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38 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
international monetary system
1. institutional arrangements that countries adopt to govern exchange rates
2. regarding exchange rate to other currencies
When foreign exchange market determines the relative value of a currency, a _____ exists.
floating system
Countries adopt a _____when they fix their currencies against each other
fixed exchange rate system
Why all had gold standard?
1. system helped to control inflation- capped
2. in relation to external balances, gold can balance trade deficit
How does Gold reserve get rid of deficit?
exports ^, imports v, price v, GR v
spending <earning
imp< exp
Gold Standard years
1880-1914
Gold Standard- why gold?
1. with development of technology, easier to mine silver
2. supply of gold is stable
Gold Standard characteristics
1. Country's money supply was fixed by the amount of gold it held.
2. currencies were linked based on the amount of gold they could exchange
3. guaranteed convertibility of currency to gold by gov
4. avoid inflation
Years of fall of gold standard
1918-1939
when did countries abandon gold standard and why?
1. start of WWI
2. costs of war led countries to print money resulting in inflation
3. wars cost govs money, don't guarantee link to gold
4. people have no faith in currencies
What happens after 1939?
1. bretton woods agreement ('44)
2. fixed exchange rates deemed desirable
3. agree to peg currencies to USD within 1% parity and USD is convertible to gol
4. Promise not to devalue currency for trade purposes and will defend currencies (to gain that competitive edge)
What institutions were created at Bretton woods?
World bank
international monetary fund
Discipline aspect of IMF
1. fixed rate imposes discipline:
2. need to maintain rate- stops competitive devaluations
3. imposes monetary discipline/curtails inflation
Two aspects of IMF
Discipline and flexibility
Flexible aspect of IMF
1. Lending facility
-Lend foreign currencies to countries having balance of payments problems
-quota system, SDR, and votes
2. Lending conditionality
- reducing gov spending, raising taxes, and restricting money growth
World Bank:
Original name, function
1. International Bank for Reconstruction and Development
2. Rebuild Europe's war torn economies
3. development
4. lending money to Third world countries for agriculture, education, population control, and urban development
When did Fixed Exchange Rate system collapse?
1973
Why did Fixed Exchange Rate system collapse?
1. US' Gold reserves down
2. US budget deficit up
3. pressure to devalue dollar
-high inflation, high spending on imports
What happened after fixed exchange rate system collapse?
1. Nixon took dollar off gold standard and kept 10% import tax
2. countries agreed to revalue their currencies against the dollar
WHat is the world's exchange system today?
hybrid exchange rate system: floating exchange rate regime
When did the Jamaica Agreement happen? What happened there?
1976
floating rates acceptable
market force to determine exchange rates
floating exchange rate system is associated with
more volatility and uncertainty
What does IMF do today?
helps countries cope with macro and exchange rate problems
still lender of last resort
optimum currency area characteristics
geographical close
similar economies
costless mobility of production factors
ex: euro zone
optimum currency area
the best area within which exchange rates are fixed among currencies in the area and between which exchange rates are flexible among areas
Treaty of Maastricht
1. 12 of 15 memeber states in 2002
2. jan 1999- exchange rates locked in
3. jan 2002- euro notes and coins issued
4. national currencies taken out of circulation
Benefits of the Euro
1. savings from using only one currency
2. easy to compare prices, resulting in lower prices
3. forces companies to be more efficient and cut costs
4. creates liquid pan europe capital market
5. increases range of investments for individuals and institutions
6. no transaction costs/risks
Costs of Euro
1. Countries lose monetary and fiscal policy control
2. EU is not an optimal currency area
How do countries lose monetary and fiscal policy control?
1. European Central Bank controls interest rate for the euro zone
2. all member countries have to keep their country's gross debt and government budget deficit within specified limit by EU
Benefits of fixed exchange rate
1. good for trade
2. no fluctuation or hedging
3. minimize inflation concern
Characteristics associated with countries choosing to peg
1. small size
2. open economy
3. harmonious inflation rate
4. concentrated trade
Characteristics associated with countries choosing to float
1. large size
2. closed economy
3. divergent inflation rate
4. diversified trade
Currency crisis
substantial nominal currency devaluation by at least 25%
Currency crisis always triggers
substantial decrease of equity prices, stock prices, and capital flight
Increase or decrease of frequency of currency crisis in recent years?
increase:
42 crises in developed countries
116 in emerging markets
between 1975-1997
Causes of currency crises
1. global factors: a more integrated financial markets leads to large volume of capital flows in and out of small markets
2. unsustainable macro policies: over spending by public and private sectors, trade deficit, etc
3. exchange rate misalignment: overvalue of currency under fixed exchange rate system
4. poor financial infrastructure: bad loans
5. political instability
6. speculation
main players in exchange rate market
government
hedge funds
factors for country risk analysis
1. external debt
2. international reserve holdings
3. exports
4. economic growth