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5 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
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Gambler's fallacy |
The belief that past events will affect future events in a game of chance, so as to "even" og "average" things out. |
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Recognition heuristic |
Heuristic which applies in cases where people recognize one thing and not the other, which leads people to believe that the thing that got recognized is larger or more important. A city's size correlates with how often it is mentioned in media. This heuristic can be combined with other knowledge, pandas. |
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Prior probability |
The probability that a hypothesis is true before considering evidence. |
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Conditional probability |
Probability that a perticular type of evidence is true if a particular hypothesis is true. |
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Posterior probability |
The probability that a hypothesis is true after consideration of the evidence. |
