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53 Cards in this Set

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Comparable companies analysis steps

1. Select the universe of comparable companies


2. Locare the necessary financial information


3. Spread key statics, ratios, and trading multiples


4. Benchmark the comparable companies


5. Determine valuation

Types of restructuring

1. Spin off


2. Split off


3. Carve-out


4. Sell-off (generic)


5. Tracking shares

Types of valuation analysis

1. DCF


2. Comparable companies analysis (trading comps)


3. Precedent transactions analysis (transaction comps)

IBES and FIRST CALL

Thomson reuters

Comparable companies analysis CCA

Is a process used to evaluate the value of a company comparing it to its competitors in the industry.

Fully diluted outstanding shares:

Basic outstanding shares + convertible bonds + employees stock options + warrants + convertible preferred stocks

Discount rate

The rate at which the FED lends money to private banks.



2. Rate of interest to apply at an available sum of money to get a determined sum in the future

FCF

Operating cash flow - CAPEX


The net cash income avaible to capital providers

DCF Analysis

1) Study the target and performance drivers


2) Project FCF


3) Calculate WACC


4) Determine terminal value


5) Calculate present value & valuation (enterprise value, equity value, share price)

WACC formula

Methods to compute terminal value

Exit multiple method & perpetual growth method

Net present value formula

Sensitivity analysis

Different inputs (assumptions) lead to different final results, so you get a range of results

Cost of equity

The amount of money a company must spend to mantain a share price that satisfies investors. There is a formula to compute it

What are the perils of calculating market risk premium from historical data?

Historical data can bias the result

Beta

Is a measure for the volatility, or systematic risk, of a security.


It is useful in the CAPM calculation

UnSystematic risk (diversifiable risk)

Is the one that comes from the specific company or asset you invest in. Can be reduced through diversification.

Systematic risk (market risk)

Is the uncertainty inherent to the entire market or entire market segment. Also referred as volatility. Interest rates, recessions and wars are sources of systematic risk. It does not depend on the individual asset.

Restructuring

Is when a distressed company decide to modify its debt, structure or operations.

Market Cap does not equal shareholders equity.

So even the share price goes down, the equity of the firm does not change.

Dilution

Is the reduction in the ownership percentage caused by the issuance of new shares.


It usually reduces the value of existing shares and the EPS.


Warrants are dilutive

Warrants

Are derivative that confer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a security (normally an equity) at a certain price (strike price) before espiration.


The are like options, but the difference is that they are issued directly by the company and they are often traded OTC. Are dilutive

Teaser

Is a short synopsis of the target, including company overview and a summery of financial information

CIM

Confidential Information Memorandum

Financial sponsors (buyers)

Are PE firms, VC, hedge funds. Their goal is to identify private companies with growth opportunities, earn a profit from them by selling or IPO.


In valuation they care of cash generating capability. They care of back-office structure (IT, HR, legal) because they do not have them.

Strategic buyer

Is usually a company in the same industry. Want to purchase the company to run it, create synergy and expand business. They make accretion analysis

Negotiated sales

They involve only one interested buyer, usually in the same industry.

Equity capital markets tasks

IPO, accelerated bookbuilds, corporate derivatives, convertible bonds and convertible preferred stocks

Bookbuilding

Is a process to determine the stock price for an IPO. It consists in analysing the possible demand for the stocks and how much investors would be willing to pay.

Debt capital markets

High yield bonds


Leveraged loans


Investment grade debt


Preferred stocks


Mezzanine debt

Mezzanine

Is an hybrid of debt and equity financing, gives to the lender the right to convert in equity under certain conditions.


Mezzanine investors can reduce the amount of equity needed, they expect a return of 12-20% a year, is more expensive than bank debt, but less than the expected return for equity investors. And it's more flexible.

Investment banking tasks

Corporate sales, divestitures and acquisitions


Takeover defense


Joint ventures


Cross border transactions

Takeover defense

When someone want to buy a company, but investors do no want. So they defend themselves from the takeover, making much difficult the acquisition. For instance, buying more debt, join with a friendly company to raise mark cap and deter acquirer

Sturdy

Solido, robusto. The demand


The demand for hard assets remains sturdy

Statutory consolidation (merger Luxottica)

Two companies join to form a new one, both old companies cease to exist. there is always a buyer that buys a target and its assets. They just change name like essilotluxottica

Spinoff

The parent company creates a new legal subsidiary and distributed shares in the subsidiary to its current shareholders as stock dividends.

Equity carve-out

The parent company make public through an IPO a subsidiary. It can raise a lot of cash

Friendly takeover

The target's managers, board and shareholders approve the transaction. They usually receive a gain called purchase premium. They receive money for each stock they have at a premium price

Strategic alliance

Share products or technology with another firm. Often selling them to the other

Due diligence analysis

Investigation you do about the target company; studying its financial data, customers, capital, environment

Why mergers

Achieve synergistic effect


Diversification


Protect an industry from closing


Greater financial resources thank to combined assets


Buying assets at a lower price than they would cost


Reduce costs, many division such as marketing can be trimmed

Disadvantages of mergers

Adverse financial effect, the anticipated benefits did not materialize


Antitrust action delaying procedures


Problems caused by minority stockholders, such as proxy fights

Main effect to consider on financial performance

EPS should be higher


Share price should be higher or keep the same


The merged business should have less financial risk than before

Financing package buyers use for mergers

Cashes, bonds, stocks


A key factor is selecting the final package is its impact on current EPS.


If you pay target shareholders with new stock, you dilute your EPS

Weighted average share outstanding

Since during a year the number of shares can change due to new issues, covertibles, warrants or repurchasing.


Is important to make the average of the year when you compute the EPS

Why subtract preferred dividends

Since preferred dividends are fixed, and have the highest priority among stockholders, their are like a fixed expense for the company. So you must deduct them from net income

LBO

Is the acquisition of a company, division, business using debt to finance a large portion of the purchase price.

MBO

Is an LBO originated and ked by target's management team, often helped by funchal sponsors .

LBO candidate characteristics

Strong cash flow generation


Leading and defensible market position


Growth opportunities


Low capex requirements


Strong asset Base


Proven management team

WACC

Is the discount rate we use to discount FCF over n-years and also the terminal value


Book-to-market ratio

Book value / maket value


If > 1 it is undervalued

Why is ttm useful?

Companies publish earnings only 4 times a year. So to use the the P/E formula you can use the value of the last 4 quarters, so the last twelve months

Difference between ebit and ebitda

Ebitda does not reflect the effect Capex.


It is obtained by adding depreciation and amortisation (from cash flow statement) to EBIT