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149 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
Embarrassing mistake for Jimmy Buffet
fell of the stage in Australia knocking himself unconscious for 10 minutes
Who determines the quality level of a product?
Consumer - fish sandwich story
How does bobcat compete with competition?
Go straight to the consumers and make a list of what they'll need
What is the definition of operations management?
The science and art of ensuring that goods and services are created and delivered successfully to customers
What 4 steps are necessary in OM?
Planning, organizing, directing, and controlling
What are inputs in the value chain (8)?
Capital, materials, equipment, facilities, supplies, labor, knowledge, time
What are the four parts of the transformation system (within the value chain)?
Alteration, transportation, storage, inspection
What are the 2 types of output in the value chain?
goods and services
What are the 6 factors of the environment in the value chain?
customers, gv't regulations, competitors, technology, suppliers, and economy
Know the value chain model
page tt-4 of notes
What is the formula for productivity?
P = Outputs/Inputs
Partial Measures of Productivity
a ratio of outputs to only one input (labor, machine utilization, energy efficiency)
Multifactor Measures of Productivity
a ratio of outputs to several but not all inputs
Total Productivity Measures
ratio of all revenues divided by all costs
Productivity Index
can be used to compare a process' productivity at a given time (P2) to the same process' productivity at an earlier time (P1)
What is the formula for Growth Rate?
Growth Rate = (P2-P1)/P1
What are the 6 departments that work through OM?
Marketing, IS, Finance, Accounting, Engineering, Human Resources
What is output?
durable or non-durable manufactured good, or service delivery (service encounter and moment of truth)
What are the similarities between service and goods manufacturing?
technology, quality-productivity-response issues, must forecast demand, capacity-layout-location issues, customers and suppliers, scheduling and staffing
Industrial Revolution (Late 1700s)
replaced traditional craft methods and substituted machine power for labor
What were the 3 major contributions of the industrial revolution?
James Watt (steam engine), Adam Smith (Division of Labor), Eli Whitney (interchangeable parts)
scientific management (early 1900s)
Separated planning from doing, management's job was to discover worker's physical limits through measurement
What were 2 major contributors in scientific management (early 1900s)
Fredrick taylor (stopwatch time studies), Henry Ford (moving assembly line)
Human Relations Movement (1930s-1960s)
Recognition that factors other than money contribute to worker productivity, hawthorne effect, maslow's hierarchy of needs
Hawthorne effect
study of western electric plant in Hawthorne, Illinois intended to study impact of environmental factors (heat, light, etc.) on productivity, but found that workers responded to management's attention regardless of environmental changes
Job Expansion
added more variety, intended to reduce boredom, job enlargement, rotation, enrichment, and employee empowerment
What are limitations of job expansion (5)?
Higher capital cost, individuals may prefer simple jobs, higher wage rates for greater skills, smaller labor pool, higher training costs
Motivation and Incentive Systems (5)
Bonuses - cash or stock
Profit sharing - profits for distribution to employees
Gain Sharing - rewards for improvements
Incentive plans - typically based on production rates
Knowledge-based systems - reward for knowledge or skills
Computer Age (1970s)
can use Management Science's quantitative techniques - the ability to process huge amounts of data quickly and relatively cheaply,
Material Requirements Planning for production control
Developments (1980s)
Just in Time (JIT), Total Quality Management (TQM), Business Process Reengineering
Just in Time (JIT)
high volume production using coordinated material flows, continuous improvement, and elimination of waste
Total Quality Management (TQM)
high levels of product quality through shared responsibility and eliminating the root causes of product defects
Business Process Reengineering
Clean sheet redesign of work processes to increase efficiency, improve quality and reduce costs
Developments (1990s)
Flexibility, Time-based competition, Supply Chain Management
Flexibility
offer a greater variety of product choices on a mass scale (mass customization)
Time-based competition
Developing new product designs and delivering customer orders more quickly than competitors
Supply Chain Management
cooperating with suppliers and customers to reduce overall costs of the supply chain to increase responsiveness to customers
Developments 1990s
Global competition, environmental issues
Global competition
international trade agreements open new markets for expansion and lower barriers to the entry of the foreign competitors
*Creates the need for decision-making tools for facility location, compliance with local regulations, tailoring product offerings to local tastes, managing distribution networkds
Environmental issues
Pressure from consumers and regulators to reduce, reuse, and recycle solid wastes and discharges to air and water
What is an example of gv't regulations?
CA in '06 bumped MPG limit higher than federal, Big 3 lost alot of sales
From an overall perspective is it ok to lose manufacturing jobs to other countries with lower wages?
it depends
Nafta eliminated trade barriers =>
manufacturing opened in mexico, demand went up, causing a price increase in wages, labor now moved to china
what's the bright side to job loss?
those left are more productive, output per hour spikes (trying to do the same or more with less people)
Productivity ratio <1 is
Not good
cell or team layout using embroidery machines
created a 40% increase in productivity
sub optimization
helping your department at the expense of the company overall
Example of sub optimization
union came in after trying to undercut skilled workers, ended up hurting the company for 6 months
Which of these is a pure service?
Dry Cleaners - Legal Services - Movie Theater - Dentist
NONE
People are only motivated by money
not true
What 5 things go into strategy development?
Customer Requirements, SWOT, Environment, Competitors, Market Requirements
What are the 5 steps of operations strategy?
Strategy Development -> Mission and Vision Statement -> Core Competencies -> Competitive Priorities ->Operations Strategy
Strategic Development
The firm's long-range plan based on an understanding of the marketplace involving environmental scanning, competitive threats, company strengths and weaknesses
What are the 4 parts of a mission/vision statement?
Type of business or class of products, demographics of market niche or customer base, organizational values, future direction of the organization
Internally vs. Externally Focuses
Internal - I did bad on a test, so what can I do to fix this?
What does a SWOT Analysis Require?
realistic approach
Johnson and Johnson
Took every bottle off the shelf for 6 months even though it was a localized problem
Competitive advantage supported by core competencies (4):
Contributes significantly to value of end product or service, unique capability that provides enduring competitive advantage, what separates the organization from competitors, support or maintenance of core competencies
Competitive Priorities
Cost, Time, Flexibility, Innovation, Quality
Which of the 5 competitive priorities create differentiation for a product?
Flexibility, Innovation, and quality
Competing on Cost
eliminate wasted labor, materials, and facilities, emphasize efficient processes and high productivity, often limit the product range and offer little customization, may invest in automation to increase productivity
Wal-Mart competes on:
Cost - Quality - Time - Flexibility - Innovation
All of these
What did SW airlines do to reduce cost (6)?
Single passenger class, fuel hedging, single type of plane, simple fare scheme, internet sales, employees working in multiple roles
Competing on Quality
High performance design (superior features, high durability, and excellent customer service), Product and service consistency (error free delivery, close tolerances)
Competing on Time
Rapid delivery (short time between order placed and product received), On-time delivery (sometimes items can arrive too quickly must be exactly when expected, JIT firms try to avoid clutter of excess inventory)
What competitive priority does bobcat focus on?
TIME
Competing on Flexibility
Product flexibility - easy to switch between producing different products, easy to customize for specific customer requirements
Volume flexibility - rapidly increase or decrease the amount of product being produced to match demand
Competing on Innovation
Technologies, ideas or service concepts, products, practical application and marketing, research and development
How customers evaluate goods and services
search, experience, and credence attributes
Search attributes
customer has info prior to purchase (internet)
Experience Attributes
form opinion after experiencing (meal)
Credence attributes
Must believe in, can't judge right away (surgery), usually have degrees, etc.
Customers look for what in a product?
Dissatisfiers, satisfiers, exciters/delighters
Dissatisfiers
product/service must have to even be considered
Satisfiers
features customers would like to see
Exciters/delighters
Order winners, surprises customer, unexpected
Customer Benefit Package
Peripheral or facilitating goods and services offered alongside the dissatisfiers
Bundled CBPs and Strategic Alliances
Primary Wants and Needs must = primary goods or services, shooting for multiple sales strategies can lead to customer confusion
operating efficiency = operating strategy
FALSE
Design of Operations
Structure - Facilities, flow of work, technology, supply chain
Infrastructure - planning and control systems, work design and compensation, workforce
Process Design
Process Focused = Customized
Performance Measures (8)
Financial, Customer/Market, Safety, Quality, Time, Flexibility, Innovation and Learning, Productivity
Financial Performance Measures (4)
Revenue, Return on Investment, Operating Profit, Cost of quality
Customer/Market Measures of Performance (2)
Customer satisfaction with goods/service quality and response time
Safety Performance Measures (3)
Customer, Employee, Public
Quality Performance Measures (3)
Consumer Evaluation, Defects, Service Quality
Making the most of Customer Complaints
Service recovery, mgt must provide means, reward low customer complaints
Minor, Major, Critical Defects
Minor - overcooked beef
Major - gristly beef
Critical - undercooked chicken
Flexibility Performance Measures (4)
Goods/services design, empowerment (training), Volume, Product flexibilities
Time Performance Measures (3)
Wait, Cycle, and Lead time
Innovation and Learning Performance Measures (2)
Training, New goods and services
Revenue Management System
services most amenable to RMS (yield management) are one or more of the following:
Perishability, segmented markets, advance sales of the service, high fixed costs relative to variable costs
Poor forecasting
can result in poor inventory and staffing decisions, resulting in part shortages, inadequate customer service, and many customer complaints as well as loss of revenue
Types of Forecasts (3)
Economic, Technological, Demand
Economic Forecasting
address the business cycle - inflation rate, money supply, etc.
Principles of Forecasting
Grouped forecasts are more accurate than individual items, one of the biggest problems with forecasting systems is that they are driven by different departmental needs and incentive systems
When are accurate forecasts needed?
Throughout the value chain and they are used by all functional areas of the organization
Demand Planning modules
enable companies to integrate planning information from different departments or organizations into a single demand plan
What key capabilities do demand planning modules offer (5)
Multilevel Planning, Data Analysis, Statistical Forecasting, Trade Promotion Support, Collaborative Demand Planning
Collaborative demand planning
information-sharing across the entire value chain
Product Life Cycle
Introduction and growth require longer forecasts than maturity and decline, throughout the life cycle forecasts are useful in projecting staffing and inventory levels, as well as factory capacity
What are the 4 phases of the product life cycle?
Introduction, growth, maturity, and decline
Introduction (life cycle)
Best period to increase market share, research and development engineering is critical
Growth (life cycle)
Practical to change price or quality image, strengthen niche
Maturity (Life cycle)
Poor time to change image, price, or quality, competitive costs become critical, defend market position
Decline
Cost control critical
Delphi Method is
an expert opinion
IBM began 1994 with obsolete computers, what did this cause?
Underestimated for next year
Forecasting is not easy (Oil supply in early 70s)
Arab states artificially increased prices while continuing to produce, US producers couldn't compete due to price/production controls, new domestic "wildcatters" flourished, oil imports increased, gas shortages
What were the impacts on consumers of the oil shortage in the early 70s?
55 mph speed limit on every highway, could only fill up 2x a week by your last name, gas was expensive and cars were too heavy leading to imports and smaller cars becoming more popular
Should Hydril have scaled back growth in the 70s?
Not enough info
Forecasting Steps (5)
What needs to be forecast, what data is available to evaluate, select and test the forecasting model, generate the forecast, monitor forecast accuracy over time
What needs to be forecast?
Level of detail, units of analysis, and time horizon required
Select and test the forecasting model
cost, ease of use, and accuracy
Types of Forecasting Methods (2)
Qualitative Judgemental Methods, Quantitative or Judgmental Methods
Qualitative or Judgmental Methods
when no historical data is available, only judgmental forecasting is possible, subjective
Quantitative or Statistical Methods
Forecasts generated through mathematical modeling. Statistical forecasting is based on the assumption that the future will be an extrapolation of the past
Strengths/Weaknesses of Qualitative/Judgmental Models
Strengths: incorporates inside info, particularly useful when the future is expected to be very different than the past
Weaknesses: Forecaster bias can reduce the accuracy of the forecast
Types of Qualitative or Judgmental Models (3)
Executive Opinion, Market Research, Delphi Method
Executive opinion
A group of managers meet and come up with a forecast (good for strategic or new product forecasting, bad b/c one person's opinion can dominate the forecast)
Market Research
Uses surveys and interviews to identify customer preferences (good determinant of customer preferences, but can be difficult to develop a good questionnaire)
Delphi Method
Seeks to develop a consensus among a group of experts (Excellent for forecasting long-term product demand, technological development, unfortunately it is time consuming to develop)
Which Forecasting method did Lear Jet use?
Qualitative/Judgmental via Delphi Method to develop a mathematical model to figure out where to store Jets, mechanics, and pilots
Strengths and Weaknesses of Quantitative/Statistical Methods of forecasting
Strengths: Consistent and Objective, can consider a lot of data at once
Weaknesses: Necessary data isn't always available, forecast quality is dependent upon data quality
What are the 2 types of quantitative models?
Time Series, Causal
Time Series Model
Assumes the future will follow the same patterns as the past -- a set of observations measured at successive point in time or over successive periods of time.
Causal Models
Explores cause and effect relationships, uses leading indicators to predict the future
What are the five types of series patterns?
Trend, seasonal, cyclical, random variation, irregular variation
Trend series pattern
Persistent overall pattern (down or up), changes due to population, tech, age, culture, etc., typically several years duration
Linear/nonlinear Trend patters (4)
Linear decreasing - bad news!
Linear increasing - Trend for pt 1 of project
Nonlinear Increasing - Good if demand can be met
Nonlinear Decreasing - Sell all stock if ship is sinking
Cyclical Component
Repeating up and down movements, affected by business cycle, political, and economic factors, multiple years duration, often causal or associative relationships
Random variation
unexplained deviation of a time series from a predictable pattern, such as a trend, seasonal, or cyclical pattern -> these cause forecasts to never be 100% accurate
Irregular variation
one-time variation that is explainable, hurricane can cause a surge in demand for building materials, food, and water
Logic of Time Series Models
Data - historic pattern + random variation and/or irregular variation
Historic pattern may include trend, seasonality, and cycle
What are the 3 types of predictive Time Series Models?
Naive - Forecast is equal to the actual value observed during the last period Simple Mean - The average of all available data
Moving Average - Average value over a set time period, each new forecast drops the oldest data point and adds a new observation
Naive Approach
sometimes cost effective and efficient, can be a good starting point
Moving Average Method
used if little or no trend, used often for smoothing, provides overall impression of data over time
Single Exponential Smoothing
Uses weighted average, smooths out irregular fluctuations, weights of older data get progressively smaller
What is the formula for exponential smoothing?
Ft+1 = alpha * At + (1 - alpha) * Ft

Ft = Last period's forecast
At = last period's actual value
alpha selection
forecast quality is highly dependent on selection of alpha:
if the time series is very volatile a smaller alpha is preferred
The problem is whether recent changes reflect random variation or real change in long-term demand
Forecasting Seasonality
Calculate the average demand per season, calculate a seasonal index for each season of each year, average the indexes by season, forecast demand for the next year and divide by the number of seasons, multiply next year's average seasonal demand by each average seasonal index
Causal Models
Leading indicators hint can help predict changes in demand, causal models build on these cause-and-effect relationships
Measuring forecast accuracy
Error = Actual - Forecasted
Need to know how much we should rely on our chosen forecasting method
Tracking Signal Formula
TS = Sum (Actual - Forecast)/Mean Absolute Deviation
Forecasting in the Service Sector
Has unusual challenges:
Special need for short term records, needs differ greatly as function of industry and product, holidays and other calendar events, unusual events
Capacity
the maximum output rate of a production or service facility or units of resource available
Capacity planning
the process of establishing the output rate that may be needed at a facility: capacity is usually purchased in chunks
Need to know how much and when to spend capital for additional facility and equipment
Measuring Capacity (UPS)
Began operating in Houston in 1970, measured capacity in number of stops but didn't account for driving miles, wasn't accurate
Effective Capacity
Actual output per unit of time expected with normal conditions