserves in growth, larger surface area to volume ratio, lose out in intra-specific competition to older, mortality due to density and winter weather
Adult male sheep
Large energy expended during rut, lose condition, mortality in winter weather
Adult female sheep
Large energy expended during late winter/early spring during late gestation and lactation, enter winter in good condition, mortality with end of winter weather
Weather and sheep mortality
Large-scale climate (NAO) predicts mortality better than local weather, captures combined effects of wind/rain/temp better than a single measure, winter weather interacts with density, pattern of mortality varies across years, early death pulse associated with lower overall mortality
Predation
One species benefits, other negative
Functional: True, grazing, parasites, parasitoids
Taxonomic: carnivores, herbivores, omnivored
Whole/partial consumption where prey is initially alive
Interspecific, reduces density, disrupts competitive exclusion, pervasive effects
Ammensalism
One species unaffected, other negative
E.g. elephant trampling plants
Competition
Both species negative, both get less resources than if they were alone
Neutralism
Both no effect
Mutualism
Both species benefit, usually direct exchange, food/defence/transport, novel capabilities by at least 1 partner, don't need to be close, not selfless or without cost - net effect is positive, most of worlds biomass
Commensalism
One species benefits, the other unaffected
Facultative mutualism
Not species specific, both can survive without
Bumblebee and goldenrod plant, many other pollinators
Obligate mutualism
Species-specific, can't survive without the other
Leaf-cutter ants and fungus: ants provide leaves/remove bacteria/invaders/chew wax off leaves/provide stable environment, fungus provides food for ants and digests plant chemicals to make them harmless
Symbiosis
2 species living together, close physical associations, one benefits and other +/-/0, one host and one symbiont
Behavioural mutualists
No intimate symbiosis, each behaves in a way to benefit the other, protectors, dispersal of seeds/pollen, farming
Mutualistic protectors
Cleaner and client fish, feed on ectoparasites/bacteria/necrotic tissue from the body/surface of the client, client gains protection from infection and cleaner gains food
Ant-plant mutualisms
Ants provide protection by snipping off nearby shoots and protection from herbivores, plant provides food (extrafloral nectaries) and nesting sites, evolved many times in same plant family.
Amazonian canopy tree and stinging ant
Mutualistic seed dispersal
Birds and animals disperse seeds of higher plants, animals digest fruit fast and seed moved to new site, plant needs to make thick coat to protect seed, rarely specific to animal/bird as plants rarely flower all year to provide a reliable food source
Mutualistic pollen dispersal
Hummingbirds/bats/small rodents/marsupials/insect benefit from nectar/pollen, plant gets efficient transfer to plants of same species, can transmit sexual diseases
Mutualistic farming by humans
Reliable food source, species cultivated and protected at expense of wild species
Mutualistic farming by ants
Termite/beetle/ant, milk lycaenid caterpillars for sugary excretion, caterpillar protected from predation/parasitoids, ants farm aphids for honeydew, aphids protected but larger when no ants and no predators
Proved by lower aphid survival when no ants on tree
Insect-mycetocyte symbiosis
10% insects have intracellular maternally inherited microbes restricted to cytoplasm of mycetocyte cells of bacteriocyte in haemocoel, obligate association
Insects nutritionally unbalanced diet
Plant sap (phloem, xylem)
Vertebrate blood (tsetse flies)
Timber (beetles)
Insect-microbe symbiosis
Aphids and buchnera
Mycetocytes in aphid body cavity provide amino acids, grow slowly with no offspring without bacteria, bacteria never found alone
Mycorrhiza fungus
Higher plants/ferns/mosses, captures nutrients from soil and transports to plants via roots, fungi gain carbon, ecologically obligate (can survive if unlimited nutrients and water), trophic benefit
Arbuscular mycorrhiza
2/3 plant species, mostly non-woody and tropical trees, hyphae grow between root cells and enter forming a branches arbuscule, extract N and P from soil, protects against pathogens and herbivory, confers resistance to toxic metals
Ecto-mycorrhiza
Boreal/temperate forest trees and shrubs, sheath around root that stunts growth, mycelium penetrates root and forms hartig net, large surface area for water/nutrient exhange, hyphae radiate onto litter layer
Ericoid mycorrhiza
Dominant heathland species, form dense coils on outside of root, hair-roots at soil surface, extract P/nitrate/ammonium/phosphate ions from detritus
Lichens
Fungus (mycobiont) and green algae/cyanobacterium (photobiont), mutualistic, onhospitable environments, phobiont photosynthesises C and cyanobacteria produces ammonium from N2 by N-fixing, mycobiont protects from sun exposure or absorbs minerals
Nitrogen-fixing
Rhizobia and leguminous plants, roots stimulate growth and form nodules to fix N2 from atmosphere which is used to synthesise amino acids and nucleotides, plant supplies sugars to breakdown N2, malate (breakdown product) provides C for rhizobia
Vertebrate gut
Gastrointestinal tracts of vertebrates populated by mutualistic microbiota, microbes gain substrates for growth, hosts gain short-chain fatty acids from food they couldn't digest, bacteria ferment cellulose/carbs/starch within mucus, convert N-compounds
Ruminant gut
3 part forestomach, bacteria and protozoa, oblogate anaerobic bacteria ferment cellulose, protozoa digest cellulose/interact with bacteria/consume bacteria/predate other protozoa
Human microbiome
Microbe community, genomes, environment interactions, project to understand link with health and disease, oral/skin/gut/vaginal/nasal/lung,
True predators
Kill prey immediately after attack, often consume whole, kill several or many different during lifetime
Grazers
Harmful but rarely lethal, remove part of prey, attack huge numbers during lifetime
Parasites
Consume part of prey (host), sometimes lethal, few individuals during lifetime, intimate relationship
Parasitoids
Insects (diptera, hymenoptera), free-living adults, lay eggs in/near other insects, larvae do little harm, usually kills as it emerges, intimate, not immediate death but do kill
Prey protection
Camouflage, crypsis, catalepsis, aggression, counter-attack, armour, bluffing, masting, vigilance
Catalepsis
Frozen posture with appendages retracted
Sea lamprey and trout prey
Trout population decreased dramatically when lamprey blocked from Great Lakes
Cheetah and Thomson's gazelle
Not always random sample, younger easier to catch with lower speed and stamina, fail to recognise predators
Wolf/lynx and caribou
Caribou density much higher and more stable where no predators on Slate Islands
Predators suppress prey
Wood mice/bank vole and tawny owl
Populations continue to fluctuate even when tawny owl steadily increases
No effects
Snowshoe hare and lynx
Oscillations in prey populations
Low food - hare more susceptible to predation
Lynx appear to track hare cycles not generate
Lotka-Volterra Predator-Prey Model
dn/dt = rN - aNP
dp/dt = faNP - qP

r=reproduction rate, q= predator death rate
f=predator assimilation, a=predator attack rate

Can coexist when interspecific competition is lower than intraspecific
Lotka-Volterra assumptions
Prey increases exponentially when no predators, predators only die due to natural causes, predation rate constant, predator reproduction rate depends on number of prey consumed
No time lags/migration/spatial structure/age structure/intraspecific comp
Lotka-volterra: r
Prey growth rate
Lotka-volterra: a
Predator attack rate
Lotka-volterra: f
Predator conversion efficiency
Lotka-volterra: q
Predator death rate
Prey or predator isocline
Where prey or predator abundance doesn't change
dN/dt = 0
Phase-plane analysis
Predator along Y axis and prey along X, raw predator and prey isoclines, arrows indicate direction of change, typical trajectory
Creates cycles, predators lag behind prey
Too simple, sensitive, extinctions, unstable, natural randomness
Intra-specific competition
Populations move towards carrying capacity
dN/dt = rN (1- N/K) - aPN
Weak comp creates decaying oscillations
Strong comp creates no oscillations
Predator functional responses
Relationship between per capita rate of consumption and prey abundance
Type 1 (linear), type 2 (plateau), type 3 (sigmoidal)
Type 1 predator functional response
Linear
Attack rate increases with prey density
Can eat unlimited, unrealistic
Neutrally stable cycles, perpendicular isoclines
Type 2 predator functional response
Predators take time to catch and devour - handling time, constant
Easier to find when more abundant, consumption plateaus, most common
Divergent oscillations, destabilising
Divides equations by 1=aThN
Type 3 predator functional response
Sigmodial, predators can switch prey at low density and reduce handling at high density
More efficient at high density as learn search image of prey
Fragile communities sensitive to:
Perturbations: species invasion/loss, climate change, pollution
Trophic positions
Basal, intermediate, top predators
Source web
Relations among species from 1 food source
Sink web
Relations among species with 1 top predator
Connectance (C)
How many of possible links are present
L/(S(S-1)/2)
L=number undirected links
S=number species
Linkage density (LD)
Average number of links per species
L/S
Compartmentalisation
Extent to which a food web contains relatively isolated subwebs
Stabilises communities
More stable for given S/C/i values
Likely in large communities which span habitats
Difficult to detect when habitats aren't distinct or looking within a habitat
Trophic level
Number of links +1 between basal species and one of interest
2-5 levels, average of 3
Energy flow, dynamic fragility, predator constraints
Omnivory
Species feeds on prey from more than one trophic level
Same or different chain
Web patterns
Constant predator/prey ratio (~4:3), 3 species loops uncommon, linkage density constant, proportion of links relatively constant, food chains short, omnivory infrequent, not strong compartments
Mathematical definition of community stability
Based on ability to defy change, resilience
Resistance: withstand perturbation
Stability: response to perturbation
Local and global stability
Empirical definition of community stability
Observations
Demographic approach
Degree of fluctuation over time
Response after species loss/gain or abiotic changes
Elton and MacArthur: Stability increase as links increase
More species, more interactions, more paths for energy transfer, loss only affects part of community (buffered)
May, 1972
Mathematical model of hypothetical communities
Relationship between species number, connectance, mean interaction strength
Webs drawn at random stability measured
Stable if i√SC<1
Random assemblages, predators without prey, difficult to compare to reality, differences measuring s/i
Briand 1983
Meta-analysis of 40 webs
Connectance decreased with species number
Weak web links
Promote species persistence and stability
Dampen oscillations of strong couples
More stable if weak links dominate
Small world structure
Mainly weak links
Connected to few others
Energy flow restricting number of trophic levels
Small amount radiant energy fixed by photosynthesis
1-30% passed on at each level
Extra level not viable
Predicts high productivity allows more levels but this not seen
Dynamic fragility restricting number of trophic levels
Long chains have major fluctuations
Return time faster with fewer levels
Top predators go extinct in variable environments
Less intra-specific competition when more levels, less stable communities
Predator constraints restricting number of trophic levels
Larger/faster or smaller/stealthier than prey
Body size and home range increase with level
Limit to size and speed
Lower prey have higher nutritional value
Top predators too rare to be viable
Indirect food web effects
One species (donor) influencing another (receiver) via a third (transmitter)
Common in complex communities
Apparent competition
Multiple non-competing prey species elevated the number of predators and increases the predation pressure
Via a common enemy: parasites on immune system effect other parasites
Trophic cascade
Effects at one level influence abundance of species at other not directly connected levels
Top-down or bottom-up effects
Tri-tropic effects
Effect top-down or bottom-up
Keystone species
Tightly connected, removal creates significant effect
Unexpected complex indirected effects
- No cat causes mice and bird to go extinct
Disease
Humans: semi-permanent, negative effect on well-being, discomfort, illness
Other organisms: semi-permanent, negative effect on survival, reproduction
Pathology caused by infection
Macroparasites
Worms, fleas
Adults don't replicate in host
Count number - burden
Determine severity and immunity level
Microparasites
Viruses, bacteria
Replicate in host
Count number of susceptible/infected/recovered
Types of parasite and pathogen
Bacteria (staphylococcus aureus)
Viruses (HIV)
Proteins (prions)
Protozoa (plasmodium)
Helminths (tapeworm)
Fungi (ringworm)
Host-centric disease questions
How is it transmitted? How many hosts get sick? Epidemics be prevented? Disease be eradicated? Predict immunisation success? Disease regulate host populations?
Tracks dynamics at host level
Parasite-centric disease questions
Host/parasite densities change over infection? Parasite density limits? Immunity? Interaction causing symptoms? Drugs/vaccination?
Tracks at parasite and host cell level
SIR models
S=susceptible
I=infected
R=recovered
Alpha=deaths due to disease
Beta=transmission coefficient
Gamma=recovery rate
SIR model assumptions
Clear once recovered for life
Uninfected at birth
Fecundity not affected
Equation for SIR model susceptible individuals
ds/dt = b(S(t)+I(t)+R(t)) - dS(t) - betaS(t)I(t)

ds/dt= births - natural deaths - rate become infected
Equation for SIR model infected individuals
dI/dt = betaS(t)I(t) - dI(t) - alphaI(t) - gammaI(t)

dI/dt = infection rate - infected natural deaths - infected disease deaths - recovered
Equation for SIR model recovered individuals
dR/dt = gammaI(t) - dR(t)

dR/dt = recovery rate - natural deaths
Epidemic curve
Disease spreads and more hosts become resistant
High resistance and low number susceptible - dies out
Ebola virus
Number infected hosts must increase for epidemic to spread
Threshold density
Lowest population size in which an epidemic can still spread
Viruses in Serengeti lions coincided with susceptible numbers born
Basic reproductive number (Ro)
>1: invasion <1: cannot invade
Ro = number new infections x infection duration
betaS/d+alpha+gamma > 1
Equivalent to pathogen fitness/birth rate of new infections from 1 individual
Number infected must increase to spread epidemic
Increases with transmission rate/host density
Recreases with virulence/host death/recovery
Herd immunity
Vaccinating to protect population from epidemic
Decrease susceptible hosts below threshold for disease increase
Ro < 1
Ro in microparasites
Average number new infections from a single host introduced into a population of uninfected
Ro in macroparasites
Average number of mature offspring produced by a mature parasite through life in a population of uninfected hosts
Parasites as predators
Resource availability controls dynamics
Parasites as prey
Immune response controls dynamics
Parasites coinfecton
Up to 10 species
Interspecific interactions
Competition: negative, resources, direct interference, immune-mediated
Facilitation: positive, immune trade-offs, suppression
Determines host fitness, severity of symptoms, transmission of infection, success of control programs
Immune facilitation
Parasites improve within-host environment for others via immunosuppression (worms)
Biasing host response: worms polarise towards Th2 response which reduces response to microparasites like malaria
Resource faciliation
Parasites improve within-host environment for others by altering the composition of available resources
Why study seabirds
Cheap indicator, top predators, nesting sites, international obligation, media and public interest
Seabird diet
Small forage fish, middle of food chain, Sandeel: 3-10cm, difficult to monitor diet - most data from breeding season
Analyse via digestion of food samples and otolith bones give age and species, biomass of prey
Snake pipefish
Invasive species, difficult to digest and handle, low nutritional value, related to seahorse, first recorded in 2004 but now almost absent
Following seabird trends
Easy to study birth/death rates as only need 1 population, rate of return estimates death
Seabird breeding success
Record sites where nests built, eggs laid, chicks fledged
Annual success = chicks fledged per nest built
Estimating adult seabird survival rate
Catch and give unique tag, record sightings each season, estimate proportion alive corrected for proportion missed
Determining how and where seabirds forage
At-sea surveys, section into transect, density (all in transect), birds per unit distance (all birds in 180 degree scan)
Data loggers to legs or back, transmit or archive info, time activity budget, diving behaviour, summer and winter differences
Types of seabird foraging
Surface feeding, dipping, shallow plunging, deep plunging, pursuit plunging, pursuit diving, aerial pursuit
0-250m below sea level
Seabirds daily energy expenditure
Indirect calculation using bioenergetics modelling: time activity budget, consumption = DEE/assimilation efficiency (~70%)
Direct method of field metabolic measurement via heart rate monitor, doubly labelled water with elimination rate
Type of seabird most sensitive to change in prey abundance
Small, short ranging, surface-feeding
Wasp-waist food web
Hourglass shaped, single/few species of small plankton-eating fish dominate
Seabird faciliation
Diving species make fish available to surface feeders
Small surface feeders opportunity small as larger individuals arrive and disrupt dynamic
Bottom-up fish web control
Warmer oceans have copepod declines
Early northern species replaced by late southern
Changes sandeel phenology
Seabirds delay breeding so sandeels are available
Mismatch index: eels change too fast
Top-down fish web control
Herring control sandeel numbers
Catalysts create visual cues for other predators and suppressors break-up the whole scene
Human fish harvesting
Increase pressure on white fish (cod, haddock) reduced numbers, fished down food chain to mackerel and herring, stocks down 90% in a few years from 1950, sandeels increased as they were competitors, partial recovery of whitefish
Sandeels fished when others depleted
Consequence of human fishing for seabirds
Whitefish removal increased sandeels
Herring and mackerel reduced fish size without reducing population and declines caused increase in sandeels
-0.39 kittiwake chicks/nest, no effect other species, surface feeders less other options
Epidemiology
Study of infectious diseases in populations
Pathogenesis, transmission, demography, behaviour, host heterogeneity
Prevention and control
Infectious diseases
1/4 all deaths and morbidity
Malaria, AIDS, TB
Epidemics
Emerging infectious disease
Incidence is increasing following first introduction into defined host population or increasing as a result of long term changes
HIV/AIDS
Recognised early 1980s
>30m deaths, 33m current infections
Jump from SIVcpz
M pandemic
H5N1 Influenza A
Poultry in 1959, bird reservoir?
First human case 1997, now >300 deaths
Not transmissible between humans
Cases show symptoms
SARS
Coronavirus
2003 epidemic, spread via air travel
Respiratory infection
800 deaths, 8000 cases
Horseshoe bat reservoir? large colonies travel far
EBOLA virus
Cause of haemorrhagic fever
>2000 cases, >60% mortality
Blood-borne
Human-human transmissible
NIPAH
Malaysian pig farmer viral disease
100 cases, >70% fatality
Fruit bat reservior
Monkeypox
Relative of smallpox
Reduced immunity due to stopping of vaccination
Direct contrat spreads
1-10% case fatality rate
Pet-trade related outbreak in US
Zoonoses
Diseases/infections naturally transmitted between humans and animals
60% of human pathogen species
~40% livestock pathogens, ~70% cat and dog
Disease reservoir
1+ epidemiologically connected populations or environments in which the pathogen can be permanently maintained and from which infection can be transmitted to the defined target population
More important to share habitat than genes
Pathogen pyramid
Exposure - infection - transmission - epidemic
Numbers reduce as go along chain
Drivers of pathogen emergence
Human: society, demography, travel
Environment: agriculture, climate change, trade
Pathogens: failure to control, evolution
Ways to identify and model drivers of pathogen emergence
Describe, quantify and map, statistical and functional association with emergence, predict impact, drivers of drivers
Ways to make maps of emerging infectious diseases caused by zoonotic pathogens
Wildlife/zoonotic pathogens, non-wildlife/drug-resistant pathogens, vector-borne pathogens
Calculating emerging infectious disease risk
From regression coefficients and variable values
SD from the mean, mapped on linear scale
Fighting emerging pathogens
Effective surveillance in potential reservoirs/internationally/wild animals/zoos
Multi-discipline: public and animal health agencies
Biological and ecological drivers
Public health screenings
Health map web searches
Detection - identification - monitoring
IOM Report
Recommendations for future of infectious diseases

Technical: enable surveillance and response
Economic: establish financing and incentives
Political: coordinating body for global response
Community ecology
Study of patterns in structure and behaviour of multispecies assemblages in a given time and place
Complex systems/patterns/processes
Community ecology questions
How many species? Which species? Why do tropics differ from poles? Collapse after extinctions? Introduced species impact? Change over time? Disturbance influence?
Community unit view
Clements 1916/1936
Organised recurrent system of organisms, strong interactions, environment less important
Common evolutionary history
Individual view
Gleason 1926/1939
Local collection of populations, same environmental requirements and tolerances
Loose boundaries, interactions weak/unimportant
Rank-abundance curve
Common dominant species may drive structure
Rare species focus of conservation
Defining a community by species
Impossible to consider all without a full sample
Higher taxa (birds,grasses), size, occupancy (resident, migrant)
Miss some specific interactions; tropic, species focus
Lacks generality
Ways to describe community structure
Richness: number species
Dominance: greatest abundance/biomass
Diversity: combines
Simpsons diversity index (D)
1/Pi^2

Pi: number species/total number individuals
Shannon's index of diversity (H')
- Pi ln Pi

Pi: number species/total number individuals
Maximum = ln(S)
Evenness index
Diversity higher if richness higher, more even distribution
Maximum diversity if all species are equally abundant
D/Dmax = 1/Pi^2 x 1/S
Most even = 1
Alpha diversity
Local diversity of a community calculated without reference to any others
Could have same diversity but totally different species
Beta diversity
Between community/habitat/locality diversity
Gamma diversity
Regional diversity, number species across habitats/samples
Community patterns in space and time
Boundaries and gradients, soil/water/microclimates
Community unit: sharp boundaries
Individualistic: continuum, diffused boundaries
Resource partitioned continuum: mosiac
Influences on species coexistance
Local: competition/predation come to equilibrium so fast that larger scale processes are unimportant
Regional: species distribution more important than co-occurance of species at any one point
What determines patterns of species diversity?
Productivity, altitude, latitude, remoteness
Any factors which affect immigration, extinction, species, emmigration
Remoteness
Island biogeography
Size/distance from each other and other islands
Large/close island: immigration decreases as number of species increases
Extinctions more likely on small island, rate of extinction increases as number of species increases
Larger islands burn more freq from lightening wildfire
Latitude species gradients
Most lizards/trees/butterflies at 0 latitude
Meta-analysis of 600 gradients
Gradient steeper when richer taxa/larger organisms/marine/terrestrial/regional
Steepness not influenced by dispersal/physiology/tropic level/hemisphere/range
Combination of energy/climate/area processes
Local scales within larger, oceans move energy via currents
Tree richness increases as primary productivity increases
Disturbance and species richness
Ideally 50%
Stops equilibrium and allows highest diversity
Nutrients into system via cultivation, pollution
High grazing increases richness in nutrient rich system
Agriculture, livestock, disturbance
Factors affecting species richness
Resource range, niche breadth, overlap, saturation, productivity
Interaction of factors
Anything affecting speciation/extinction/immigration/emigration
Hypothetical explanations of species richness patterns
Spatial/area: mid-domain, geographical area, species-energy, climate stability
Evolutionary: historical perturbation, evolutionary rate, effective evolutionary time
Biotic
Studying soil
CAT scan shows air space
Fluoresce active microbes
Space and substrate in soil
Heat transferred via water and conduction
Molecular techniques to study soil
Phospholipid fatty acids
Fluorescence in situ hybridisation
DGGE and T-RLF (DNA-based for fungi & bacteria)
Microarrays
Biochar
Stable carbon matrix
Can impact soil biodiversity and mediate key ecosystem services
Charcoal, porous, provides niches
Community composition
Patterns in space and time
Influence of energy input
No input reduces abundance not diversity
Physiological response curve
Response against function causing a response, e.g. elevation/temperature
Distinct preference niches
Functional fitness = physiological response curve = realised niche
Abundance = realised niche
Shared preference
All species have the same optimum
Realised niche under the optimum for dominant/competitive species
More tolerant driven into suboptimal niches
Differentiation, resource partitioning, trade-off
Chronosequence
Community pattern over time
Disturbance - gap - colonisation - replacement - succession
How succession occurs in gap, how disturbance impacts dominance and abundance, spatial positions
Founder-controlled community
Disturbance - gap - colonisation
Dominance controlled community
Disturbance - gap - colonisation - replacement - succession
Rank-abundance curves
Period of decades
Transition of species and abundance over time
Autogenic succession during raised bog formation
Mud - phragmite fen mud - alnus fen - pinus/betula bog - carex/sphagnum bog - sphagnum bog
Invasion by trees is rare
Dominant species affect their own environment
Transition of species types during succession
Annual/high seed - perennial/vegetation colonisation - maximum life history diversity - perennial/colonal

Pioneer - mid - climax
Patch-dynamics
Spatio-temporal context
How things change spatially over time
Metapopulation dynamics
Local extinction/colonisation
Species persist even if extinct in an area
Spatial movement, mixing
Lottery models
Local extinction/colonisation probable
Dispersal/migration between patches
Mosiac
Stable equilibrium if equal competitors
Competition
Reduces fecundity, reproduction, survival
Intra/interspecific, interference, exploitation, apparent
dN/dt = rN(K-N)/K
r = intrinsic growth rate
alpha = measures effect of competition
Less important in natural communities
Abiotic factors more important in driving fluctuations, 40-95% temporal variance
Utilisation functions
Ability to exploit a resource as it varies along a niche axis
Coexistance
If interspecific competition is lower than intraspecific
Very similar niches have low exclusion
Aggregated distributions reduce competition
Spatial heterogeneity
Temporal variation
Anything reducing density, e.g. predation
Tilman's R*
Minimum resource concentration for a species to maintain population size
Generalist predator
Keeps dominant species in check, consumes most abundant, allows high diversity: predator mediated coexistance
Rabbits keep high plant diversity with no dominance, without had tall grasses then taller self-shading
Selective predator
Narrow feeding niche
Pisaster starfish: 12 prey items reduce to 8 without it, keystone species, not most abundant but great impact, not dominant, recognised via removal
Main community structuring processes
Equilibrium: competition, predation, mutualism, resource limitation
Non-equilibrium: disturbance, environment forcing, spatial heterogeneity, opportunism, dispersal