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97 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
Endemic
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usuall occurrence of the spread of disease or illness
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Epidemic
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excess of normal expectancy of spread
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Pandemic
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worldwide spread
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Hyper-endemic
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high and continued level of incidence
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Type of disease outbreaks:
Common Source |
exposure can be continuous and ongoing
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Type of disease outbreaks:
Progpagated Outbreak |
gradual from person to person
no common source |
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Type of disease outbreaks:
Mixed Epidemic |
mixture of common source and propagated
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Top 5 Causes of Death
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1. Heart Disease
2. Cancer 3. Stroke 4. Lung Disease 5. Accidents |
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Top 5 Causes of Death Risk Factors
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modifiable - diet, smoking, exercise
non-modifiable - age, sex, race |
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Types of Prevention: Primary
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prevention measures seeking to prevent the onset of disease
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Types of Prevention: Secondary
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screening to detect disease before signs and symptoms are present
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Types of Prevention: Tertiary
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Treatment of disease to prevent worsening of condition
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Epidemiological Approach
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basic purpose to identify risk factors and causes
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Epidemiologic Approach Step 1
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determine association between exposure and exposure levels as they relate to the disease
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Epidemiologic Approach Step 2
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- is association causal > be mindful of confounders
- exposure may not be the culprit |
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Epidemiologic Approach requires
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characteristics of person and disease
- who - where - when - what - why |
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Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: Who
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- Person
- Age, sex, race, socioeconomic status, health, marital status |
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Types of Prevention: Secondary
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screening to detect disease before signs and symptoms are present
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Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: Where
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- Place
- Geographic elements of anoutbreak |
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Types of Prevention: Tertiary
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Treatment of disease to prevent worsening of condition
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Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: When
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- Time
- Usually month or year - Secular - changes over long periods of time - Cyclical - frequency > seasonal or yearly |
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Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: What
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- Case definition
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Epidemiological Approach
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basic purpose to identify risk factors and causes
|
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Epidemiologic Approach Step 1
|
determine association between exposure and exposure levels as they relate to the disease
|
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Epidemiologic Approach Step 2
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- is association causal > be mindful of confounders
- exposure may not be the culprit |
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Epidemiologic Approach requires
|
characteristics of person and disease
- who - where - when - what - why |
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Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: Who
|
- Person
- Age, sex, race, socioeconomic status, health, marital status |
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Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: Where
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- Place
- Geographic elements of anoutbreak |
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Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: When
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- Time
- Usually month or year - Secular - changes over long periods of time - Cyclical - frequency > seasonal or yearly |
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Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: What
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- Case definition
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Types of Prevention: Secondary
|
screening to detect disease before signs and symptoms are present
|
|
Types of Prevention: Tertiary
|
Treatment of disease to prevent worsening of condition
|
|
Epidemiological Approach
|
basic purpose to identify risk factors and causes
|
|
Types of Prevention: Secondary
|
screening to detect disease before signs and symptoms are present
|
|
Epidemiologic Approach Step 1
|
determine association between exposure and exposure levels as they relate to the disease
|
|
Epidemiologic Approach Step 2
|
- is association causal > be mindful of confounders
- exposure may not be the culprit |
|
Types of Prevention: Tertiary
|
Treatment of disease to prevent worsening of condition
|
|
Epidemiologic Approach requires
|
characteristics of person and disease
- who - where - when - what - why |
|
Epidemiological Approach
|
basic purpose to identify risk factors and causes
|
|
Types of Prevention: Secondary
|
screening to detect disease before signs and symptoms are present
|
|
Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: Who
|
- Person
- Age, sex, race, socioeconomic status, health, marital status |
|
Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: Where
|
- Place
- Geographic elements of anoutbreak |
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Types of Prevention: Tertiary
|
Treatment of disease to prevent worsening of condition
|
|
Epidemiologic Approach Step 1
|
determine association between exposure and exposure levels as they relate to the disease
|
|
Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: When
|
- Time
- Usually month or year - Secular - changes over long periods of time - Cyclical - frequency > seasonal or yearly |
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Epidemiological Approach
|
basic purpose to identify risk factors and causes
|
|
Epidemiologic Approach Step 2
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- is association causal > be mindful of confounders
- exposure may not be the culprit |
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Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: What
|
- Case definition
|
|
Epidemiologic Approach Step 1
|
determine association between exposure and exposure levels as they relate to the disease
|
|
Epidemiologic Approach Step 2
|
- is association causal > be mindful of confounders
- exposure may not be the culprit |
|
Epidemiologic Approach requires
|
characteristics of person and disease
- who - where - when - what - why |
|
Epidemiologic Approach requires
|
characteristics of person and disease
- who - where - when - what - why |
|
Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: Who
|
- Person
- Age, sex, race, socioeconomic status, health, marital status |
|
Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: Who
|
- Person
- Age, sex, race, socioeconomic status, health, marital status |
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Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: Where
|
- Place
- Geographic elements of anoutbreak |
|
Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: Where
|
- Place
- Geographic elements of anoutbreak |
|
Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: When
|
- Time
- Usually month or year - Secular - changes over long periods of time - Cyclical - frequency > seasonal or yearly |
|
Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: When
|
- Time
- Usually month or year - Secular - changes over long periods of time - Cyclical - frequency > seasonal or yearly |
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Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: What
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- Case definition
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Epidemiologic Approach Characterristic: What
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- Case definition
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Epidemiologic Approach Characteristics: Why
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- Causes
- Analytic - determines risk factor > determinants - Descriptive - describes characteristics |
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Gordis - 8 steps to guide outbreak investigation
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1. Define outbreak and validate existence
2. Examine distributions 3. Look for combinations of variables 4. Develop hypotheses 5. Test hypotheses 6. Recommend control measures 7. Prepare written report 8. Communicate findings |
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Attack Rate
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People at risk in whom illness develops
________________________________ total number of people at risk - cumulative incidence of infection in a group observed over the period of an epidemic |
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Case fatality Rate
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- number of deaths from a specific disease during a specfic time period
__________________________________ number of diagnosed cases of the disease in the same time period - Not useful for chronic diseases |
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Types of Rates
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- Crude Rate
- Specific Rate - Adjusted Rate |
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Validity
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- Accuracy
- The ability of a test or measurement to correctly identify the variable or disease it is supposed to measure |
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Sensitivity
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- Correct identification of disease when person has disease
- a/(a+c) |
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Specificity
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- Correct identification of no disease in those without the disease
- d/(d+b) |
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Reliability
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- Repeatability
- The degree to which repeated results will be the same |
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Classifying Epidemiologic Studies
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- descriptive or analytic
- experimental or observational |
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Classifying Epidemiological Studies
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- descriptive or analytic
- experimental or observational |
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Descriptive Study
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- describes disease and helps generate causal hypotheses
_ case reports, case series, cross-sectional surveys - describe individual health characteristics - person, place, time, things, and estimates disease frequency and time trends |
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Analytic Study
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- test hypotheses
- ecologic studies, case-control, cohort, experimental - test different specific etiologic hypotheses |
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Experimental Study
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- ALWAYS analytic
- investigator controls exposure |
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Observational
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- either analytic or descriptive
- investigator DOES NOT control exposure |
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Experimental Study Designs
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- clinical trials (analytic)
- community trials (analytic) |
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Observational Study Designs
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- Case reports (descriptive)
-ecologic (descriptive or analytic) - cross-sectional (descriptive) - case-control (analytic) cohort (analytic) |
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Randomized Trials
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- considered BEST DESIGN
- randomized clinical trial |
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Randomized Clinical Trial
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- evaluate newer drugs, treatments, technology, health organizations, and delivery
- starts with defined population that is randomized to receive either new treatment or the current treatment - groups are compared to evaluate |
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Subject Selection
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- Historical controls
- Simultaneous non-randomized controls - Randomized controls *THE BEST - Stratified Randomization |
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Historical Controls
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- data from medical records of groups in past
- records may be inadequate - generally not a good choice |
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Simultaneous Non-randomized Controls
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- controls not selected randomly
- selection bias - better to select randomly |
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Randomized Controls
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- THE BEST APPROACH
- usually done with a computer |
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Stratified Randomization
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- breaks groups up into age and gender so that groups can be comparable
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Masking
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Involves preventing the subjects and investigators from knowing to which group a subject is assigned
- single blind - double blind - triple blind Masking is very important to get rid of placebo effect - Masking helps eliminate biases because all people, subject and investigators have subconscious or conscious biases and preconceptions |
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Type 1 Error
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- Cell C in 2x2 table
- rejecting the Ho when Ho is true - the study detects a difference in the population (Ha) when there is none |
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Type 2 Error
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- Cell B in 2x2 table
- accepting the Ho when Ho is false - the study fails to detect a true difference |
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Power of a study
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- 1 - Beta
- shows howl likely a study is to correctly show a difference between the populations |
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Deciding Sample Size
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First, specify the expected difference in response rate
Second, estimate a response rate, rate of cure, for one of the groups Third, specify alpha, .05 or .01 Fourth, specify the test power, 80% or 90% Last, specify whether the test will be one or two sided |
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Expressing Results
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- Efficacy = (rate in placebo
) - rate in vaccine / (rate in placebo) - relative risk |
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External and Internal Validity
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- Are the basic concerns in the conduct of any randomized trial
- The main objective of a randomized trial is to generate results beyond the study population |
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Internal Validity
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- If a study is properly done without major methods problems and takes into account all important issues
- The findings correctly report the study population |
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External Validity
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- Relates to the generalizability of the study
- Can the findings be applied to the larger population that is represented by the study population? - The population must be representative of all patients with the disease in question, not just one specific demographic, or geographic characteristic |
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Phases of testing new drugs:
Phase 1 |
- small clinical pharmacological studies (20 - 80)
- studies the toxic and pharmacologic effects |
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Phases of testing new drugs:
Phase 2 |
- clinical investigation studies (100 - 200)
- evaluate efficacy and relative safety |
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Phases of testing new drugs:
Phase 3 |
- large scale randomized controlled trials for effectiveness and relative safety
- if the drug passes this phase it can be licensed for marketing |
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Phases of testing new drugs:
Phase 4 |
- post marketing surveillance
- identify long-term or rare occurrences from use of the drug |