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30 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
Technical Forecasting
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Developments of forecasts using historical prices or trends.
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Fundamental Forecasting
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Forecasting based on fundamental relationships between economic variables and exchange.
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Market-Based Forecasting
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Use of a market-determined exchange rate to forecast the spot rate in the future
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Filter Rule
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Based on a certainty in price momentum, or the belief that rising prices tend to continue to rise and falling prices tend to continue to fall.
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Moving average crossover rule
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When the moving averages of different amounts (i.e. 30 and 60 day moving averages) crossover each other. This is more likely to occur if the market/ index/ stock is/has been particularly volatile.
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RSI
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Relative Strength index- a technical indicator used to to chart the current and historical strength or weakness of a stock or market based on the closing prices of a recent trading period.
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RMSE
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Root Mean Square Error- Used to measure the difference of values between what was predicted by an indicator and what the actual values turn out to be.
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Random Walk
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Mathematical formulation of a process that has a succession of random steps.
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Implied exchange rate volatility
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The estimated volatility of a securities price, generally up when the market is bullish and down when the market is bearish.
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Transaction Exposure
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Degree to which the value of future cash transactions can be affected be exchange rate fluctuations.
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Economic Exposure
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Degree to which a firm’s present value of future cash flows can be influenced by exchange rate fluctuations.
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Translation Exposure
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Degree to which a firm’s consolidated financial statements are exposed to fluctuations in exchange rates.
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VAR
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Value at Risk- A statistical technique used to measure and quantify the level of financial risk within a firm or investment portfolio over a specific time frame.
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Money Market Hedge
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Use of international money markets to match future cash inflows and outflows in a given currency.
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Cross Hedging
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Hedging an open position in one currency with a hedge on another currency that is highly correlated with the first currency. Not a perfect hedge.
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Cost of Capital
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The cost of funds used for financing a business
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Capital Structure
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A mix of a company's long-term debt, specific short-term debt, common equity and preferred equity.
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Long term financing
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A loan or other financial obligation lasting more than one year.
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Short term financing
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A loan or other financial obligation lasting less than one year.
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Stockholder vs Creditor Conflict
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Otherwise known as an agency problem, For example, managers could borrow money to repurchase shares to lower the corporation's share base and increase shareholder return. Stockholders will benefit; however, creditors will be concerned given the increase in debt that would affect future cash flows.
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Currency swap
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Agreement to exchange one currency for another at a specified exchange rate and date. Banks commonly serve as intermediaries between two parties who wish to engage in a currency swap.
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Parallel loans
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Loan involving an exchange of currencies between two parties, with a promise to reexchange the currencies at a specified exchange rate and future date.
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Interest rate swap
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Agreement to swap interest payments, whereby interest payments based on a fixed interest rate are exchanged for interest payments based on a floating interest rate.
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Plain Vanilla Swap
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The most basic type of forward claim that is traded in the over-the-counter market between two private parties, usually firms or financial institutions.
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Basis Swap
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A type of swap in which two parties swap variable interest rates based on different money markets.
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Callable Swap
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An exchange of cash flows in which one counterparty makes payments based on a fixed interest rate, the other counterparty makes payments based on a floating interest rate and the counterparty paying the fixed interest rate has the right to end the swap before it matures.
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Swaption
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The option to enter into an interest rate swap. In exchange for an option premium, the buyer gains the right but not the obligation to enter into a specified swap agreement with the issuer on a specified future date.
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Euro Notes
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Unsecured debt securities issued by MNC’s for short term financing.
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Euro commercial papers
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Paper debt securities issued by MNC’s for short term financing.
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Effective financing cost
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The effective rate that a company pays on its current debt.
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