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66 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
Selection Bias
Non random assignment to study group
Measurement Bias
Measurement is dissimilar among groups
Confounding Bias
Occurs with 2 closely related factors. The effect of 1 factor distorts or confuses the effect of the other.
What two biases can co exist
Selection bias and confounding bias
Chance
Random variation with results likely to be abnormally high or low
Validity
How true are the results of the population studied ? was the study correctly done without bias and chance
Generalizability
Also called external validity. How much do the results apply to other settings
Reliability
The extent to which the repeated measurements are similar. Compare to precision, reproducibility - where the crosses hit the target at the same spot
Validity
Does the measurement represent what it is supposed to. eg. accuracy. All the crosses hit the target
Interval data
Known interval between two successive values. Two types - continuous and integer. Most physiological data is interval
Nominal data
occurs in categories without order. Also called categorical. if 2 options called dichotomous
Ordinal data
Inherent ordering without standard intervals ebtween measurements
Measure HCT of the class. What are the frequently occurring values?

How much variability is there in the class ?
Central tendency

Dispersion
Central tendency
Mean
Median
Mode
Mean - sum of all values/ number of measurements

Median - number of observations above the value equals the number below

Mode - most frequently occurring value
Dispersion
Range
Standard deviation
Percentile
lowest to highest

absolute value of average differences of individual values from the mean. 1 standard dev is 68% and 2 is 95.4% and 3 is 99.72%
When mean = median
Then mean and SD appropriate - NORMALLY DISTRIBUTED
WHen mean does not equal median
Then NOT NORMALLY DISTRIBUTED. Median and percentiles are appropriate
How is significance of a value estimated?
Using the P value
What is the P value
It measures how likely a particular difference between groups is to be due to chance
If the difference is 1/20 times
Then this is large enough for it to be considered unlikely to be due to chance.

this P value would be .05 or 5%
Characteristics of the T test
Most commonly used statistical test in literature

Data must be approximately normally distributed and only two groups can be compared

Calculated using means, standard deviations and number of subjects in groups
what is a t test called when each person serves as their own comparision ?
A paired T test
How is the t test when used for multiple comparisions ?
It will tell you which groups are different from each other, but it might not tell you which one might be MOST different
What is the bonferroni correction ?
It is the correction for increased chance of error when doing multiple T tests. Divide .05 by the number of test performed and this will represent the actual value for statistical significance
If you are comparing rates or percentages which test would you use ?
Chi Square test
What is confidence interval ?
CI tells you there is a 95% chance that the CI includes the TRUE difference in mortality
Why is confidence interval more significant than the p value ?
It provides more information than p values alone because the reader can view the range of possible true values

It also gives a perspective concerning sample size and power
When data is not normally distributed, what tests should they use ?
Non parametric tests - Authors chose this test on purpose, otherwise they rather use a t test.
Rank sum test
Add up the ranks in each group. If the range is 6-18. How unusual is 9.
What test would you use for 2 groups, 3 groups and a before and after test if u were using a Interval scale
t test

Analysis of variance

Paired t test
What test would you use for 2 groups, 3 groups and a before and after test if u were using a NOMINAL SCALE
Chi square

Chi Square

McNemars test
What test would you use for 2 groups, 3 groups and a before and after test if u were using a ORDINAL SCALE
Rank sum test

Kruskall Wallace

Signed Rank test
Intervals
# Nominal Data

* classification data, e.g. m/f
* no ordering, e.g. it makes no sense to state that M > F
* arbitrary labels, e.g., m/f, 0/1, etc

# Ordinal Data

* ordered but differences between values are not important
* e.g., political parties on left to right spectrum given labels 0, 1, 2
* e.g., Likert scales, rank on a scale of 1..5 your degree of satisfaction
* e.g., restaurant ratings

# Interval Data

* ordered, constant scale, but no natural zero
* differences make sense, but ratios do not (e.g., 30°-20°=20°-10°, but 20°/10° is not twice as hot!
* e.g., temperature (C,F), dates
Prevalence ?
What percentage of people at one given time have this disease
What is a gold standard ?
Usually an invasive or expensive test that provides a high degree of accuracy and is assumed to be correct.
HOw is prevalence calculated ?
A+C/EA
What is sensitivity ?
Percentage of diseased patients that have a positive test

A/A+C
What is specificity ?
Percentage of non-diseased pts that tested negative

D/D+B
What determines cutoff points for sensitivity and specificity ?
Cut off levels
What affects predictive values and not specificity or sensitivity
The prevalence of the disease affects the positive or negative predictive values
To rule out a disease do you want high what ?
Sensitivity
To confirm the presence of a disease, you want a high ?
Specificity
What is a Likelihood ratio ?
How much more likely is a test to be positive among those with disease as opposed to those without disease

Test with a high specificty and a high sensitivity will have a high likelihood ratio
If the disease causes a serious outcome, you want a high ?

If the treatment is invasive and possibly dangerous you want a high ?
Sensitivty and Specificty
Problems in the evaluation of diagnostic tests
What is Normal

Spectrum of patients

Bias

Chance
SpPIn
SnNout
What is prevalence and incidence ?
Prevalence is the proportion of the population that have a particular characteristic at one point in time

Incidence describes the proportion of a population initially free of disease that develop the disease over a specific period of time
Case control study
Doesnt take into account incidence. Women with cancer who took estrogens.

Women without cancer who took estrogens
Cohort study
This tests incidence

Women without cancer taking estrogens

Women without cancer not taking estrogens.

Looking for the development of cancer
Measuring a Cohort study using Relative risk
Incidence in the exposed/Incidence in the unexposed

RR= A/A+B divided by C/C+D
Case control using Odds ration
Rate of exposure in the cases/Rate of exposure in the controls

OR = AXD/BXC
Concurrent cohort
Those who are exposed at the start vs unexposed
Historical Cohort
Requires records of patients, or recall leading to recall bias. Based on incidence of disease, they look back at records
Case/Control
Start at presence or absence of disease, and check if they took estrogens or not
which study always begins with exposure and which one with disease ?
Cohort-exposure
Case control - disease
Which one has incidence ?
Cohort
Understand absolute vs relative risks
These are not the same
Accuracy of survival curves better on which side ?
Left side
Advantage of these survival curves
They can provide information about patients entering studies at varying points in time and increases the efficiency of the studies
Higher the Confidence intervals, what happens to the accuracy ?
Lower the confidence. indicating probably a lower sample. higher the sample, more narrower is the confidence interval
Advantages of Cohort studies
Only way of establishing incidence directly
Follows logic of clinical questions
Exposure can be elicited without BIAS
Can assess relationship between exposure and many diseases
Disad
Inefficient
Expensive
Long time to get results
Study limited to only those variables measured at start
Adv of case control studies
Excellent for rare disease
Quick
Cheap
Can evaluate multiple risk factors
Disadvantages
Bias
Selecting cases
Selecting controls
Measuring exposure
Odds ratio in case control
Odds ration measures the risk of exposure in one group vs other

Investigator determines groups especially controls

Anything OTHER than the measured variable that can affect the rate of exposure will cause BIAS
Measurement in Case control
The presence of the outcome directly affects the exposure

The presence of the outcome affects the subjects recollection of the exposure - Recall bias

The presence of the outocme affects the measurement of recording of the exposure