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12 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
Huravy & Nussair
Bubbles, relation of shorting to their existence
Duffie et al.
shorting raises prices by making assets more valuable (a new function: short-term lending to shorters)
Alexander David
Heterogeneous beliefs (i.e. conflicting pricing strategies) create a risk (of speculative shifts) that washes in the aggregate. The equity premium puzzle arises as a failure to observe the trees for the forest.
Masahiro Watanabe
Overlapping generations showing price variation using asymmetry of information and heterogeneous trading strategies (trend-followers and contrarians)
Burton Malkiel
EMH; efficiency: returns come from risk; no robust strategy for beating the market, especially after publication.
Shiller
Behavioral; surveys dev. of behavioral finance; responds to Eugene Fama's 2 pts (anomalies wash [does not mean they arent going on], tend to disappear [not volatility])
Black (noise definitions)
Noise, to mean: not-information, cause of observation imperfection, arbitrary element in expectations, information that hasn't arrived yet, changing relative prices (international model).
Black (general)
Noise begets trading; efficiency = w/in a factor of 2
Hirshleifer et al.
Irrational investors have real effect on cash flows, creating the opportunity for greater profit than a rational investor. Because irrational investors "get" irrational investors, they have a leg up on the above hypothetical possibilities.
Haruvy and Noussair (questions)
Shorting 1) lower prices relative to fundamentals, 2) bring prices in line with fundamentals? Concl.: lower prices, but not tracking with fundamentals.
Duffie et al.
Presence of shorting can raise prices, i.e. demand predicated on an asset losing value can lead to that asset gaining value. Depends on discrepancy in optimistic/pessimistic investors
Shiller definition
EMH states: market Pt = E(P*t) conditional on all available information, given P*t is the actual present value of future cash flows. (Optimal forecast determines price) ; attacks semi-strong