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33 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

name the two ways of summarising data

skewness and kurtosis

binomial distribution

theprobability distribution of a binomial variable is called binomial distribution

inferential statistics

used to reach conclusions that extend beyond the immediate data alone.

descriptive statistics

to describe what is going on in our data

what does the standard deviation and variance measure?

the width of the data

what does the standard deviation and the variance not measure?

the shape of the frequency distribution

what is it called when data is clumped in one area on a graph?

skewed data asymmetrical

what does the variance measure?

measures the distance from the mean

what does the variance not describe ?

the curve of the data (the skewness)

what the mean fails to describe ?

the distribution, doesn't tell you where your data is on the graph, where it clumps on the scale of ranges.

define skewness

a measurement of the symmetry of the distribution

when is said to be positive skewness

when the mean is greater than the median

when is there said to be negative skewness

when the mean is lower than the median

when is there no skewness

when data is perfectly distributed

3 reasons why skewness is useful?

testing assumptions about the data, whether it has a normal distribution, whether other statistical tests are valid

what 2 things do both skewness and kurtosis do?

show how symmetrical at the data and test assumptions about data

what is called when data is symmetrical?

normal distribution

what is kurtosis?

how peaky the model value (the value that appears most frequently) to the rest of the population.

what causes spurious precision?

when there are lots of decimal points

what is spurious precision also known as?

false precision

inferential statistics are built on what?

probability theory

why is the probability useful when describing statistics?

allow us to characterise and make confident statements about populations, to test hypothesis statically. e.g. the probability of flooding

the risk and likelihood of things happening can be determine through working out the

probability

what are independent probabilities

wo events are independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other.

The dependent variable

The dependent variables represent the output or outcome whose variation is being studied.

The independent variable

The independent variables represent inputs or causes, i.e. potential reasons for variation.

mutual independence

knowing outcome does not help predict the next outcome

conditional probabilities

where actions o affect outcomes, where these actions are not independent

is the probability of flooding conditional? why?

yes, because what happened before changes the probability of the event occurring.

how do you determine the recurrence periods in years?

x m3/s = (number of peaks in list) + 1


(divided by) ranked position of that particular discharge.

what is the next step after the equation to determine the river discharge recurrence intervals? (the probability of the discharge occurring)

see how frequently one specific discharge occurs over a 100 year period. (this produces the probability of a discharge occurring.

the terminology used for probability has changed from likelihood terminology to...

confidence terminology

3 examples of famous probability mistakes gone wrong

cancer clusters, gamblers fallacy, the monty hall problem