Error And Bias Final Week 7 Covariation, Causation, And Counterfactual Thinking

Front 1

traditional (statistically) descriptive perspective

Back 1

task is to provide a summary of the presented information - any real-world knowledge is relevant

Front 2

inferential view

Back 2

attempt to determine the likelihood that there is a relationship between the two values (given basic assumptions about how the world usually works)

Front 3

rarity assumption

Back 3

for most things, absence is more common than presence (p is usually less than .5)

Front 4

illusory correlation

Back 4

the mistaken impression that two unrelated variables are correlated

Front 5

invisible correlation

Back 5

failing to see a correlation that does exist

Front 6

law of contagion

Back 6

once in contact, always in contact

often asymmetric

good or bad qualities can rub off

Front 7

law of similarity

Back 7

things can be affected by things that resemble them

voodoo dolls, idolatry, folk medicine, oysters as aphrodisiac

people won't throw darts at pic of JFK, but will at Hitler