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135 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
What is the diagnostic process
1. initial observation



2. recall differential diagnoses


3. rank differential diagnoses


4. collect additional diagnostic information


5. reach a diagnosis

What are sources of variation when measuring patient characteristics?
1. mechanical



a. machine/equipment


b. observer




2. biological


a. variation within an animal


b. variation between animals

Regression to the mean
The likelihood of having to elevated (abnormal) test results in a row due to chance is highly unlikely so if a second test shows a more normal result it is likely accurate
diagnostic test
anything that will predict the occurrence of a disease with a greater probability than chance alone
screening
presumptive identification of unrecognized disease to sort out apparently healthy animals with the disease form those without. screening is done with the objective of early disease detection
case finding
when a screening test is applied to a high risk group of animals
What criteria should be considered when evaluating a diagnostic test?
- reliability

- accuracy


- usefulness


- value

dichotomous variables
variables with 2 possible values (present or absent; alive or dead)
Nominal variables
variables that have more than 2 possible values, but not an inherent order (eye color, breed, blood type)
ordinal variables
variables that have more than 2 possible values and have an inherent order (pain ratings, grade heart murmur)
accuracy
the proportion of all test results, both positive and negative that are correct

(TP + TN)/(TP + TN + FP + FN)

sensitivity
the ability of a test to accurately classify a group of patients known to have a disease

- ability to correctly identify positive cases




TP/ (TP +FN)

specificity
the ability of a test to accurately classify a group of patients know to be free of disease

- ability to correctly identify negatives




TN/(TN + FP)

What factors affect whether you choose a test for specificity or sensitivity?
- cost of a false negative of false positive

- prevalence of disease


- purpose of the test

pre-test probability
probability that a patient had the disease before the test result was known

- for screening tests it is the prevalence in the population


- for diagnostic tests it depends on patient symptoms and other test results

post test probability
chance of patient having disease after test is run

- postive test= positive predictive value


- negative test= 1- negative predictive value

predictive value
the ability of a test to accurately classify patients whose disease status is unknown
positive predictive value
the probability that a patient with a positive test result actually has the disease in quest



TP/(TP + FP)

negative predictive value
the probability that a patient with a negative test result does not have disease

TN/ (TN+ FN)

what is the relationship between predictive value and prevalence?
as the prevalence of a disease decreases, the positive predictive value decreases but negative predictive value increases



(if disease is not common the likelihood that a positive result is correct is low while it is more likely that a negative result is accurate)

When would you choose a test with high sensitivity?
SnNout- sensitivity- negative rules out



- when it is advantageous to rule out a diagnosis in the early stages of a workup to decrease how many animals must be treated




- when a false negative could be dangerous, like when screening animals during importation

when would you use a test with high specificity?
SpPIN- specificity-positive rules in



- when it is advantageous to confirm a diagnosis- confidently determine who should be treated




- when a false positive is dangerous- like during a test and cull program

natural history of a disease
sequence of developments in disease process - preclinical phase
- clinical phase
sequence of developments in disease process



- preclinical phase


- clinical phase



what are possible disease outcomes?
- death

- cure


- remission (decrease/disappearance of signs and symptoms


- recurrence (return of disease)

Differentiate between clinical phase of a disease and clinical course of a disease
- clinical phase: time frame during which under care



- clinical course: how the disease behaves during the time under care

what are the 2 general ways to express prognosis?
- # with disease that survived/ # with disease



- # with disease that died/ # with disease

case fatality rate
method of expressing prognosis

- proportion of patients with disease who die from it

one/five year survival
method of expressing prognosis

- proportion of patients with disease who are alive one/five years after diagnosis

individual years
method of expressing prognosis in terms of time

- use # of years in proportion instead of individuals


- # years a people with disease survived/ # years every one with disease contributed to study

median survival time
method of expressing prognosis in terms of time

- length of time that half of the study population survives

What is one problem with using person years to express prognosis of disease
all person years are assumed to be equal when in fact that may not be.
prognostic factors
a factor that may provide information on the likely clinical outcome of each patient

- demographics


- disease specific factors


- co-morbitidites (other conditions of the patient)

cumulative mortality
CM= (number of individuals that die during a particular period) / (number of individuals in the population at the beginning of the period)
mortality rate
M= (# deaths due to a disease in a population during a particular period) / (total length of time at risk of dying among all individuals in the population)
Death rate
total mortality rate for all diseases in a population
What is the relationship between case fatality and case survival?
case fatality + case survival = 1
cohort study
a group of individuals with the target disorder are followed overtime and the occurrence of the outcome is monitored
censored observation
a time measure included for a study subject who does not experience the outcome/event during the observed period

- animal leaves study before experiencing event


- animal makes it to the end of study without experiencing event

what are some drawbacks of using life tables?
- they assume no change in treatment effectiveness or survivorship over time

- they rely upon estimates of time contributed for individuals lost to follow-up and assume they are no different from those still enrolled

What is the difference between life tables and the Kaplan Meier Method?
Kaplan- Meier Method doesn't use set intervals to estimate probabilities, instead the intervals are determined by the time between occurrence of the observed outcome (e.g. death)
What is an important use of Kaplan Meier curves?
they can be used to compare the prognosis of 2 different groups with the same disease
Inception cohort
study subjects are all followed from a set point in time in the course of disease

- onset of signs and symptoms


- time of diagnosis


- beginning of treatment

What components determine follow up completeness?
- study length- was the follow up period long enough to assure every patient was followed until disease outcome/recovery



- study completeness- were all or a very large proportion of subjects (>/= 80%) followed up for the whole study (not more than 20% lost to follow up)

What 3 things must a study reporting prognosis include?
- clearly stated zero time (start of tx, diagnosis, appearance of clinical signs)

- long and complete follow-up times


- should account for unknown prognostic factors

risk factor
a factor that has an association with disease or a factor that changes the probability of developing an disease in the future
which increases the pretest probability of a disease more, presence of a risk factor or presence of associated clinical signs?
clinical signs
What are some reasons for conflicting results presented in epidemiological studies (e.g. does coffee increase or decrease or have no effect on the risk of cancer in humans)?
- limited study populations



- limited variables tested


- poor study design


- more likely to publish positive associations


- random variation

association
statistical relationship between 2 or more events, characteristics, or other variables
correlation
specific type of association in which the relationship between 2 variables is linear
causation
a change in one variable is responsible for an observed change in another variable
what are 5 explanations for a causal association observed in an epidemiological study?
1. chance (random error): spurious association

2. bias: spurious association


3. effect-cause: real association (heart disease causes obesity)


4. confounding: real association (lack of exercise causes both heart disease and obesity)


5. Cause-effect: real association (obesity causes heart disease)

What is chance (in terms of a cause of an association)
random errors occur, and are not predictable, but are always present in a study

- can be decreased by increasing sample size

What is bias (in terms of a cause of an association)
systemic errors that occur when study design, conduct, or analysis mistakenly estimate the relationship of an exposure to an outcome

- unlike chance, this cannot be overcome by increasing sample size

confounding factor
a factor that is associated with both the suspected cause and the effect being studied
descriptive studies
describe population characteristics such as occurrence of disease by time and place

- case report


- case series


- survey

analytical studies
examine etiology and causal associations

- observational (observe and analyze natural exposures)


- experimental (apply some exposure to a pop)

examples of analytical observational studies
- cross- sectional



- cohort


- case- control


- hybrid

examples of analytical experimental studies
- randomized controlled



- randomized non-controlled

In which type of study (analytical or descriptive) can associations be established? why?
analytical because in these you are comparing one group to another. In descriptive you are just describing a population so there is no evidence of whether an exposure causes increased risk or not.
case reports
descriptive study

- detailed presentation of a single case


- usually not representative of normal disease course and not generally very applicable because they focus on unique occurrences

case series
descriptive study

- description of a collection of cases




-- provides evidence/information on the first signs of a disease


-- useful in describing the clinical course of disease and natural history of disease


-- can provide support for more detailed studies in the future

What is the key difference between a cohort study and a case control study?
both are observational analytic studies



cohort: identifies exposure and watches what happens




case control: identifies people with disease and looks for exposures they had in common

cross sectional analytical study
Define a set population the identify both exposures and disease in the population at the same time
Types of cohort studies
prospective

retrospective

prospective cohort study
identification and enrollment of cohort is at beginning of time frame under study
retrospective cohort study
identification and enrollment of cohort is during or at the end of time frame under study
What is the difference between a retrospective and case control study?
retrospective identifies cases based on exposure and case control identifies based on having disease
rank the types of observational studies based on strength of evidence
1. prospective cohort (follow up over time)

2. retrospective cohort (follow-up beginning at a later time)


3. case- control ("working backwards")


4. cross- sectional (prevalence and exposure together)

what criteria are used to rank strength of evidence in an observational study?
1. ability to establish temporal sequence of events



2. risk of bias

what are 2 major types of bias?
selection

information

selection bias
absence of comparability between groups being studied
information bias
information on exposure, outcome, and covariates of interest is collected differentially between groups
Experimental analytical studies
exposure is applied by researcher - can be randomized or nonrandomized- follow-up occurs to determine outcome (typically prospective)
How is incidence used in epidemiological studies?
- predict the risk of developing disease

- associate risk factors with disease


- predict prognosis


- evaluate new therapies

relative risk
how many times more likely are exposed individuals to become diseased, relative to non-exposed individuals



RR= I_e/I_ne

How is relative risk interpreted?
RR=1 risk in exposed is equal to risk in non exposed



RR>1 risk is greater in exposed population




RR<1 risk is greater in non exposed population

attributable risk
the incidence of disease that is attributable to exposure



AR= I_e - I_ne

population attributable risk
predicts the reduction in risk achievable if a risk factor is removed from the population



AR_p= AR x proportion of population exposed

Population attributable risk proportion (fraction)
measures what proportion of a disease in a population is attributable to a risk factor



AF= AR/I_e

Odds
ratio of the probability of an event to the probability that the event will not occur



O= P/(1-P)

What is the difference between odds and risk
denominator

- risk= entire population


- odds= those without the outcome

odds ratio
How many times more likely are diseased individuals to have been exposed, relative to non diseased individuals



OR= O_e/O_ne





When would you use an odds ratio
instead of relative risk when data on incidence cannot be obtained

- cannot perform a cohort study


- disease status is identified first

how are odds ratios interpreted?
OR=1 likelihood of exposure is equal in diseased and non diseased groups



OR>1 likelihood of exposure is greater in diseased individuals




OR<1 likelihood of exposure is greater in non-diseased group

What is the fundamental difference in the meaning of relative risk and odds ratio?
relative risk= looks at exposure first, how much more likely is disease if you are exposed



odds ratio= looks at disease first, how much more likely was exposure in diseased group

What are Koch's postulates?
- organism present in every case

- isolate from case and grow in pure culture


- organism causes disease when inoculated into a susceptible animal


- organism can be recovered from animal and identified

what are problems with koch's postulates?
- asymptomatic infection negates first rule

- some agents can't be grown in culture


- some agents can't be inoculated from isolate


- non-infections disease are not subject to the criteria

What are hill's criteria?
Strong

- temporality


- strength of association


- consistency


- biological gradient




Weaker


- specificity


- plausibility


- coherence


- experimental evidence


- analogy

temporality
the cause must proceed the effect in time

- the exposure/risk factor must come before the disease

strength of association
the strong the relationship (RR/OR) between the risk factor and the outcome, the less likely that the relationship is due to something else or by chance
biological gradient
increased exposure leads to increased outcome
consistency
repeated observation of an association in different populations under different circomstances
specificity of association
does the specified exposure lead only to the outcome
biological plausibility
does the association make sense in light of existing theories?
Coherence with existing knowledge
is the association consistent with available evidence
experimental evidence
has a randomized controlled trial been done to support the association
analogy
is the association similar to others that have been identified
treat- to -target
therapeutic concept that aims to achieve well defined clinically relevant end-targets

- targets are specific quantitative measures with rationale for section based on comprehensive, evidence based, generally accepted values


- treatment plans are dynamic and responsive

inductive reasoning
retrospective analyses of your own clinical experience or pathophysiological reasoning

- bottom up, you make observations and try to find a cause that would fit them




every limping dog you have seen has been cured with anti inflammatories therefore anti inflammatories must cure all lameness

deductive reasoning
analysis of clinical trials, application of prescribed sets of differentials

- top down, Start with something that is known to be true and match your observations to it




removing uterus decreases risk and cures pyometra


therefore if you spay a dog with a pyometra it will go away

faith based decision making
recommendation of colleagues, advertisements, or pharmaceutical representative
abductive reasoning
starts with an incomplete set of observations and proceeds to the likeliest possible explanation for the group of observations



- observe clinical signs


- research possible diagnoses


- see which one best matches clinical signs

pattern recognition
matching diagnosis to "typical" clinical signs of that disease

- more experienced clinicians are more successful

Why is randomization useful?
- ensures that groups in clinical trials are comparable

- reduces the risk of selection bias


- most powerful method of eliminating known and unknown confounding variables

What is a method used to ensure balanced groups in a randomized trial?
stratified randomization
allocation concealment
clinicians are unaware of which treatment the next patient is to receive- different from blinding
How can randomized controlled trials be classified?
- by study design

- by outcome of interest


- by hypothesis

Study design RCT classifications
- parallel group

- crossover


- cluster


- factorial

parallel group randomized controlled trial
participants are randomly assigned to a group and all participants within a group receive (or don't receive) intervention



most common type

crossover randomized controlled trial
participates receive (or don't receive) intervention in a random sequence over time



allows the response to different interventions to be observed in individual patients

cluster randomized controlled trial
pre-existing participate groups are randomly selected to receive intervention



e.g. communities as a whole receive or do not receive and they are compared to other communities

factorial randomized controlled trial
participants are randomly assigned to a group that receives a particular combination of interventions or noninterventions



very uncommon

outcome of interest RCT classifications
explanatory

pragmatic

explanatory randomized controlled trial
test efficacy of an intervention in a research setting, rigorously selected groups and highly controlled
Pragmatic randomized controlled trial
test effectiveness of intervention in everyday practice; flexible conditions



- also extra information on likelihood of patients to be compliant with treatment to be gained

Classifications of RCT by hypothesis
superiority trials

non-inferiority trials


equivalence trails

types of comparison groups
options for "treatments" in a RCT (that aren't the treatment being tested



no intervention


observation


placebo treatment


standard treatment

What is the difference between no intervention and observation control groups
no intervention- control groups receives no intervention and is not monitored



observation- control group receives no intervention but is closely monitored throughout trial

Hawthorne effect
the observed effect that is attributable to being included in a scientific study
placebo treatment
an inactive substance that is given to mimic the actual treatment being tested



- unethical to use this if there is another proven option for treatment (can't withhold treatment in a life-threatening or serious illness)

standard treatment
current market leader or the drug that has been averrable the longest

blinding

individuals involved in the study (patients, owners, clinicians, investigators, etc) are kept unaware of the assigned intervention


- single (just patient/owner)


- double (patient and clinician)


- triple (patient, clinician, and data analyst)

what are the benefits of blinding?

- minimize observation bias


- improve patient compliance and retention


- reduce co-interventions

briefly review protocol for clinical trial

don't forget to do it

What steps should be completed prior to enrolling subjects in a clinical trial

study design and funding


creation of protocol and forms


clearance process

what is the crucial component in owner/patient consent

whether the owner understands the risk and benefits of participating in the clinical trial

intention to treat analysis

use information from every subject that was enrolled in study whether they were compliant or not




should be done in addition to evaluating based on just who followed through

Why is it important to use intention to treat analysis

if analysis is based only on compliant participant's responses:


- the rate of positive response could be skewed by bias


- the rate of positive response could be skewed by a confounder associated with compliance

P value

the probability of obtaining the results by observed by chance


generally <0.05 is considered significant (results didn't happen by chance)

null hypothesis

the hypothesis that there is no real difference between the 2 groups being compared

type 1 error (alpha)

false positive


the risk of concluding that there is a difference in the outcome among groups when there is not


usually = 0.05

type 2 error

false negative


concluding that a treatment does not work when it does


usually = 0.2

type 1 beta error

power


the probability of being able to identify an effect of treatment, if one exists


analogous to the sensitivity of diagnostic tests

publication bias

the greater likelihood that studies with positive results will be published



why is publication bias important

distorts the scientific record


influences clinician's decision making


hides the "truth"


misleads policy makers


causes harm to patients