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30 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
Technical Forecasting
Developments of forecasts using historical prices or trends.
Fundamental Forecasting
Forecasting based on fundamental relationships between economic variables and exchange.
Market-Based Forecasting
Use of a market-determined exchange rate to forecast the spot rate in the future
Filter Rule
Based on a certainty in price momentum, or the belief that rising prices tend to continue to rise and falling prices tend to continue to fall.
Moving average crossover rule
When the moving averages of different amounts (i.e. 30 and 60 day moving averages) crossover each other. This is more likely to occur if the market/ index/ stock is/has been particularly volatile.
RSI
Relative Strength index- a technical indicator used to to chart the current and historical strength or weakness of a stock or market based on the closing prices of a recent trading period.
RMSE
Root Mean Square Error- Used to measure the difference of values between what was predicted by an indicator and what the actual values turn out to be.
Random Walk
Mathematical formulation of a process that has a succession of random steps.
Implied exchange rate volatility
The estimated volatility of a securities price, generally up when the market is bullish and down when the market is bearish.
Transaction Exposure
Degree to which the value of future cash transactions can be affected be exchange rate fluctuations.
Economic Exposure
Degree to which a firm’s present value of future cash flows can be influenced by exchange rate fluctuations.
Translation Exposure
Degree to which a firm’s consolidated financial statements are exposed to fluctuations in exchange rates.
VAR
Value at Risk- A statistical technique used to measure and quantify the level of financial risk within a firm or investment portfolio over a specific time frame.
Money Market Hedge
Use of international money markets to match future cash inflows and outflows in a given currency.
Cross Hedging
Hedging an open position in one currency with a hedge on another currency that is highly correlated with the first currency. Not a perfect hedge.
Cost of Capital
The cost of funds used for financing a business
Capital Structure
A mix of a company's long-term debt, specific short-term debt, common equity and preferred equity.
Long term financing
A loan or other financial obligation lasting more than one year.
Short term financing
A loan or other financial obligation lasting less than one year.
Stockholder vs Creditor Conflict
Otherwise known as an agency problem, For example, managers could borrow money to repurchase shares to lower the corporation's share base and increase shareholder return. Stockholders will benefit; however, creditors will be concerned given the increase in debt that would affect future cash flows.
Currency swap
Agreement to exchange one currency for another at a specified exchange rate and date. Banks commonly serve as intermediaries between two parties who wish to engage in a currency swap.
Parallel loans
Loan involving an exchange of currencies between two parties, with a promise to reexchange the currencies at a specified exchange rate and future date.
Interest rate swap
Agreement to swap interest payments, whereby interest payments based on a fixed interest rate are exchanged for interest payments based on a floating interest rate.
Plain Vanilla Swap
The most basic type of forward claim that is traded in the over-the-counter market between two private parties, usually firms or financial institutions.
Basis Swap
A type of swap in which two parties swap variable interest rates based on different money markets.
Callable Swap
An exchange of cash flows in which one counterparty makes payments based on a fixed interest rate, the other counterparty makes payments based on a floating interest rate and the counterparty paying the fixed interest rate has the right to end the swap before it matures.
Swaption
The option to enter into an interest rate swap. In exchange for an option premium, the buyer gains the right but not the obligation to enter into a specified swap agreement with the issuer on a specified future date.
Euro Notes
Unsecured debt securities issued by MNC’s for short term financing.
Euro commercial papers
Paper debt securities issued by MNC’s for short term financing.
Effective financing cost
The effective rate that a company pays on its current debt.