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29 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
To analyze short run fluctuations in an economy use
the model of aggregate demand and aggregate supply
Business Cycle
Fluctuations in the economy

economic fluctuations correspond to changes in business conditions, when real gdp grows rapidly, business is good.

Business cycle is not regular or consistent
Three main facts about Economic fluctuations
1. Irregular and unpredictable

2. Most macroeconomic quantities fluctuate together

3.As output falls unemployment rises
When economic conditions deteriorate what is one of the main causes
decrease in Investment (reduction on spending on new factories, houses, inventories)
the short run model of economic fluctuations focuses on the behavior of two variables
1. Read GDP

2. Average level of prices (measured by CPI or GDPD)
Model of Aggregate Demand and aggregate supply
The model that most economists use to explain short-run fluctuations in economic activity around its long-run trend--Pg. 745
Aggregate Demand Curve-Pg. 746
a curve that shows the quantity of goods and services that households, firms, the government, and customers abroad want to buy at each price level
Aggregate Supply Curve
a curve that shows the quantity of goods and services that firms choose to produce and sell at each price level
Why Does the Aggregate Demand Curve slope downward?
How the price level affects the C I and NX

1. A decrease in the price levels RAISES the real value of money making individuals richer which in turn encourages them to spend more. this increase in Consumer spending (C) means a larger quantity demanded.

2. A lower price level reduces the interest rate, encourages greater spending on Investment goods (I) and thereby increases teh quantity of goods and services demanded.

3. when a fall in the U.S. price level causes U.s. interest rates to drop the real value of the dollar declines in foreign exchange markets. This depreciaton stimulates U.S. net exports and thereby increases the quantity of goods and services demanded
True or false,

a change in the supply of money shifts the aggregate demand curve?
True!
What would cause the Aggregate Demand Curve to shift?

Review page 752 T. 1
1. Any event tht changes how much people want to consume at a given price level

2.Any event that changes how much firms want to invest at a given price level (optimism shifts right, pessimism shifts left)

3.Tax credit for investment purchases can shift it to the right, a repeal of tax credit will shift it to the left

4. Increase in money supply will shift it to the right, decrease in money supply will shift it left

5.Increase or decrease in Government spending will shift it right or left

6.Any event that changes net exports--(appreciation of the dollar makes U.S. goods more expensive compared to foreign goods so it would shift left)

How does time horizon affect the aggregate supply curve?
Long Run: Aggregate Supply Curve is vertical

Short Run: Agg. Supply curve is upward sloping
What determines the quantity of goods and services supplied in the long run for an economy?
an economy's produciton of goods and services (real GDP) depends on its supplies of labor, land, capital, and natural resources and on technology used to turn factors of production into goods and services

NOT the price level
Why is the Agg. Supply Curve vertical in the long run?
labor capital, natural resources, and technology determine the total quantity of goods and services supplied and this quantity supplied is THE SAME REGARDLESS OF THE PRICE LEVEL. Price level does not affect long determinants of real GDP

the vertical long run aggregate supply curve is a graphical representation of the classical dichotomy and monetary neutrality.
What shifts the Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve?
<b>any change in the economy that alters the natural rate of output.</b>

The position of the long-run aggregate supply curve depends on the natural rate of unemployment (e.g. raising minimum wage laws)

1. Changes in labor Force or unemployment levels

2. Changes in the physical Capital stock or Human capital stock

3. Change in access to amount of Natural Resources (new discovery, change in weather, change in ability to import resources etc.)

4. changes in Technological knowledge "Technology" (literal technology improvement, new access to free trade, governement bans on certain kinds of processes (move left))

any policy or event that raised real gdp in previous chapters can now be described as increasing the quantity of goods and services supplied and shifting the long run aggregate supply curve to the right. Any policy or event that lowered real gdp in previous chapters can no be described as decreasing the quantity of goods and services supplied and shifting the long run aggregate supply to the left
true
Although there are many forces that govern the economy in the long run and can in theory cause shits, what are the two most important in the real world?
1. Technological change

2. Monetary policy
In the short run the price levle does NOT affect the economy's output?
FALSE!

In the short run price levels DO affect output, but in the long-run price levels do NOT affect output
Sticky wage theory
the short run aggregate supply curve slopes upward because nominal wages are slow to adjust to changing economic conditions (they're sticky...)
The misperceptions Theory
changes in the overall price level can temporrily mislead suppliers about what is happening in the individual markets which they sell their output.
Sticky price thoery
prices of some goods and services adjust sluggishly in response to changing economic conditions
All three theories about why the SR agg. supply curve slopes upward can be summed up by this mathematical equation
Quanitity of output supplied = Natural rat of output + a(Actual price level - Expected price level)

a represents a number that determines how much output responds to unexpected changes in the price levle
An increase in the expected price level reduces the quantity of goods and services supplied and shifts the SR agg. supply curve to the left. A decrease in the expected price level raises the quantity of goods and services supplied and shifts the SR agg. supply curve to the right
true review pg 760
review T2 pg 761
yes
Long Run Aggregate Equilibrium
when the economy reaches this long run equilibrium the EXPECTED PRICE = THE ACTUAL PRICE as a result SR agg. supply curve crosses this point as well

see page 762 now!
3 main points when Agg. Demand curve shifts
In the short run, shifts of Agg. Demand cause fluctuations in the economy's output of goods and services

In the long run, shifts in aggregate demand affect the overall price level but do not affect output

Policymakers who influence aggregate demand can potentiall mititgate the severity of economic fluctuations
stagflation
a period of falling output and rising prices
Wage-Price Spiral
higher prices leading to higher wages that lead to even higher prices
Shifts in aggregate supply can cause stagflation a combination of recession (falling output) and inflation (rising prices)

Policymakers who can influence aggregate demand can potentially mitigate the adverse impact on output but only at the cost of exacerbating the problem of inflation
a combination of recession (falling output) and inflation (rising prices)