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22 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
Uncivil Society
-Criminals: $$$,
-Terrorists: political agenda; narrow support base, weak actor.
-Insurgents: political agenda; wider support, actually able to wage open warfare.
Why No Agreement?
-Strong negative moral context.
-Terrorists are people we don’t like.
-Former terrorists write their own histories.
-Hitler Own political pasts.
so what is terrorism?
-Violence
-Non-state actor
-Political objective
-Willingness/desire to kill people
-Small movement
-Psychological, not physical, effects of violence predominate.
Causes of terrorism
-Preconditions: political characteristics of a state that make terrorism possible, even promote terrorism. A necessary, but not a sufficient, condition.
-Precipitants: what actually turns individuals into terrorists, the “last straw”..
Preconditions
-Weak/failing state.
-Lack of political and/or economic opportunities.
-Social facilitation
-Globalization and modernization/urbanization.
What is a “weak state”?
-Loss of monopoly on killing.
-Lack of services
-Lack of infrastructure
-Lack of legitimacy
-Absence of public goods
Why does state weakness facilitate/encourage/provoke terrorism?
-Power vacuum.
-Weak enforcement
-Need for security
-Not gonna get caught.
-Corruption
-Despised leaders
What is Social Facilitation?
-Terrorism is cool! –while growing up.
-Societal role models successfully using violence.
-Needed to assuage potentially guilty conscience.
-Needed to not scare away others.
these are supposed to be good
Urbanization: rising expectations of the state.
Modernization: loss of authority figures.
You might be a terrorist mastermind, if…
-Middle or upper middle class.
-Time to engage in extracurricular activities.
-Thwarted ambition.
-High level of education.
-Sense of drive.
-Physical courage.
Effects of Violence
# Affected by Terrorism: very few
# Affected by Gov’t Countermeasures: everyone
Effects of Prolonged Violence
-Gov’t: weak and ineffective. Exacerbates preconditions.
-The apathetic public: pissed at the state.
Conventional War Objectives
Ends: occupying territory!
Means: application of maximum violence.
Insurgent Violence
-Insurgent targets: vulnerable military targets.
-Goal of violence: psychological.
Insurgency 101
-Problem: a pro-US Iraqi/Afghan official.
-Objective: birth certificate cancellation.
-Quickest solution: DIY
-Correct solution: outsourcing
Psychological Factor
-Occupying army: siege
-Civilian population: fear of occupiers
-Own fighters: loyalty
-International Opinion: shifts to the insurgents.
Algebraical Factor
-Definition: enough occupying troops per territory.
-Limitations: not enough troops!
Counter-Insurgency 101
Successful COIN: large force, trained for COIN => civilian population friendly toward occupier => no safe haven.
Attributes of a Failed State
-Regional warlords
-No public goods
-No monopoly on violence.
-High level of ethnic conflict.
Attributes of a Failed State
-Anarchy
-Political violence
-Concern about relative gains
-Absence of civic nationalism
-Ethnic conflict
Ethnic Conflict
-Necessary Condition: ethnic diversity
-Sufficient Condition: state weakness
Constructing a Nation
-Civic Nationalism!
-Really statebuilding.
-Monopoly on Violence!
-Long-term process.