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12 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
asset-market approach
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a method of determining short run exchange rates where investors consider two key factors when deciding between domestic and foreign investments; relative levels of interest rates and expected changes in the exchange rate itself over the term of the investment
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forecasting exchange rates
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attempts to predict future rates of exchange
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fundamental analysis
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the opposite of technical analysis; involves consideration of economic variables that are likely to affect a currency's value
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judgemental forecasts
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subjective or common sense exchange rate forecasts based on economic, political, and other data for a country
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law of one price
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part of the purchasing power parity approach to determining exchange rates; asserts that identical goods should cost the same in all nations, assuming that it is costless to ship goods between nations and there are no barriers to trade
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market expectations
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examples include news about future market fundamentals and traders' opinions about future exchange rates
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market fundamentals
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economic variables such as productivity, inflation rates, real interest rates, consumer preferences, and government trade policy
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nominal (money) interest rate
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the rate of return on assets that can be earned in a particular country, not adjusted for the rate of inflation
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overshooting
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when an exchange rate's short run response to a change in market fundamentals is greater than its long run response
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purchasing power parity theory
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a method of determining the equilibrium exchange rate by means of the price levels and their variations in different nations
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real interest rate
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the nominal interest rate minus the inflation rate
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technical analysis
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a method of exchange rate forecasting that involves the use of historical exchange rate data to estimate future values
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