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26 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

Five C's of Credit Analysis

Capacity


Collateral


Character


Conditions


Capital

Types of Risk

Internationall


Domestic


Industry


Firm-Specific

Short-Term Liquidity Risk

The near term ability to generate cash to service working capital needs and deb service requirements

Long-Term Solvency Risk

The longer-term ability to generate cash internally or from external sources to satisfy plant capacity and debt repayment needs

Credit Risk

A firm's ability to make payments on itnerest and principle payments

Bankruptcy Risk

The likelihood that a firm will be liquidated

Accuracy Problems

Changes outside of the company's control


Based point in time Analysis


Accuracy of Numbers


Appetite of Risk


Using Historical Data to Predict the future


Fraud

Rating Agencies

Standard and Poor's


Moody's


Fitch


Thomson Bank Watch

Current Ratio

Current Assets / Current Liabiilities (Ratio > 1.0 preferred)

Quick Ratio

Current Assets - Inventory / Current Liabilities (Should trend towards .5)

Operating Cash Flow Ratio

Cash Flows from Operation / Average Current Liabilites

Debt Ratio

Total Liabilities / Total Assets

Capitalization Ratio

Total Assets / Total Shareholders' Equity

Debt to Equity

Total Debt / Total Shareholders' Equity

Times Interest Earned

EBIT / Interest Expense + Interest Capitalized

Z-Score - Calculation

1.2 (Working Capital / Total Assets)


1.4 (Retained Earnings / Total Assets)


3.3 (EBIT / Total Assets)


0.6 (Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Liabilites)


1.0 (Sales / Total Assets)

Z-Score - Meaning

Z < 1.8 - Firm is likely to go bankrupt


1.8 < Z < 3.0 - Grey Area, firm could be in trouble


Z > 3.0 - Firm is not in danger of going bankrupt

Rate of Return on Assets

ROA = Net Income + Interest Expense x (1 - Tax Rate) + Minority Interest in earnings / Average Total Assets

Gross Profit Margin

Gross Profit / Net Sales

Profit Margin

Net Income / Net Sales Revenue

Receivables Turnover

Net Sales Revenue / Average Receivable Balance

Inventory Turnover

Cost of oods Sold / Average Inventory Balance

Total Asset Turnover Ratio

Net Sales Revenue / Total Assets

Turnover of Fixed Assets

Net Sales / Fixed Assets

Return on Common Shareholders' Equity

ROCE = Net Income to Common Sharehollders / Average Common Shareholders' Equity

Asset Turnover

Sales / Average Total Assets