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12 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
asset-market approach
a method of determining short run exchange rates where investors consider two key factors when deciding between domestic and foreign investments; relative levels of interest rates and expected changes in the exchange rate itself over the term of the investment
forecasting exchange rates
attempts to predict future rates of exchange
fundamental analysis
the opposite of technical analysis; involves consideration of economic variables that are likely to affect a currency's value
judgemental forecasts
subjective or common sense exchange rate forecasts based on economic, political, and other data for a country
law of one price
part of the purchasing power parity approach to determining exchange rates; asserts that identical goods should cost the same in all nations, assuming that it is costless to ship goods between nations and there are no barriers to trade
market expectations
examples include news about future market fundamentals and traders' opinions about future exchange rates
market fundamentals
economic variables such as productivity, inflation rates, real interest rates, consumer preferences, and government trade policy
nominal (money) interest rate
the rate of return on assets that can be earned in a particular country, not adjusted for the rate of inflation
overshooting
when an exchange rate's short run response to a change in market fundamentals is greater than its long run response
purchasing power parity theory
a method of determining the equilibrium exchange rate by means of the price levels and their variations in different nations
real interest rate
the nominal interest rate minus the inflation rate
technical analysis
a method of exchange rate forecasting that involves the use of historical exchange rate data to estimate future values