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53 Cards in this Set

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observational study where 2 existing groups differing in outcome are identified and compared on the basis of some supposed causal attribution
Case Control trials
Advantages of case control studies (7)
1. Useful for hypothesis generation
2. Can study rare events or outcomes such as adverse drug reactions
3. Can study events or outcomes that develop only after many years
4. Frequently less expensive to conduct
5. Takes less to complete
6. May be able to find association with a relatively small sample
7. Avoids ethical problems of gathering data
Disadvantages of case control studies (6)
1. Can only study one outcome
2. Subject to multiple types of sampling and measurement biases
3. cannot directly measure either incidence or prevalence
4. information available is often limited
5. cause and effect may be difficult to determine because time sequencing and confounding
6. numerous examples of false associations have been documented using case control studies
Selection of cases for Case Control studies

Ideal is a _____ sample of the total population with the disease
random
Selection of controls for Case Control should ideally have these characteristics (3)
1. Same baseline risk for the development of the disease.
2. Same probability of exposure to the risk factor as the cases
4. Same degree of diagnostic surveillance as cases
Advantages to population controls in a case control study (2)
1. cases and controls drawn from the same population should be comparable
2. distribution of risk factors in the sample should be representative of the population
disadvantages of population controls in a case control study (3)
1. if the population is defined too narrowly it may stil not represent the entire population of interest
2. may be less convenient than simple clinic or hospital sample
3. population controls may be less motivated to cooperate
disadvantages to hospital/medical practice controls in case control study (2)
1. cases and controls may have other diseases implying frequency of baseline exposure to the risk factor may not be the same as a randome sample of the base population that produced the cases
2. catchment area (i.e. population drawn) for different diseases in a hospital may not be the same resulting in mixed demographics
case control studies

Use____ controls per case because power to detect differences is increased (rare diseases). Beyond this number offers little statistical advantage.
Up to 4
A proportion that compares the number of times that an event occurred to the number of times that it did not occur
Odds
Total number of new events over a period of time
Incidence aka risk
Given a rare condition...Odds ration _____ the relative risk
odds ration approximates the relative risk
estimates the magnitude of the association between exposure and disease
odds ratio
Odds ratio...

A value of _____ indicates the ratio of the odds of exposure are identical in the case and control group (i.e. no association)
1
A value of ____ indicates an increased odds of exposure among cases as compared to controls (i.e. harmful exposure effect)
> 1
A value of ____ indicates a decreased odds of exposure among cases as compared to controls (i.e. protective exposure effect)
<1
potential problems with observational studies (4)
1. confounding
2. effect modification
3. bias
4. chance
confounding creates (2)
1. bias
2. systematic error
approaches to control confounding in the design of the study (2)
1. exclude subjects with known confounding factors
2. match cases and controls based on potential confounding factors
approaches to control confounding in the analysis of the study (2)
1. stratify on the confounding factors (eg. age, weight, sex, disease severity)
2. use multivariate analysis to adjust results
Advantages to matching (3)
1. May reduce confounding by strong factors such as age, race, sex
2. May increase precision (power)
3. May be sampling convenience
Disadvantages for matching (4)
1. Exclusion of cases that don't have a match
2. Longer study duration
3. Increased cost
4. Matched variables cannot be analyzed as a risk factor
Reason for self-referral may be associated with the outcome under study
self selection sampling bias
Membership in a group (employed, joggers, clubs) may be a marker for other health-related factors or factors related to access to health care
Membership sampling bias
Time gap between exposure and selection of cases, some actual cases may be missed if the condition is potentially clinically silent and short duration, or if rapidly fatal and not properly recorded, or evidence of exposure is lost with time
Prevalence-incidence (Neyman) sampling bias
Exposure to the risk factor causes a sign or symptom that leads to increased diagnostic surveillance--which increases the chance of being diagnosed
Unmasking (detection signal) sampling bias
May occur in hospital or medical practice controls, if perosns who are with disease, without the disease and with the characteristic of interest have different probabilities of being admitted
Admission rate (Berkson) sampling bias
Knowledge of the subjects prior exposure to a suspected risk factor may influence the intensity and the conclusion of a diagnostic evaluation
Diagnostic suspicion measurement bias
Knowledge of the patients disease status may influence both the intensity and the conclusion of the search for exposure
Exposure suspicion measurement bias
cases and controls may have different levels of recall or events based on different level of interest or on different levels of questioning by the investigator
Recall measurement bias
Responses to family hisotry information has been shown to vary considerably depending on whether the subject was a case or control, cases recall much higher rates of disease or risk factors present
Family information measurement bias
Comparison of a standard or conventional therapy (active entity) to a new therapy
Active Comparator Trial
Why would you choose to do an active comparator trial? (2)
1. placebo is not possible or is unethical
2. new treatment has a potential advantage over proven treatment (lower cost; less adverse effects; simpler dosing regimen; new treatment less invasive)
To determine if new therapy is superior to standard or conventional therapy
superiority trial
to determine if new therapy is no worse than or as good as the standard therapy by pre-defined margin
non-inferiority trial
New treatment is similar to standard therapy (not better, not worse)
equivalence trial
The maximum allowable difference between two treatments; the difference in treatment cannot be outside of the boundaries of the margins to claim "non-inferiority"
non-inferiority margin
Factors that can dilute true differences between treatments (7)
1. imprecise or poorly implemented entry criteria
2. poor blinding
3. poor compliance
4. drop-outs
5. recruitment of patients unlikely to respond
6. treatment crossovers
7. use of concomitant medications (treatments)
objectives of a meta-analysis (7)
1. summarize and integrate results from a number of individual studies
2. analyze the differences in results among studies
3. increase power by combining data from several studies
4. increase sample size when individual studies are too small to identify an effect
5. evaluate effects in subsets of patients
6. generate hypothesis for further research
7. avoid RCT when precluded by ethical issues
A review of a clearly formulated question that uses systematic and explicit methods to identify, select, and critically appraise relevant research, and to collect and analyze data from the studies that are included in the review
Systematic Review
Use of statistical techniques to integrate and summarize the results of included studies. Many systematic reviews contain these, but not all. By combining information from all relevant studies, these can provide more precise estimates of the effects of healthcare than those derived from the individual studies included within a review
Meta Analysis
When analyzing a narrative or systematic review what should you look for? (3)
1. flow diagram, checklist (PRISMA)
2. structured abstract/title
3. risk of bias (publication bias, selection bias, statistical heterogeneity, clinical heterogeneity, sensitivity analysis, subgroup vs. sensitivity analysis)
bias towards publication of positive results
publication bias

to minimize:
1. multiple databases should be searched--give search dates and specific search terms
2. abstracts
3. bibliographies
4. unpublished data
5. contact experts in the field
what tool is used to check publication bias?
funnel plots
what tests are used to detect publication bias? (2)
1. Egger weighted regression method
2. Begg rank correlation method
studies selected for inclusion in the analysis influence results
selection bias
Describe the degree of between-study variability in a group of studies
heterogeneity
considers within-study variability; assumes that the true effect of treatment is the same in each study

Mantel-Haenszel method
fixed-effects model
considers both between-study and within-study variability; assumes that the studies used are a random sample from the universe of all possible studies

DerSimion-Laird Method
Random-effects model
Random effects models are more conservative and generate a _____ and are less likely to show a significant treatment effect compared to a fixed effects model
confidence interval (wider)
____ is assumed to mean that all variability in effect size estimate is due to sampling error within the studies
I2 (squared) = 0
___ means that total variability in effect size is not caused by sampling error but by true heterogeneity between studies
I2 (squared) = 50
heterogeneity may result from differences in (4)
1. patients (patient selection procedure; baseline disease severity; different age groups; gender differences)
2. treatments (drugs/doses used)
3. duration of follow-up
4. disease states treated

**may also be related to unknown or unmeasured confounders