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38 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
international monetary system
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1. institutional arrangements that countries adopt to govern exchange rates
2. regarding exchange rate to other currencies |
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When foreign exchange market determines the relative value of a currency, a _____ exists.
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floating system
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Countries adopt a _____when they fix their currencies against each other
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fixed exchange rate system
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Why all had gold standard?
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1. system helped to control inflation- capped
2. in relation to external balances, gold can balance trade deficit |
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How does Gold reserve get rid of deficit?
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exports ^, imports v, price v, GR v
spending <earning imp< exp |
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Gold Standard years
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1880-1914
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Gold Standard- why gold?
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1. with development of technology, easier to mine silver
2. supply of gold is stable |
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Gold Standard characteristics
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1. Country's money supply was fixed by the amount of gold it held.
2. currencies were linked based on the amount of gold they could exchange 3. guaranteed convertibility of currency to gold by gov 4. avoid inflation |
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Years of fall of gold standard
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1918-1939
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when did countries abandon gold standard and why?
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1. start of WWI
2. costs of war led countries to print money resulting in inflation 3. wars cost govs money, don't guarantee link to gold 4. people have no faith in currencies |
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What happens after 1939?
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1. bretton woods agreement ('44)
2. fixed exchange rates deemed desirable 3. agree to peg currencies to USD within 1% parity and USD is convertible to gol 4. Promise not to devalue currency for trade purposes and will defend currencies (to gain that competitive edge) |
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What institutions were created at Bretton woods?
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World bank
international monetary fund |
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Discipline aspect of IMF
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1. fixed rate imposes discipline:
2. need to maintain rate- stops competitive devaluations 3. imposes monetary discipline/curtails inflation |
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Two aspects of IMF
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Discipline and flexibility
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Flexible aspect of IMF
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1. Lending facility
-Lend foreign currencies to countries having balance of payments problems -quota system, SDR, and votes 2. Lending conditionality - reducing gov spending, raising taxes, and restricting money growth |
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World Bank:
Original name, function |
1. International Bank for Reconstruction and Development
2. Rebuild Europe's war torn economies 3. development 4. lending money to Third world countries for agriculture, education, population control, and urban development |
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When did Fixed Exchange Rate system collapse?
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1973
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Why did Fixed Exchange Rate system collapse?
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1. US' Gold reserves down
2. US budget deficit up 3. pressure to devalue dollar -high inflation, high spending on imports |
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What happened after fixed exchange rate system collapse?
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1. Nixon took dollar off gold standard and kept 10% import tax
2. countries agreed to revalue their currencies against the dollar |
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WHat is the world's exchange system today?
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hybrid exchange rate system: floating exchange rate regime
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When did the Jamaica Agreement happen? What happened there?
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1976
floating rates acceptable market force to determine exchange rates |
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floating exchange rate system is associated with
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more volatility and uncertainty
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What does IMF do today?
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helps countries cope with macro and exchange rate problems
still lender of last resort |
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optimum currency area characteristics
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geographical close
similar economies costless mobility of production factors ex: euro zone |
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optimum currency area
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the best area within which exchange rates are fixed among currencies in the area and between which exchange rates are flexible among areas
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Treaty of Maastricht
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1. 12 of 15 memeber states in 2002
2. jan 1999- exchange rates locked in 3. jan 2002- euro notes and coins issued 4. national currencies taken out of circulation |
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Benefits of the Euro
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1. savings from using only one currency
2. easy to compare prices, resulting in lower prices 3. forces companies to be more efficient and cut costs 4. creates liquid pan europe capital market 5. increases range of investments for individuals and institutions 6. no transaction costs/risks |
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Costs of Euro
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1. Countries lose monetary and fiscal policy control
2. EU is not an optimal currency area |
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How do countries lose monetary and fiscal policy control?
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1. European Central Bank controls interest rate for the euro zone
2. all member countries have to keep their country's gross debt and government budget deficit within specified limit by EU |
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Benefits of fixed exchange rate
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1. good for trade
2. no fluctuation or hedging 3. minimize inflation concern |
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Characteristics associated with countries choosing to peg
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1. small size
2. open economy 3. harmonious inflation rate 4. concentrated trade |
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Characteristics associated with countries choosing to float
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1. large size
2. closed economy 3. divergent inflation rate 4. diversified trade |
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Currency crisis
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substantial nominal currency devaluation by at least 25%
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Currency crisis always triggers
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substantial decrease of equity prices, stock prices, and capital flight
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Increase or decrease of frequency of currency crisis in recent years?
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increase:
42 crises in developed countries 116 in emerging markets between 1975-1997 |
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Causes of currency crises
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1. global factors: a more integrated financial markets leads to large volume of capital flows in and out of small markets
2. unsustainable macro policies: over spending by public and private sectors, trade deficit, etc 3. exchange rate misalignment: overvalue of currency under fixed exchange rate system 4. poor financial infrastructure: bad loans 5. political instability 6. speculation |
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main players in exchange rate market
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government
hedge funds |
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factors for country risk analysis
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1. external debt
2. international reserve holdings 3. exports 4. economic growth |