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58 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
Random walk
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the notion that stock price changes are random and unpredictable.
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Efficient market hypothesis
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the hypothesis that prices of securities fully reflect available information about securities
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Weak-form EMH
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the assertion that stick prices already reflect all information contained in the history of past trading
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Semistrong-form EMH
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size effect, book-to-market, PEAD
the assertion that stock prices already reflect all publicly available information |
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Strong-form EMH
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insider trading, mutual fun performance
the assertion that stock prices reflect all relevant information, including inside information |
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Technical analysis
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research on recurrent and predictable stock price patterns and on proxies for buy or sell pressure in the market
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Resistance level
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a price level above which it is supposedly unlikely for a stock or stock index to rise
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Support level
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a price level below which it is supposedly unlikely for a stock or stock index to fall
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Fundamental analysis
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research on determinants of stock value, such as earnings and dividend prospects, expectations for future interest rates, and risk of the firm
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Passive investment strategy
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buying a well-diversified portolio without attempting to search out mispriced securities
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Index fund
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a mutual fund holding shares in proportion to their representation in a market index such as the S&P 500
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Momentum effect
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Jegadeesh & Titman
the tendency of poorly performing stocks and well-performing stocks in one period to continue that abnormal performance in following periods |
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Reversal effect
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Jegadeesh & Titman
the tendency of poorly performing stocks and well-performing stocks in one period to experience reversals in the following period |
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Anomalies
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patterns of returns that seem to contradict the efficient market hypothesis
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P/E effect
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portfolios of low P/E stocks have exhibited higher average risk-adjusted returns than high P/E stocks
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Small-firm effect
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stocks of small firms have earned abnormal returns, primarily in the month of January
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Neglected-firm effect
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the tendency of investments in stock of less-well-known firms to generate abnormal returns
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Book-to-market effect
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Fama & French
the tendency for investments in shares of firms with high ratios of book value to market value to generate abnormal returns |
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Behavioral finance
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models of financial markets that emphasize portential implications of psychological factors affecting investor behavior
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Conservatism
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a conservatism bias means that investors are too slow (too conservative) in updating their beliefs in response to recent evidence
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Representativeness bias
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people are too prone to believe that a small sample is representative of a broad population and infer patterns too quickly
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Framing
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Decisions are affected by how choices are posed, for example, as gains relative to a low baseline level or losses relative to a higher baseline.
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Mental accounting
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Mental accounting is a specific form of framing in which people segregate certain decisions.
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Regret avoidance
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People blame themselves more for unconventional choices that turn out badly so they avoid regret by making conventional decisions.
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Prospect theory
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behavioral theory that investor utility depends on gains or losses from starting position, rather than on their levels of wealth.
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Dow theory
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a technique that attempts to discern long- and short-term trends in stock market prices.
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Breadth
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the extent to which movements in broad market indexes are reflected widely in movements of individual stock prices.
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Relative strenght
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recent performance of a given stock or industry compared to that of a broader market index.
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Trin statistic
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the ratio of average volume in declining issues to average volume in advancing issues.
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Confidence index
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ratio of the yield of top-rated corporate bonds to the yield on intermediate-grade bonds
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Short interest
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the total number of shares currently sold-short in the market.
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Put/call ratio
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ratio of put options to call options outstanding on a stock
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Call option
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the right to buy an asset at a specified exercise price on or before a specified expiration date.
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Exercise or strike price
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price set for calling (buying) an asset or puttng (selling) an asset.
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Premium
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purchase price of an option.
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Put option
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the right to sell an asset at a specified exercise price on or before a specified expiration date.
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In the money
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an option where exercise would be profitable.
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Out of the money
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an option where exercise would not be profitable.
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At the money
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an option where the exercise price and asset are equal.
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American option
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can be exercised on or before its expiraton
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European option
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can be exercised only at expiration
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Protective put
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an asset combined with a put option that guarantees minimum proceeds equal to the put's exercise price.
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Risk management
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strategies to limit the risk of a portfolio
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Covered call
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writing a call on an asset together with buying the asset
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Straddle
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a combination of a call and a put, each with the same exercise price and expiration date.
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Size effect (small firm)
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Banz, Reinganum, Keim?
stocks of small firms have gained abnormal returns, primarly in January |
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Book-to-market
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Fama & French
high ratios of BV to MV generates abnormal returns |
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Post-Earnings Announcement Drift
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Bernard & Thomas
sluggish response of stock prices after announcement of earnings (60 days) |
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Odean's FIRST Study
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Stocks sold by investors outperformed those bought by investors. INVESTORS TRADE TOO MUCH.
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Odean and Barber SECOND Study
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Those who trade the most have the worst cost-adjusted performance. TRADING IS HAZARDOUS TO WEALTH.
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Barber and Odean's Boys Will Be Boys
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Men trade more than women overall. Single men vs. single female- men trade more. Married men trade less than single men.
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Barber and Odean Online Trading
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Investors who switch from phone-based trading to online experienced a 2% increase in performance in the short run prior to the switch but decrease by at least 3% in the long run because of over trading.
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Overconfidence and individual trading behavior -Svenson
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the tendency to overestimate one's ability to do well on tasks - found that because of overconfidence, investors trade too much. AKA above-the-avg effect
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Self-attribution bias
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attribute one's success to his own ability but the failure to bad luck.
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Disposition effect -Odean
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investors are more reluctant to realize their losses. hold losers too long and sell winners too soon. People have a tendency to realize more gains than losses.
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Prospect theory
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a positive utility theory (what has been actually observed in human behavior). Investors care about the CHANGE in wealth.
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Expected utility theory
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investors only care about total wealth andy are risk averse
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Prospect theory - Tversky & Kahneman
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the impact of a loss is twice as much as that of a gain of the same size (no gain or loss or gain $X but lose $50 with 50% probability)
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