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33 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
Monetary Policy works primarily by
Interest rates are determined by |
manipulating interest rates
the demand and supply for bonds |
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Bonds as financial assets:
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Theory of asset
demand and asset allocation. S&D for Bonds. |
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Loanable funds:
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Supply & Demand for loanable
fund. Savings and Investment. Bond demand is one component of the aggregate supply of L.F. |
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Liquidity Preference:
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View bonds as an alternative to holding money.
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Theory of Asset Demand
Holding all other factors constant: |
1. The quantity demanded of an asset is positively related to wealth
2. The quantity demanded of an asset is positively related to its expected return relative to alternative assets 3. The quantity demanded of an asset is negatively related to the risk of its returns relative to alternative assets 4. The quantity demanded of an asset is positively related to its liquidity relative to alternative assets |
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Supply and Demand for Bonds
• At lower prices (higher interest rates) • At lower prices (higher interest rates) |
ceteris paribus, the quantity demanded of bonds is higher—an inverse relationship
ceteris paribus, the quantity supplied of bonds is lower—a positive relationship |
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demand curve
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interest rate = expected return = F-P/P
downward sloping |
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supply curve
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upward sloping; P increases, QD increased
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market equilibrium
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Bd = Bs
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excess supply
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Bs > Bd
want to sell more bonds then pple are willing to buy, so P falls and interest rates rise |
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excess demand
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Bd > Bs
want to buy more bonds then others are willing to sell; P driven up and interest rates fall |
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asset market approach
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emphasizes stocks of assets rather than flows in det. asset prices
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shifts in demand curves
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Wealth—in an expansion with growing wealth, the demand curve for bonds shifts to the right
• Expected Returns—higher expected interest rates in the future lower the expected return for long-term bonds, shifting the demand curve to the left • Expected Inflation—an increase in the expected rate of inflation lowers the expected return for bonds, causing the demand curve to shift to the left • Risk—an increase in the riskiness of bonds causes the demand curve to shift to the left • Liquidity—increased iquidity of bonds, D curve shifts right |
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increase in wealth, D shifts
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rt
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increase in expected interest rate, D shifts
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lf
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Increase in expected inflation, D shifts
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lf
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increase in riskiness of bonds, D shifts
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lf
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Increase in liquidity of bonds, D shifts
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rt
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shifts of demand curve in:
expansion recession |
rt
lt |
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Factors that shift supply curves
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expected profitability of investment opportunities
expected inflation govt. budget |
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increase in expected profitability of investments, S shift
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rt
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increase in expected inflation, S shift
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rt
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increase in govt deficit, S shift
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rt
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when expected inflation rises, interest rates will ____ according to the fisher effect
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rise
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Liquidity preference framework
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det. equilibrium interest rate in terms of the supply of and demand for money
Bs+Ms=Bd+Md |
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Derivation of Demand Curve
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1. Keynes assumed money has i = 0
2. As i ↑, relative RETe on money ↓ (equivalently, opportunity cost of money ↑) ⇒ Md ↓ 3. Demand curve for money has usual downward slope |
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Derivation of Supply curve
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1. Assume that central bank controls Ms and it is a fixed amount
2. Ms curve is vertical line Market Equilibrium 1. Occurs when Md = Ms, at i* = 15% 2. If i = 25%, Ms > Md (excess supply): Price of bonds ↑, i ↓ to i* = 15% 3. If i =5%, Md > Ms (excess demand): Price of bonds ↓, i ↑ to i* = 15% |
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Md and interest rate should be ______ related
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negatively
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According to keynes, increase in income and price level shift Md
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rt
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accord. to keynes, increase in Ms shifts Ms
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rt
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sources of bond risk
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default, inflation, interest rate
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default risk
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when issuer of bond is unable/unwilling to make interest pmts when promised/pay off FV when bond matures
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risk premium
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spread btwn interest rates on bonds w/default risk and default free bonds; indicates how much additional interest pple must earn to be willing to hold that risky bond
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